Al Shamal will host Al-Rayyan in the QBL on 7 November 2026, with the model favouring Al-Rayyan at 71% to win over Al Shamal's 29% chance, a 3-point spread that the home side covers with a 36% probability. Al Shamal, 3-2 this season and fourth in the league, averages 84.8 points and allows 75.6, but at home they are unbeaten 2-0, scoring 93.0 and conceding 63.5, and have won three of their last five games, including a 92-55 home win over Al Khor and a 91-82 away win over Qatar Sports, though they fell 85-93 to Al Arabi on 3 November. Al-Rayyan, 2-1 and third, averages 86.3 points and allows 85.7, and on the road they are 2-0, scoring 95.0 and conceding 83.5, with two wins and three losses in their last five, highlighted by a 106-85 win over Al Ahli and an 84-82 win over Al Arabi, but a 69-90 loss to Al Sadd at home. In their ten meetings Al-Rayyan have won eight, most recently defeating Al Shamal 92-83 on 15 January 2026, and the model projects an 81-87 score for the upcoming game, a total of 168.3 points with a 5% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 84.8 | 75.6 | 160.4 | +9.2 | 60% |
| Season at home (2) | 93.0 | 63.5 | 156.5 | +29.5 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 79.3 | 83.7 | 163.0 | -4.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.5 | 81.9 | 167.4 | +3.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 84.8 | 75.6 | 160.4 | +9.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 79.1 | 92.8 | 171.9 | -13.7 | 9% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 81.6 | 83.6 | 165.2 | -2.0 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 94.1 | 83.4 | 177.5 | +10.6 | 79% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 86.3 | 85.7 | 172.0 | +0.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (1) | 69.0 | 90.0 | 159.0 | -21.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 95.0 | 83.5 | 178.5 | +11.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.8 | 81.5 | 166.3 | +3.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.8 | 85.4 | 167.2 | -3.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 76.5 | 86.0 | 162.5 | -9.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (4) | 85.8 | 86.8 | 172.5 | -1.0 | 25% |
| vs Weaker (24) | 92.5 | 79.2 | 171.7 | +13.3 | 88% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.2 | 43.9 | 86.1 | -1.7 | 33% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 43.0 | 44.4 | 87.4 | -1.4 | 36% | 64% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.5 | 43.5 | 85.0 | -2.0 | 31% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.5 | 43.3 | 86.8 | +0.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.8 | 39.6 | 85.4 | +6.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 40.3 | 46.3 | 86.5 | -6.0 | 18% | 64% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 36.4 | 42.8 | 79.2 | -6.4 | 0% | 60% |
| vs Weaker (14) | 45.8 | 42.5 | 88.3 | +3.3 | 57% | 64% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.4 | 40.6 | 85.0 | +3.8 | 63% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 45.6 | 39.9 | 85.6 | +5.7 | 71% | 57% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 43.3 | 41.1 | 84.4 | +2.2 | 56% | 56% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.9 | 41.3 | 82.2 | -0.4 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.8 | 43.4 | 82.2 | -4.6 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 31.0 | 41.0 | 72.0 | -10.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (4) | 41.2 | 44.0 | 85.2 | -2.8 | 25% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (24) | 46.0 | 40.0 | 86.0 | +6.1 | 75% | 62% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Rayyan +3.5 | 79.2% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +25.1pp | Won |
| Al-Rayyan +1 | 73.0% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| Al-Rayyan -1 | 70.6% | 1.68 | 1.76 | 1.60 | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| Al-Rayyan win | 71.3% | 1.51 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.52 | 1.50 | 1.50 | +11.3pp | Won |
| Al-Rayyan over 80.5 | 75.0% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Won |
| Al-Rayyan over 81.5 | 71.7% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Lost |
| Al-Rayyan over 79.5 | 78.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Al-Rayyan +1.5 | 73.6% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Al-Rayyan +2.5 | 76.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | - |
| Al Shamal under 87.5 | 73.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Al Shamal under 86.5 | 70.7% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.1 | 23.6 | 52.2% | 47.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.8 | 8.6 | 31.0% | 25.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.0 | 13.6 | 67.4% | 13.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.4 | 20.5 | 52.2% | 41.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.6 | 10.6 | 31.0% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 12.8 | 67.4% | 12.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15/01/26 | Al Shamal v Al-Rayyan | 83-92 |
| 30/10/25 | Al-Rayyan v Al Shamal | 92-65 |
| 11/01/25 | Al Shamal v Al-Rayyan | 83-103 |
| 05/12/24 | Al-Rayyan v Al Shamal | 111-83 |
| 19/01/24 | Al-Rayyan v Al Shamal | 99-79 |
| 09/12/23 | Al Shamal v Al-Rayyan | 79-70 |
| 27/05/23 | Al-Rayyan v Al Shamal | 75-68 |
| 27/04/23 | Al-Rayyan v Al Shamal | 77-62 |
| 21/03/23 | Al Shamal v Al-Rayyan | 91-96 |
| 03/03/22 | Al-Rayyan v Al Shamal | 83-96 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | A | Al Arabi | 85-93 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Al Khor | 92-55 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Qatar Sports | 91-82 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Al Gharafa | 94-72 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Al Wakrah | 62-76 |
| 31/01/26 | A | Al Wakrah | 72-86 |
| 26/01/26 | A | Al Khor | 108-82 |
| 19/01/26 | A | Al Wakrah | 80-76 |
| 15/01/26 | H | Al-Rayyan | 83-92 |
| 10/01/26 | H | Al Sadd | 88-105 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWL | 60% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 84.8 | 93.0 | 79.3 |
| Allowed / game | 75.6 | 63.5 | 83.7 |
| Point differential | +9.2 | +29.5 | -4.3 |
| Avg total | 160.4 | 156.5 | 163.0 |
| Over 168.75 | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 0% | 100% |
| Points / game | 86.3 | 69.0 | 95.0 |
| Allowed / game | 85.7 | 90.0 | 83.5 |
| Point differential | +0.7 | -21.0 | +11.5 |
| Avg total | 172.0 | 159.0 | 178.5 |
| Over 168.75 | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 94.6 | 81.0 | +13.6 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.5 | 71.5 | +16.0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 86.3 | 85.7 | +0.7 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 84.8 | 75.6 | +9.2 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 81.2 | 83.4 | -2.2 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.2 | 78.2 | -4.0 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 86.2 | 92.0 | -5.8 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 84.0 | 94.2 | -10.2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 72.0 | 87.8 | -15.8 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 20 | 12 | 21 | 64 | |
| 24 | 19 | 12 | 26 | 81 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.