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Aris vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-58
25-5 21-17 17-22 21-14
Position#11
Record7-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game70.1
Aris 🏆
vs
Position#20
Record6-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeEurocupRound 1
European cup2015
Meetings · Aris v Neptunas
04 Feb 2026
ARI83
NEP64
06 Jan 2016
ARI84
NEP58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#28
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H21/10
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H04/11
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A11/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#21
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#28
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A25/11
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H02/12
Eurocup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A09/12
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H15/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A27/12
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
19-18
18-15
13-12
14-15
17-16
19-11
14-22
23-12
19-13
8-24
20-17
20-15
13-24
30-26
21-31
22-19
18-17
13-11
25-23
6-24
15-24
16-13
19-14
13-20
19-14
24-21
20-15
18-8
21-21
15-22
23-16
16-17
17-12
18-17
21-7
16-24
21-14
11-31
21-21
144.8Avg total
73.1Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.370.1143.4+3.270%
Season at home (5)74.263.2137.4+11.0100%
Season away (5)72.477.0149.4-4.640%
Last 10 (10)73.171.7144.8+1.470%
Last 5 (5)70.071.0141.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)67.678.4146.0-10.835%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.871.1143.9+1.650%
vs Weaker (4)73.867.5141.2+6.2100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Volgograd
#44
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A02/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H06/12
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H09/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
81-56
81
56
+25
A11/12
LKL
AEK Athens
#22
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A16/12
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H20/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H23/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A27/12
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A30/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H03/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
22-14
30-22
24-23
17-26
22-17
18-18
16-21
22-14
21-23
22-18
17-20
23-10
24-17
14-12
20-17
19-22
15-11
26-20
11-22
22-22
16-11
22-21
16-17
21-6
20-18
23-20
18-21
17-18
22-19
19-14
18-29
22-26
20-15
21-16
22-15
23-25
24-21
11-16
32-17
154.2Avg total
81.3Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.980.7163.6+2.260%
Season at home (5)87.686.0173.6+1.660%
Season away (5)78.275.4153.6+2.860%
Last 10 (10)81.372.9154.2+8.470%
Last 5 (5)81.873.4155.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.780.8156.5-5.217%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.978.0156.9+0.950%
vs Weaker (16)78.973.4152.3+5.475%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
ArisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#28
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H21/10
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A28/10
Eurocup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H04/11
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#21
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#28
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A25/11
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H02/12
Eurocup
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#42
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A09/12
Eurocup
Banvit
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H15/12
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A27/12
Greek Cup
69.1Avg total
35.2Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.736.971.7-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.935.273.1+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)31.638.770.3-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.969.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.668.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.640.273.8-6.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.234.869.0-0.562%-
vs Weaker (4)40.227.567.8+12.8100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Volgograd
#44
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A02/12
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/12
LKL
Nizhny Novgorod
#17
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H09/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A11/12
LKL
AEK Athens
#22
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A16/12
Eurocup
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H20/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H23/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A27/12
LKL
Skycop
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A30/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/01
LKL
76.3Avg total
41.3Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.175.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.778.2+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)36.336.572.9-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.076.3+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.277.6+5.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.238.376.5-0.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.140.178.2-2.062%-
vs Weaker (16)38.735.173.8+3.656%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aris wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/15APanathinaikos69-90
15/12/15HBanvit72-53
09/12/15ABC Steaua Bucuresti77-67
02/12/15HUnics Kazan76-70
25/11/15ABuducnost56-75
18/11/15HTrabzonspor78-70
11/11/15ABanvit84-96
04/11/15HBC Steaua Bucuresti70-66
28/10/15AUnics Kazan74-73 OT
21/10/15HBuducnost75-57
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/16HPieno Zvaigzdes90-79
30/12/15ASkycop85-72
27/12/15ARytas76-80
23/12/15HJuventus82-65
20/12/15HAlytaus Dzukija76-71
16/12/15AAEK Athens71-75
11/12/15ANevezis81-56
09/12/15HNizhny Novgorod82-75
06/12/15HZalgiris Kaunas73-82
02/12/15AVolgograd97-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game73.374.272.4
Allowed / game70.163.277.0
Point differential+3.2+11.0-4.6
Avg total143.4137.4149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2015
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game82.987.678.2
Allowed / game80.786.075.4
Point differential+2.2+1.6+2.8
Avg total163.6173.6153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia10100100%80.968.9+12.0
2 Zielona Gora110100%82.073.0+9.0
3 Bilbao119282%86.373.1+13.2
4 Gran Canaria108280%83.975.2+8.7
5 Zenit Petersburg108280%82.074.6+7.4
6 Saratov118373%95.685.0+10.6
7 Unics Kazan118373%80.472.5+7.8
8 Galatasaray107370%86.778.9+7.8
9 Trento107370%87.582.7+4.8
10 Aris107370%73.370.1+3.2
11 Tecnyconta Zaragoza107370%76.075.7+0.3
12 Ludwigsburg117464%80.474.0+6.4
13 Neptunas106460%82.980.7+2.2
14 Reggiana106460%77.875.9+1.9
15 Nizhny Novgorod116555%79.578.5+1.0
16 Banvit105550%77.075.7+1.3
17 Trabzonspor105550%75.475.9-0.5
18 Alba Berlin105550%77.479.0-1.6
19 AEK Athens105550%79.481.2-1.8
20 Petrol Olimpija105550%79.982.8-2.9
21 PAOK105550%77.383.1-5.8
22 Hapoel M. Jerusalem115645%82.282.1+0.1
23 Oldenburg115645%77.481.6-4.3
24 Szolnoki Olaj115645%77.282.0-4.8
25 Buducnost104640%74.772.5+2.2
26 Nanterre104640%77.280.1-2.9
27 Besiktas104640%81.084.2-3.2
28 Venezia104640%72.176.0-3.9
29 Ulm114736%79.980.5-0.5
30 Spirou Charleroi103730%73.178.2-5.1
31 Le Mans103730%72.178.5-6.4
32 Rytas102820%85.688.4-2.8
33 Nancy102820%71.475.9-4.5
34 Bonn102820%83.889.9-6.1
35 BC Steaua Bucuresti102820%67.681.4-13.8
36 Brindisi101910%71.081.5-10.5
37 Volgograd101910%79.791.0-11.3
38 Limoges1010%78.087.0-9.0
39 Sassari1010%75.086.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aris2521172184
Neptunas517221458
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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