PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-72
25-20 23-22 18-14 28-16
Position#4
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game68.0
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2026-27
Meetings · Al Shamal v Al Gharafa
22 Oct 2026
AL S94
AL G72
05 Jan 2026
AL S73
AL G100
21 Dec 2024
AL S84
AL G78
23 Apr 2023
AL S73
AL G62
29 Jan 2022
AL S80
AL G74
15 Jan 2020
AL S83
AL G80
30 Dec 2018
AL S89
AL G78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Shamal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al ShamalQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShamal
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
101avg 77
A24/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
73-112
73
112
-39
64avg 77
H27/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
80avg 77
A01/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
64avg 77
H05/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
88-105
88
105
-17
83avg 77
H10/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
no box
H15/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
A19/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
108-82
108
82
+26
108avg 77
A26/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
72-86
72
86
-14
no box
A31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
L
62-76
62
76
-14
50avg 77
A13/10
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
34-16
22-20
26-21
12-31
30-13
6-37
25-31
21-22
18-29
16-18
28-22
19-16
14-33
21-24
19-27
28-32
19-23
23-22
18-28
16-33
16-17
21-22
30-20
19-29
20-19
20-12
21-16
30-22
29-21
24-19
25-20
20-21
9-18
20-30
23-17
19-16
18-13
14-19
11-28
172.5Avg total
82.6Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)62.076.0138.0-14.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)62.076.0138.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.689.9172.5-7.330%
Last 5 (5)81.082.4163.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.592.8171.3-14.310%
vs Similar (7)85.685.9171.4-0.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.584.8177.4+7.777%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
89avg 82
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
62avg 82
A25/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
71avg 82
A29/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 82
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
100-73
100
73
+27
101avg 82
A05/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
103-99
103
99
+4
94avg 82
H08/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
100-109
100
109
-9
93avg 82
H12/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
122-119
122
119
+3
118avg 82
A21/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
97-117
97
117
-20
85avg 82
H24/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
72avg 82
A13/10
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-33
26-24
32-35
17-19
19-25
16-27
25-27
15-28
19-20
22-34
26-19
26-23
19-19
13-29
27-27
16-19
33-14
24-21
27-19
24-20
33-23
24-33
22-23
27-26
27-35
23-26
23-22
27-22
31-29
29-38
35-30
28-31
16-29
29-32
24-25
23-10
17-19
17-24
19-15
193.4Avg total
94.1Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.068.0144.0+8.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.068.0144.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)94.199.3193.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)99.6102.4202.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)85.995.3181.2-9.415%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (10)91.885.1176.9+6.780%
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Al ShamalAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al ShamalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#8
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A24/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A01/01
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H05/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H10/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H15/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A19/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A26/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A13/10
QBL
85.9Avg total
41.3Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.284.0-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.043.984.9-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.583.1-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.685.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.946.085.9-6.120%-
vs Similar (7)37.442.079.4-4.614%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.241.885.0+1.554%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A25/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A05/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H12/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A21/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H24/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#8
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A13/10
QBL
92.1Avg total
45.8Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.344.487.6-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.047.090.0-4.036%-
Last 30 away (16)43.542.185.6+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.846.392.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)50.648.899.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)42.344.987.2-2.635%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (10)45.243.488.6+1.860%-
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Shamaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Shamal: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.8
56.4%
52.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.4
31.1%
31.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.813.8
77.5%
67.4%13.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.324.6
58.2%
52.2%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
31.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.112.6
66.0%
67.4%12.6
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Shamal
LLWWLLLLLW
Al Gharafa
WLWLWWLLLL
#4
League position
#5
-5.3
Net rating
-6.6
101.6
Offensive rating
105.4
106.9
Defensive rating
112.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
56.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.9%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.1%
3-point %
36.0%
58.9%
Assist %
51.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 105.4Defence106.9 · 112.0Shooting52.0% · 56.4%3-point %31.1% · 36.0%Ball care15.9% · 13.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Al Shamal   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Shamal wins
4
Al Gharafa wins
DateGameScore
05/01/26Al Shamal v Al Gharafa73-100
25/10/25Al Gharafa v Al Shamal116-124 OT
27/01/25Al Gharafa v Al Shamal77-82
21/12/24Al Shamal v Al Gharafa84-78
16/12/23Al Gharafa v Al Shamal98-89
31/10/23Al Gharafa v Al Shamal79-78
23/04/23Al Shamal v Al Gharafa73-62
09/03/23Al Gharafa v Al Shamal72-118
07/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Shamal88-66
29/01/22Al Shamal v Al Gharafa80-74
Al Shamallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26AAl Wakrah62-76
31/01/26AAl Wakrah72-86
26/01/26AAl Khor108-82
19/01/26AAl Wakrah80-76
15/01/26HAl-Rayyan83-92
10/01/26HAl Sadd88-105
05/01/26HAl Gharafa73-100
01/01/26AAl Arabi83-91
27/12/25HAl Ahli73-112
24/12/25AQatar Sports104-79
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26AAl Ahli76-68
24/01/26HAl Arabi97-117
21/01/26AAl Khor122-119
12/01/26HAl Ahli100-109
08/01/26HQatar Sports103-99
05/01/26AAl Shamal100-73
01/01/26HAl Wakrah85-98
29/12/25AAl-Rayyan82-101
25/12/25AAl Sadd77-98
15/12/25AQatar Sports99-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Shamal
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game62.0-62.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential-14.0--14.0
Avg total138.0-138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Al Gharafa
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game68.0-68.0
Point differential+8.0-+8.0
Avg total144.0-144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Sadd220100%102.072.0+30.0
2 Al Wakrah110100%76.062.0+14.0
3 Al Gharafa110100%76.068.0+8.0
4 Al Ahli21150%71.575.0-3.5
5 Al Khor2020%76.588.5-12.0
6 Al Shamal1010%62.076.0-14.0
7 Qatar Sports1010%65.0102.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Shamal2523182894
Al Gharafa2022141672
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.