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Alabama vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 21:10
Final 106-66
59-22 47-44
Position#11
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game69.7
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
LSU
USA
Position#264
Record12-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game64.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Alabama v LSU
05 Jan 2027
ALAB v LSU
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
ALAB80
LSU73
27 Jan 2024
ALAB109
LSU88
14 Jan 2023
ALAB106
LSU66
19 Jan 2022
ALAB70
LSU67
14 Mar 2021
ALAB80
LSU79
03 Feb 2021
ALAB78
LSU60
15 Feb 2020
ALAB88
LSU82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
H27/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H04/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A10/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
91-88
91
88
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
90-100
90
100
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H04/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
78-52
78
52
+26
H07/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
84-69
84
69
+15
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-34
40-43
42-35
36-30
27-31
44-34
36-33
55-55
42-47
48-53
33-32
51-32
34-30
44-37
44-23
40-39
35-24
43-28
33-33
51-36
157.4Avg total
84.1Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.069.7152.7+13.388%
Season at home (11)86.371.7158.0+14.582%
Season away (5)75.865.2141.0+10.6100%
Last 10 (10)84.173.3157.4+10.890%
Last 5 (5)81.662.8144.4+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.880.2155.0-5.333%
vs Similar (11)79.577.6157.2+1.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.268.5151.7+14.692%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#195
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H27/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A10/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A07/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
41-42
29-22
34-37
33-41
39-29
40-26
27-31
38-39
51-42
37-24
35-44
24-19
36-38
38-42
33-32
23-34
33-35
28-25
28-42
136.1Avg total
68.4Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.964.6134.6+5.375%
Season at home (11)71.663.8135.5+7.891%
Season away (5)66.266.4132.6-0.240%
Last 10 (10)68.467.7136.1+0.770%
Last 5 (5)63.067.0130.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.865.3131.1+0.456%
vs Similar (11)73.867.4141.2+6.573%
vs Weaker (10)71.969.4141.3+2.550%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +6.5+6.52nd half: -1.5-1.5
AlabamaLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#117
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H17/12
NCAA
Jackson State
#265
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H21/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#125
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A29/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
44-23
44
23
+21
H04/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A12/01
NCAA
68.5Avg total
36.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.934.071.8+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.132.770.8+5.479%-
Last 30 away (11)37.536.273.6+1.355%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.268.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.464.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.238.876.0-1.750%-
vs Similar (11)38.034.772.7+3.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.131.169.2+7.092%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#195
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A10/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A04/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A07/01
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H11/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.7Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.029.863.8+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.927.262.1+7.778%-
Last 30 away (12)32.733.866.4-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)32.730.563.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)30.028.858.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.032.065.0+1.056%-
vs Similar (11)36.026.562.5+9.573%-
vs Weaker (10)32.731.564.2+1.250%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alabama wins
2
LSU wins
DateGameScore
05/03/22LSU v Alabama80-77 OT
20/01/22Alabama v LSU70-67
14/03/21Alabama v LSU80-79
04/02/21Alabama v LSU78-60
20/01/21LSU v Alabama75-105
15/02/20Alabama v LSU88-82
30/01/20LSU v Alabama90-76
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23AArkansas84-69
07/01/23HKentucky78-52
04/01/23HOle Miss84-62
29/12/22AMississippi St.78-67
21/12/22HJackson State84-64
17/12/22HGonzaga90-100
14/12/22HMemphis91-88
10/12/22AHouston71-65
04/12/22HSouth Dakota St.78-65
27/11/22HNorth Carolina103-101 OT
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/23HFlorida56-67
07/01/23ATexas A&M56-69
04/01/23AKentucky71-74
29/12/22HArkansas60-57
22/12/22HEast Tennessee St72-68
18/12/22HWinthrop89-81
14/12/22HN. Carolina Central67-57
10/12/22AWake Forest72-70
03/12/22HUT Arlington63-59
27/11/22HWofford78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %88%82%100%
Points / game83.086.375.8
Allowed / game69.771.765.2
Point differential+13.3+14.5+10.6
Avg total152.7158.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%64%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %6%9%0%
LSU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL75%
HomeWWWWL91%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %75%91%40%
Points / game69.971.666.2
Allowed / game64.663.866.4
Point differential+5.3+7.8-0.2
Avg total134.6135.5132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas1614288%82.165.8+16.3
2 Alabama1614288%83.069.7+13.3
3 Tennessee1714382%74.454.0+20.4
4 Auburn1613381%72.763.2+9.5
5 Missouri1713476%84.475.4+9.0
6 Georgia1713476%70.563.9+6.6
7 LSU1612475%69.964.6+5.3
8 Arkansas1712571%76.266.1+10.1
9 Texas A&M1611569%75.167.2+7.9
10 Mississippi St.1611569%64.657.9+6.7
11 Kentucky1711665%75.566.8+8.7
12 Oklahoma1711665%69.263.5+5.8
13 Florida1710759%74.266.4+7.8
14 Vanderbilt179853%72.969.5+3.4
15 South Carolina168850%64.770.9-6.2
16 Ole Miss178947%67.465.7+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama5947106
LSU224466
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