PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-78
21-23 20-18 22-9 21-28
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#6
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game102.7
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Shamal v Al Gharafa
22 Oct 2026
AL S94
AL G72
05 Jan 2026
AL S73
AL G100
21 Dec 2024
AL S84
AL G78
23 Apr 2023
AL S73
AL G62
29 Jan 2022
AL S80
AL G74
15 Jan 2020
AL S83
AL G80
30 Dec 2018
AL S89
AL G78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Shamal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al ShamalQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShamal
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#1
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 68
H03/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
74-75
74
75
-1
72avg 68
H10/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 68
A14/01
QBL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#7
L
81-110
81
110
-29
70avg 68
A16/01
WASL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
75avg 68
A19/01
QBL
Al Manama
#5
L
83-130
83
130
-47
66avg 68
H05/02
WASL
Kazma
#6
L
62-119
62
119
-57
38avg 68
A13/02
WASL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
83-111
83
111
-28
70avg 68
A05/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
63avg 68
A14/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 68
A17/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
21-20
19-27
16-16
19-16
26-11
16-28
13-20
32-24
16-26
16-19
25-15
22-36
23-24
17-29
19-21
18-31
19-19
22-32
20-17
13-31
17-32
22-32
31-35
22-32
17-29
11-35
12-23
20-29
22-25
13-35
28-22
21-15
14-21
21-21
19-19
17-23
27-27
22-9
21-24
176.6Avg total
79.2Scored
97.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.790.0171.7-8.333%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)81.790.0171.7-8.333%
Last 10 (10)79.297.4176.6-18.220%
Last 5 (5)78.0103.8181.8-25.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.095.1169.1-21.114%
vs Similar (13)76.779.7156.4-3.031%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)88.078.0166.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
no box
H16/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
83-66
83
66
+17
no box
A20/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
80-89 OT
80
89
-9
no box
H24/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 63
A30/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#7
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
no box
A02/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
70avg 63
A07/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
62-83
62
83
-21
49avg 63
H20/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
56avg 63
H02/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
82-91
82
91
-9
74avg 63
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
85-122
85
122
-37
73avg 63
A12/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
23-21
13-20
41-13
22-15
24-16
15-22
22-13
20-18
22-24
15-19
18-14
18-22
12-18
17-29
27-17
20-22
24-19
24-20
19-26
22-8
16-30
26-15
12-14
21-21
12-24
14-24
15-14
21-26
14-15
21-25
16-29
17-23
16-22
32-18
17-28
13-31
27-25
20-30
25-36
169.4Avg total
81.0Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.7102.7182.3-23.00%
Season at home (2)77.093.0170.0-16.00%
Season away (1)85.0122.0207.0-37.00%
Last 10 (10)81.088.4169.4-7.440%
Last 5 (5)75.491.6167.0-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.588.8160.3-17.28%
vs Similar (12)81.276.6157.8+4.775%
vs Weaker (5)86.274.6160.8+11.680%
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -8.8-8.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -8.8-8.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.8+0.8
Al ShamalAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al ShamalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H10/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A14/01
QBL
Al-Ahli Dubai
#7
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A16/01
WASL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A19/01
QBL
Al Manama
#5
L
30-63
30
63
-33
H05/02
WASL
Kazma
#6
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A13/02
WASL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A05/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A14/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/12
QBL
90.4Avg total
40.9Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.680.5-6.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.943.280.1-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)37.044.081.0-7.013%-
Last 10 (10)40.949.590.4-8.610%-
Last 5 (5)38.052.890.8-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.346.681.9-11.30%-
vs Similar (13)36.840.877.5-4.031%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.342.087.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H16/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A20/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A30/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A07/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A12/12
QBL
82.0Avg total
38.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.176.9-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.841.479.2-3.643%-
Last 30 away (16)37.937.074.9+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.582.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.845.080.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.842.175.8-8.315%-
vs Similar (12)41.338.179.4+3.267%-
vs Weaker (5)40.033.673.6+6.480%-
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Shamaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Shamal: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.7
52.4%
51.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.08.6
27.7%
31.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.512.8
69.2%
68.2%12.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.622.1
46.4%
51.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.1
30.0%
31.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws17.712.0
67.8%
68.2%12.0
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Shamal
WLLLLLLWLL
Al Gharafa
LLLLWWLLWW
#4
League position
#6
-23.7
Net rating
-7.9
98.2
Offensive rating
98.4
121.9
Defensive rating
106.2
47.5%
Effective FG%
45.9%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.6%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
27.7%
3-point %
30.0%
49.1%
Assist %
46.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 98.4Defence121.9 · 106.2Shooting47.5% · 45.9%3-point %27.7% · 30.0%Ball care18.6% · 19.3%Off. rebounds30.0% · 35.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Al Shamal   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Shamal wins
6
Al Gharafa wins
Al Shamallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AQatar Sports87-83
14/12/24AAl Arabi75-76
05/12/24AAl-Rayyan83-111
13/02/24AKazma62-119
05/02/24HAl Manama83-130
19/01/24AAl-Rayyan79-99
16/01/24AAl-Ahli Dubai81-110
14/01/24AAl Wakrah89-84
10/01/24HQatar Sports74-75
03/01/24HAl Arabi79-87
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24AAl-Rayyan85-122
09/12/24HAl Wakrah82-91
02/12/24HAl Sadd72-95
20/01/24HAl Arabi62-83
07/01/24AAl Wakrah76-67
02/01/24AAl Sadd98-96 OT
30/12/23AAl Ahli74-86
24/12/23HAl-Rayyan80-89 OT
20/12/23AAl Khor83-66
16/12/23HAl Shamal98-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Shamal
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
Home--
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game81.7-81.7
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-8.3--8.3
Avg total171.7-171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Al Gharafa
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.777.085.0
Allowed / game102.793.0122.0
Point differential-23.0-16.0-37.0
Avg total182.3170.0207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan440100%105.576.5+29.0
2 Al Arabi330100%74.767.7+7.0
3 Al Sadd43175%82.074.2+7.8
4 Al Ahli42250%78.274.8+3.5
5 Al Shamal31233%81.790.0-8.3
6 Qatar Sports31233%76.385.3-9.0
7 Al Khor41325%65.270.2-5.0
8 Al Wakrah41325%75.085.2-10.2
9 Al Gharafa3030%79.7102.7-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Shamal2120222184
Al Gharafa231892878
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.