PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alabama vs Ole Miss Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#46
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game56.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alabama v Ole Miss
13 Jan 2027
ALAB v OLE
upcoming
13 Mar 2026
ALAB79
OLE 80
14 Jan 2025
ALAB64
OLE 74
03 Jan 2023
ALAB84
OLE 62
29 Dec 2020
ALAB82
OLE 64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alabama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ole Miss win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A27/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#226
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#229
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
109-68
109
68
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-50
45-48
50-31
46-53
41-47
38-33
37-35
53-35
49-25
41-40
49-47
28-43
40-29
56-45
51-34
50-52
56-29
53-39
38-28
44-48
169.9Avg total
90.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Season at home (4)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.879.1169.9+11.770%
Last 5 (5)93.078.8171.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.395.3171.7-19.00%
vs Similar (14)91.284.9176.1+6.471%
vs Weaker (13)93.777.9171.6+15.892%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A01/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
H04/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A13/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
A14/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
99-58
99
58
+41
H03/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#192
W
92-60
92
60
+32
H07/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#298
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
47-42
37-33
39-43
28-34
33-30
41-30
35-36
34-20
42-52
47-41
33-38
36-37
43-42
52-31
47-27
47-24
45-36
49-20
42-31
154.7Avg total
83.6Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.056.3150.3+37.7100%
Season at home (3)94.056.3150.3+37.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.671.1154.7+12.570%
Last 5 (5)90.468.2158.6+22.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.981.5156.4-6.624%
vs Similar (9)76.076.2152.2-0.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)90.253.0143.2+37.2100%
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: +10.2+10.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.9+2.9
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: +10.2+10.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +2.9+2.9
AlabamaOle Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#226
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#229
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H10/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H14/11
NCAA
80.9Avg total
45.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.481.3+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.835.482.2+11.480%-
Last 30 away (10)38.041.579.5-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)45.435.580.9+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.480.2+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.044.086.0-2.067%-
vs Similar (14)43.939.683.5+4.450%-
vs Weaker (13)44.233.677.8+10.585%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H04/03
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A11/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
34-20
34
20
+14
A12/03
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A13/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A14/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#389
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#192
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H07/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#298
W
49-20
49
20
+29
H11/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
40.9Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.568.1+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.932.969.8+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)32.334.166.4-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.930.771.6+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.230.676.8+15.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.435.067.4-2.629%-
vs Similar (9)33.634.668.1-1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.225.071.2+21.2100%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alabama wins
2
Ole Miss wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Alabama v Ole Miss79-80
12/02/26Ole Miss v Alabama74-93
15/01/25Alabama v Ole Miss64-74
29/02/24Ole Miss v Alabama88-103
04/01/23Alabama v Ole Miss84-62
10/02/22Ole Miss v Alabama83-97
30/12/20Alabama v Ole Miss82-64
23/02/20Ole Miss v Alabama78-103
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSeton Hall82-76
10/11/26HOakland109-68
07/11/26HArkansas State101-86
04/11/26HSam Houston St.96-74
27/03/26AMichigan77-90
23/03/26HTexas Tech90-65
20/03/26HHofstra90-70
13/03/26HOle Miss79-80
08/03/26HAuburn96-84
03/03/26AGeorgia88-98
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HSE Louisiana91-51
07/11/26HCentral Arkansas92-60
03/11/26HAlcorn State99-58
14/03/26AArkansas90-93 OT
13/03/26AAlabama80-79
12/03/26AGeorgia76-72
11/03/26ATexas76-66
07/03/26HSouth Carolina61-64
04/03/26HVanderbilt86-89 OT
01/03/26AAuburn85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alabama
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Ole Miss
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game56.356.3-
Point differential+37.7+37.7-
Avg total150.3150.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.