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Alabama vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-60
36-30 42-30
Position#19
Record14-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game69.7
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Position#80
Record11-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Alabama v LSU
05 Jan 2027
ALAB v LSU
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
ALAB80
LSU73
27 Jan 2024
ALAB109
LSU88
14 Jan 2023
ALAB106
LSU66
19 Jan 2022
ALAB70
LSU67
14 Mar 2021
ALAB80
LSU79
03 Feb 2021
ALAB78
LSU60
15 Feb 2020
ALAB88
LSU82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#124
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
71-63
71
63
+8
A02/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
85-65
85
65
+20
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H16/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
105-75
105
75
+30
A20/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H27/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#125
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
39-30
31-29
40-34
39-32
47-39
37-36
57-54
42-30
43-35
42-19
48-40
60-32
45-43
40-35
41-38
35-32
35-27
29-32
32-34
151.0Avg total
82.5Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.969.7149.7+10.278%
Season at home (13)78.768.9147.6+9.877%
Season away (5)83.271.8155.0+11.480%
Last 10 (10)82.568.5151.0+14.090%
Last 5 (5)81.466.4147.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.475.1155.5+5.457%
vs Weaker (16)80.174.9155.0+5.262%
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#222
W
77-54
77
54
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#117
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A02/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A10/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H14/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
75-105
75
105
-30
H20/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A23/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A27/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#104
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-27
36-27
40-40
–
42-42
38-38
39-21
36-40
51-31
41-45
34-38
51-42
32-60
43-45
36-49
33-33
41-36
37-30
33-32
38-44
157.0Avg total
79.5Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.974.1156.9+8.869%
Season at home (11)85.873.5159.3+12.482%
Season away (5)76.475.4151.8+1.040%
Last 10 (10)79.577.5157.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)75.681.8157.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.076.0168.0+16.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.380.5161.7+0.840%
vs Weaker (14)82.271.4153.6+10.986%
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.0+1.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +1.0+1.0
AlabamaLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ole Miss
#124
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H30/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A02/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A09/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H16/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
60-32
60
32
+28
A20/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H27/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#125
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A30/01
NCAA
70.9Avg total
39.8Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.572.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.234.071.2+3.263%-
Last 30 away (11)38.435.373.6+3.155%-
Last 10 (10)39.831.170.9+8.790%-
Last 5 (5)41.230.071.2+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.734.473.1+4.357%-
vs Weaker (16)36.734.571.2+2.262%-
This opponent (LSU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#222
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#117
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
39-21
39
21
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H14/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
32-60
32
60
-28
H20/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A23/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#104
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H30/01
NCAA
76.5Avg total
38.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.535.675.1+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.633.273.8+7.467%-
Last 30 away (12)37.839.277.0-1.542%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.676.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.078.2-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.031.082.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.937.073.9-0.147%-
vs Weaker (14)41.434.475.9+7.064%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alabama wins
1
LSU wins
DateGameScore
20/01/21LSU v Alabama75-105
15/02/20Alabama v LSU88-82
30/01/20LSU v Alabama90-76
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21AOklahoma61-66
27/01/21HKentucky70-59
23/01/21HMississippi St.81-73
20/01/21ALSU105-75
16/01/21HArkansas90-59
13/01/21AKentucky85-65
09/01/21AAuburn94-90
06/01/21HFlorida86-71
02/01/21ATennessee71-63
30/12/20HOle Miss82-64
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21HTexas Tech71-76
27/01/21ATexas A&M78-66
23/01/21AKentucky69-82
20/01/21HAlabama75-105
17/01/21HSouth Carolina85-80
14/01/21HArkansas92-76
10/01/21AOle Miss75-61
07/01/21HGeorgia94-92 OT
02/01/21AFlorida79-83
30/12/20HTexas A&M77-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %78%77%80%
Points / game79.978.783.2
Allowed / game69.768.971.8
Point differential+10.2+9.8+11.4
Avg total149.7147.6155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LSU
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL69%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %69%82%40%
Points / game82.985.876.4
Allowed / game74.173.575.4
Point differential+8.8+12.4+1.0
Avg total156.9159.3151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri1411379%75.270.2+5.0
2 Alabama1814478%79.969.7+10.2
3 Tennessee1612475%71.858.9+12.8
4 Arkansas1914574%82.769.4+13.4
5 Texas1511473%75.967.3+8.6
6 LSU1611569%82.974.1+8.8
7 Oklahoma1611569%75.366.7+8.6
8 Florida1510567%77.571.1+6.5
9 Georgia1711665%77.975.4+2.5
10 Texas A&M158753%63.565.1-1.6
11 Ole Miss179853%68.162.2+5.9
12 Mississippi St.1910953%70.665.6+5.0
13 Auburn1910953%78.875.7+3.1
14 South Carolina115645%75.175.5-0.5
15 Vanderbilt135838%74.074.5-0.5
16 Kentucky1551033%67.568.3-0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama364278
LSU303060
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