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Alabama vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 109-88
50-44 59-44
Position#67
Record13-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game74.9
Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
LSU
USA
Position#182
Record11-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Alabama v LSU
05 Jan 2027
ALAB v LSU
upcoming
25 Jan 2025
ALAB80
LSU73
27 Jan 2024
ALAB109
LSU88
14 Jan 2023
ALAB106
LSU66
19 Jan 2022
ALAB70
LSU67
14 Mar 2021
ALAB80
LSU79
03 Feb 2021
ALAB78
LSU60
15 Feb 2020
ALAB88
LSU82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#43
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A17/12
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
111-67
111
67
+44
H23/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
101-56
101
56
+45
A30/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A06/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H10/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-44
38-41
40-41
34-46
61-32
50-35
48-27
53-29
40-36
38-39
30-29
44-18
40-38
42-36
36-34
57-41
37-50
34-41
44-30
35-45
157.7Avg total
84.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.674.9163.5+13.768%
Season at home (10)93.068.0161.0+25.090%
Season away (9)83.882.6166.3+1.244%
Last 10 (10)84.573.2157.7+11.370%
Last 5 (5)79.872.4152.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.784.7164.3-5.033%
vs Similar (8)87.679.5167.1+8.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.667.0152.6+18.689%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#281
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H14/12
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A16/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
96-55
96
55
+41
H30/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
68-53
68
53
+15
A07/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A13/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
44-22
37-56
48-40
45-26
42-40
47-21
49-34
30-32
38-21
30-28
47-41
34-51
44-42
35-33
54-47
35-33
34-40
33-35
33-33
149.8Avg total
78.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.170.2146.2+5.958%
Season at home (13)77.366.4143.7+10.969%
Season away (6)73.378.3151.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)78.970.9149.8+8.060%
Last 5 (5)75.876.6152.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.977.8148.7-6.920%
vs Similar (16)71.269.8141.0+1.550%
vs Weaker (4)88.066.5154.5+21.575%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +7.3+7.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +7.3+7.3
AlabamaLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#43
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A17/12
NCAA
Arizona
#31
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H23/12
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A30/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A06/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A20/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/01
NCAA
78.1Avg total
42.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.533.273.7+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.330.071.3+11.379%-
Last 30 away (11)39.238.878.0+0.445%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.178.1+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.273.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.339.383.7+5.067%-
vs Similar (8)42.137.879.9+4.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.230.469.6+8.874%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama State
#281
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H14/12
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A16/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H22/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H30/12
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#339
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Auburn
#22
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A24/01
NCAA
70.5Avg total
35.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.968.5+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.132.868.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (12)32.335.467.8-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.970.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.069.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.038.072.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (16)33.432.666.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker (4)41.028.569.5+12.575%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alabama wins
2
LSU wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23LSU v Alabama69-79
14/01/23Alabama v LSU106-66
05/03/22LSU v Alabama80-77 OT
20/01/22Alabama v LSU70-67
14/03/21Alabama v LSU80-79
04/02/21Alabama v LSU78-60
20/01/21LSU v Alabama75-105
15/02/20Alabama v LSU88-82
30/01/20LSU v Alabama90-76
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HAuburn79-75
20/01/24ATennessee71-91
17/01/24HMissouri93-75
14/01/24AMississippi St.82-74
10/01/24HSouth Carolina74-47
06/01/24AVanderbilt78-75
30/12/23ALiberty101-56
23/12/23HEastern Kentucky111-67
21/12/23AArizona74-87
17/12/23ACreighton82-85
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AGeorgia66-68
20/01/24HTexas A&M69-73
18/01/24HOle Miss89-80
13/01/24AAuburn78-93
10/01/24HVanderbilt77-69
07/01/24ATexas A&M68-53
30/12/23HNorthwestern St.96-55
22/12/23HLamar87-66
16/12/23ATexas85-96
14/12/23HAlabama State74-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%90%44%
Points / game88.693.083.8
Allowed / game74.968.082.6
Point differential+13.7+25.0+1.2
Avg total163.5161.0166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%80%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LSU
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19136
Win %58%69%33%
Points / game76.177.373.3
Allowed / game70.266.478.3
Point differential+5.9+10.9-5.0
Avg total146.2143.7151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%38%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Carolina2017385%73.264.5+8.8
2 Ole Miss1916384%76.770.2+6.5
3 Auburn2016480%82.065.9+16.1
4 Tennessee1915479%79.566.1+13.4
5 Kentucky1915479%88.576.3+12.3
6 Oklahoma2015575%78.566.5+12.0
7 Texas2014670%76.867.8+8.9
8 Florida2014670%85.476.8+8.6
9 Mississippi St.2014670%74.266.0+8.2
10 Georgia2014670%77.373.2+4.2
11 Alabama1913668%88.674.9+13.7
12 Texas A&M1912763%74.168.2+5.9
13 LSU1911858%76.170.2+5.9
14 Arkansas20101050%75.276.8-1.6
15 Missouri2081240%73.673.5+0.1
16 Vanderbilt1951426%66.972.1-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Alabama5059109
LSU444488
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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