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Alba Berlin vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-67
21-20 17-17 20-21 24-9
Position#26
Record6-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#11
Record8-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game71.2
EuropeEurocupRound 3
European cup2015
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Aris
19 Jan 2016
ABE82
ARI67
09 Feb 2010
ABE61
ARI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H13/12
BBL
Brindisi
#43
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H16/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#14
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H19/12
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A22/12
BBL
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
89-58
89
58
+31
H27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#10
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A02/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H06/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#20
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A13/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A16/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
24-31
20-12
20-24
18-28
24-13
21-23
17-15
26-22
29-17
17-20
19-14
21-13
26-31
18-17
21-22
30-17
13-11
20-13
26-17
21-17
17-10
22-19
20-23
11-25
21-19
24-26
24-20
25-21
16-19
19-12
23-15
9-20
20-18
23-12
13-23
14-13
10-7
10-13
9-13
149.6Avg total
77.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.877.5154.3-0.750%
Season at home (6)81.378.2159.5+3.267%
Season away (6)72.376.8149.2-4.533%
Last 10 (10)77.172.5149.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)70.269.0139.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.382.0160.3-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.176.1154.3+2.043%
vs Weaker (17)81.270.3151.5+10.982%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H04/11
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A11/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#21
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#28
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A25/11
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H02/12
Eurocup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A09/12
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H15/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A27/12
Greek Cup
Neptunas
#20
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H06/01
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
54-95
54
95
-41
A12/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
19-13
8-24
20-17
20-15
13-24
30-26
21-31
22-19
18-17
13-11
25-23
6-24
15-24
16-13
19-14
13-20
19-14
24-21
20-15
18-8
21-21
15-22
23-16
16-17
17-12
18-17
21-7
16-24
21-14
11-31
21-21
25-5
21-17
17-22
21-14
17-24
10-33
15-14
12-24
146.0Avg total
72.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.671.2143.8+1.467%
Season at home (6)75.862.3138.2+13.5100%
Season away (6)69.380.0149.3-10.733%
Last 10 (10)72.074.0146.0-2.060%
Last 5 (5)71.272.6143.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.678.4146.0-10.835%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.471.6143.0-0.156%
vs Weaker (3)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
Alba BerlinAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H13/12
BBL
Brindisi
#43
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H16/12
Eurocup
Tubingen
#14
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H19/12
BBL
Phoenix Hagen
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/12
BBL
Mitteldeutscher
#16
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H27/12
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#10
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#5
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A02/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H06/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#20
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A13/01
Eurocup
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A16/01
BBL
75.7Avg total
38.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.876.7+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.840.381.1+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)37.235.672.8+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.275.7+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.866.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.346.080.3-11.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.939.076.9-1.143%-
vs Weaker (17)40.934.475.3+6.576%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H04/11
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#21
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#28
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A25/11
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/12
Eurocup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/12
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H15/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/12
Greek Cup
Neptunas
#20
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H06/01
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A12/01
Eurocup
70.7Avg total
35.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.837.872.6-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.435.273.6+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)31.140.471.5-9.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.035.770.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.435.071.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.640.273.8-6.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.836.271.0-1.456%-
vs Weaker (3)41.029.370.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
2
Aris wins
DateGameScore
23/02/10Aris v Alba Berlin80-67
09/02/10Alba Berlin v Aris61-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/16ABasketball Braunschweig43-46
13/01/16ANeptunas65-73
06/01/16HOlimpia Milano83-67
02/01/16ALudwigsburg80-90
30/12/15As.Oliver Wurzburg80-69
27/12/15HMitteldeutscher89-58
22/12/15APhoenix Hagen86-83
19/12/15HTubingen91-73
16/12/15HBrindisi80-79
13/12/15HBamberg74-87
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/16AOlimpia Milano54-95
06/01/16HNeptunas84-58
27/12/15APanathinaikos69-90
15/12/15HBanvit72-53
09/12/15ABC Steaua Bucuresti77-67
02/12/15HUnics Kazan76-70
25/11/15ABuducnost56-75
18/11/15HTrabzonspor78-70
11/11/15ABanvit84-96
04/11/15HBC Steaua Bucuresti70-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game76.881.372.3
Allowed / game77.578.276.8
Point differential-0.7+3.2-4.5
Avg total154.3159.5149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Aris
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game72.675.869.3
Allowed / game71.262.380.0
Point differential+1.4+13.5-10.7
Avg total143.8138.2149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia12120100%82.970.0+12.9
2 Bayern220100%84.076.0+8.0
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv220100%84.578.0+6.5
4 Strasbourg220100%81.075.0+6.0
5 Zenit Petersburg1210283%82.475.8+6.6
6 Bilbao129375%85.474.1+11.3
7 Unics Kazan129375%81.173.4+7.7
8 Gran Canaria129375%82.575.1+7.4
9 Saratov128467%93.884.3+9.5
10 Galatasaray128467%87.078.0+9.0
11 Trento128467%85.681.8+3.8
12 Aris128467%72.671.2+1.4
13 Tecnyconta Zaragoza128467%76.376.7-0.3
14 Ludwigsburg127558%80.374.8+5.6
15 Reggiana127558%77.476.8+0.6
16 Neptunas127558%80.079.7+0.3
17 Olimpia Milano21150%81.068.5+12.5
18 Karsiyaka21150%81.078.0+3.0
19 Banvit126650%78.276.5+1.7
20 Nizhny Novgorod126650%79.879.2+0.6
21 Trabzonspor126650%76.275.8+0.3
22 Zielona Gora21150%82.582.5+0.0
23 Alba Berlin126650%76.877.5-0.7
24 AEK Athens105550%79.481.2-1.8
25 Sassari21150%77.080.0-3.0
26 Oldenburg136746%78.582.6-4.1
27 PAOK136746%76.281.9-5.7
28 Hapoel M. Jerusalem125742%80.781.5-0.8
29 Venezia125742%74.877.4-2.7
30 Petrol Olimpija125742%79.683.2-3.7
31 Szolnoki Olaj125742%75.882.5-6.8
32 Buducnost104640%74.772.5+2.2
33 Nanterre104640%77.280.1-2.9
34 Besiktas104640%81.084.2-3.2
35 Ulm124833%79.080.7-1.7
36 Spirou Charleroi103730%73.178.2-5.1
37 Le Mans103730%72.178.5-6.4
38 Rytas102820%85.688.4-2.8
39 Nancy102820%71.475.9-4.5
40 Bonn102820%83.889.9-6.1
41 BC Steaua Bucuresti102820%67.681.4-13.8
42 Brindisi101910%71.081.5-10.5
43 Volgograd101910%79.791.0-11.3
44 Limoges2020%76.587.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2117202482
Aris201721967
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