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Al Shamal vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-100
19-16 14-33 21-24 19-27
Position#6
Record5-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game87.1
Al Shamal
Qatar
vs
Al Gharafa 🏆
Qatar
Position#7
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game98.8
QatarQBL
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Shamal v Al Gharafa
22 Oct 2026
AL S94
AL G72
05 Jan 2026
AL S73
AL G100
21 Dec 2024
AL S84
AL G78
23 Apr 2023
AL S73
AL G62
29 Jan 2022
AL S80
AL G74
15 Jan 2020
AL S83
AL G80
30 Dec 2018
AL S89
AL G78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Shamal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al ShamalQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShamal
Date
Competition
Al Gharafa
#7
W
124-116 OT
124
116
+8
112avg 79
A25/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
65-92
65
92
-27
51avg 79
A30/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 79
H03/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 79
A06/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 79
H06/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 79
A10/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
74avg 79
H22/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
101avg 79
A24/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
73-112
73
112
-39
64avg 79
H27/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
80avg 79
A01/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
18-23
30-26
27-15
19-24
19-24
13-22
14-22
23-16
19-28
22-17
16-20
19-14
19-15
18-19
26-24
25-15
28-23
31-18
21-24
24-15
10-21
18-23
10-18
20-14
28-16
13-27
21-29
22-22
34-16
22-20
26-21
12-31
30-13
6-37
25-31
21-22
18-29
16-18
28-22
174.6Avg total
86.0Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.587.1173.6-0.545%
Season at home (5)86.486.2172.6+0.240%
Season away (6)86.787.8174.5-1.250%
Last 10 (10)86.088.6174.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)80.889.0169.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.697.4174.0-20.88%
vs Similar (5)89.487.8177.2+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.283.8178.1+10.492%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#6
L
116-124 OT
116
124
-8
107avg 75
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 75
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 75
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
90-106
90
106
-16
76avg 75
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 75
A08/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
79-102
79
102
-23
67avg 75
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
89avg 75
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
62avg 75
A25/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
71avg 75
A29/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 75
H01/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
23-18
26-30
15-27
23-25
19-26
21-18
24-17
24-19
25-32
18-19
17-25
16-30
24-29
23-29
27-18
15-20
19-11
21-20
21-17
18-28
24-13
13-29
24-32
23-19
18-33
26-24
32-35
17-19
19-25
16-27
25-27
15-28
19-20
22-34
26-19
26-23
19-19
13-29
27-27
186.4Avg total
87.5Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.198.8185.9-11.718%
Season at home (5)91.4103.2194.6-11.820%
Season away (6)83.595.2178.7-11.717%
Last 10 (10)87.598.9186.4-11.420%
Last 5 (5)84.4102.0186.4-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)82.095.3177.3-13.310%
vs Similar (2)87.081.5168.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (8)87.482.0169.4+5.462%
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
Al ShamalAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al ShamalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Gharafa
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A25/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A30/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A06/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H06/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H22/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A24/12
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A01/01
QBL
83.2Avg total
42.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.544.685.1-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.043.584.5-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)40.145.685.7-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.883.2+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.883.6+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.747.686.3-8.915%-
vs Similar (5)38.841.480.2-2.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.242.885.9+0.442%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H25/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A25/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/01
QBL
86.6Avg total
41.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.084.6-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.144.683.8-5.529%-
Last 30 away (16)41.943.485.4-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.386.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.485.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.444.284.6-3.930%-
vs Similar (2)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (8)41.244.585.8-3.238%-
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Shamaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Shamal: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.6
53.0%
54.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.1
32.4%
33.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.715.5
78.7%
73.4%15.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.8
50.7%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.5
35.7%
33.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.413.4
65.7%
73.4%13.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Shamal
LLWLLWWLLW
Al Gharafa
LLLLLWLLWL
#6
League position
#7
-3.5
Net rating
-14.1
105.9
Offensive rating
105.5
109.3
Defensive rating
119.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.4%
3-point %
35.7%
55.9%
Assist %
48.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 105.5Defence109.3 · 119.6Shooting51.0% · 51.9%3-point %32.4% · 35.7%Ball care16.5% · 16.7%Off. rebounds25.4% · 26.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Al Shamal   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Shamal wins
4
Al Gharafa wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Al Gharafa v Al Shamal116-124 OT
27/01/25Al Gharafa v Al Shamal77-82
21/12/24Al Shamal v Al Gharafa84-78
16/12/23Al Gharafa v Al Shamal98-89
31/10/23Al Gharafa v Al Shamal79-78
23/04/23Al Shamal v Al Gharafa73-62
09/03/23Al Gharafa v Al Shamal72-118
07/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Shamal88-66
29/01/22Al Shamal v Al Gharafa80-74
24/01/21Al Gharafa v Al Shamal89-71
Al Shamallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26AAl Arabi83-91
27/12/25HAl Ahli73-112
24/12/25AQatar Sports104-79
22/12/25HAl Arabi82-86
10/12/25AAl Ahli62-77
06/12/25HQatar Sports105-80
06/11/25AAl Sadd82-72
03/11/25HAl Wakrah80-81
30/10/25AAl-Rayyan65-92
25/10/25AAl Gharafa124-116 OT
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HAl Wakrah85-98
29/12/25AAl-Rayyan82-101
25/12/25AAl Sadd77-98
15/12/25AQatar Sports99-111
11/12/25HAl Sadd79-102
08/12/25AAl Wakrah76-68
04/12/25HAl-Rayyan90-106
08/11/25AAl Arabi84-95
01/11/25HAl Khor87-86
25/10/25HAl Shamal116-124 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Shamal
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL45%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%40%50%
Points / game86.586.486.7
Allowed / game87.186.287.8
Point differential-0.5+0.2-1.2
Avg total173.6172.6174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %9%0%17%
Al Gharafa
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %18%20%17%
Points / game87.191.483.5
Allowed / game98.8103.295.2
Point differential-11.7-11.8-11.7
Avg total185.9194.6178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1110191%97.282.5+14.6
2 Al Arabi1210283%96.885.6+11.2
3 Al Ahli128467%91.280.4+10.8
4 Al Sadd117464%90.886.2+4.6
5 Al Wakrah116555%81.585.0-3.5
6 Al Shamal115645%86.587.1-0.5
7 Al Gharafa112918%87.198.8-11.7
8 Qatar Sports1221017%83.896.6-12.8
9 Al Khor111109%79.893.3-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Shamal1914211973
Al Gharafa16332427100
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