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Alba Berlin vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-68
21-20 26-18 21-14 12-16
Position#1
Record14-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game75.2
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
vs
Bayreuth
Germany
Position#10
Record6-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game86.5
GermanyBBLRound 18
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayreuth
10 Dec 2022
ABE91
BAR83
04 Apr 2022
ABE87
BAR53
12 Feb 2021
ABE80
BAR68
08 Apr 2020
ABE v BAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
ABE86
BAR68
07 Oct 2018
ABE88
BAR68
03 Mar 2018
ABE100
BAR68
24 Mar 2017
ABE77
BAR76
04 Oct 2015
ABE97
BAR77
31 Jan 2015
ABE91
BAR60
01 Feb 2014
ABE83
BAR73
27 Apr 2013
ABE75
BAR74
18 Dec 2011
ABE92
BAR53
19 Feb 2011
ABE94
BAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
103-63
103
63
+40
no box
H20/01
German Cup
Baskonia
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 75
A22/01
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 75
H24/01
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
H27/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
63-72
63
72
-9
50avg 75
H29/01
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 75
H31/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 75
A02/02
BBL
Bayern
#5
L
95-101 OT
95
101
-6
no box
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 75
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
101-77
101
77
+24
100avg 75
A09/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
25-18
30-13
27-14
21-18
25-32
21-11
17-16
28-20
25-25
26-16
20-24
15-20
22-14
19-18
12-19
14-22
16-18
17-19
16-13
17-26
26-18
21-15
22-11
26-18
15-17
27-16
18-24
26-10
17-23
23-25
21-29
17-6
17-21
26-22
23-16
28-19
24-25
26-24
23-9
162.4Avg total
86.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.475.2161.6+11.293%
Season at home (9)88.474.1162.6+14.3100%
Season away (6)83.376.8160.2+6.583%
Last 10 (10)86.875.6162.4+11.270%
Last 5 (5)90.277.6167.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.883.8160.6-7.030%
vs Similar (7)79.479.9159.3-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.873.7163.5+16.1100%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
L
87-93
87
93
-6
83avg 77
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
99-110
99
110
-11
95avg 77
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
73-67
73
67
+6
73avg 77
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
66avg 77
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
71avg 77
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
71avg 77
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
78-98
78
98
-20
71avg 77
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
83-61
83
61
+22
80avg 77
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
78avg 77
H10/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
27-21
14-24
22-25
27-30
25-17
18-24
29-39
18-22
20-17
18-15
17-13
18-25
23-19
15-24
14-21
15-17
20-17
18-15
20-31
19-17
16-19
21-27
21-19
21-24
22-25
19-26
16-23
17-15
23-15
22-25
21-6
25-17
21-24
21-27
19-18
20-17
14-21
30-27
16-17
166.9Avg total
81.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.386.5168.8-4.235%
Season at home (8)83.187.6170.8-4.525%
Season away (9)81.685.4167.0-3.944%
Last 10 (10)81.585.4166.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)82.683.0165.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.690.0167.6-12.411%
vs Similar (8)81.978.8160.6+3.162%
vs Weaker (13)94.592.8187.3+1.846%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
Alba BerlinBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/01
German Cup
Baskonia
#10
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A22/01
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/01
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H29/01
Euroleague
Vechta
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H31/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A02/02
BBL
Bayern
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#14
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H07/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A09/02
BBL
81.3Avg total
42.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.779.6+2.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.537.679.1+3.876%-
Last 30 away (13)40.240.080.2+0.262%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.881.3+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.679.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.241.679.8-3.450%-
vs Similar (7)37.135.672.7+1.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.138.183.2+7.092%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H22/12
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H26/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A30/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A09/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/01
BBL
Bayern
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H23/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#14
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A30/01
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A05/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/02
BBL
81.7Avg total
41.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.543.686.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.943.186.1-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)42.144.186.2-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.281.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.878.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.043.782.7-4.733%-
vs Similar (8)40.140.580.6-0.438%-
vs Weaker (13)46.445.591.9+0.854%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.0
49.4%
54.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.612.0
40.5%
37.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws13.411.7
87.3%
78.0%11.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.0
57.1%
54.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.8
37.8%
37.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.014.0
77.8%
78.0%14.0
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWLWWLLWWW
Bayreuth
LWWLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#10
+9.9
Net rating
-7.0
105.6
Offensive rating
108.9
95.6
Defensive rating
116.0
54.7%
Effective FG%
56.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
21.3%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.5%
3-point %
37.8%
48.3%
Assist %
58.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 108.9Defence95.6 · 116.0Shooting54.7% · 56.9%3-point %40.5% · 37.8%Ball care19.4% · 21.3%Off. rebounds28.5% · 28.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alba Berlin wins
3
Bayreuth wins
DateGameScore
06/12/20Bayreuth v Alba Berlin69-71
08/12/19Bayreuth v Alba Berlin78-82
25/04/19Bayreuth v Alba Berlin80-79
02/02/19Alba Berlin v Bayreuth86-68
07/10/18Alba Berlin v Bayreuth88-68
03/03/18Alba Berlin v Bayreuth100-68
11/11/17Bayreuth v Alba Berlin83-76
24/03/17Alba Berlin v Bayreuth77-76
28/10/16Bayreuth v Alba Berlin98-96
22/04/16Bayreuth v Alba Berlin78-82
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/21ACrailsheim Merlins101-77
07/02/21HChemnitz83-65
05/02/21ABayern95-101 OT
02/02/21AGottingen86-75
31/01/21HVechta86-70
29/01/21HReal Madrid63-72
27/01/21HCSKA Moscow68-71
24/01/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg99-85
22/01/21ABaskonia84-77
20/01/21HBasketball Braunschweig103-63
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/21HGottingen80-82
05/02/21AHamburg95-92 OT
30/01/21AChemnitz83-61
23/01/21HBayern78-98
16/01/21ACrailsheim Merlins77-82
09/01/21AOldenburg73-80
02/01/21HLudwigsburg70-89
30/12/20ABamberg73-67
26/12/20HGiessen99-110
22/12/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg87-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %93%100%83%
Points / game86.488.483.3
Allowed / game75.274.176.8
Point differential+11.2+14.3+6.5
Avg total161.6162.6160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%25%44%
Points / game82.383.181.6
Allowed / game86.587.685.4
Point differential-4.2-4.5-3.9
Avg total168.8170.8167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg1716194%89.478.5+10.9
2 Alba Berlin1514193%86.475.2+11.2
3 Oldenburg1714382%92.782.8+9.9
4 Crailsheim Merlins1714382%89.983.0+6.9
5 Bayern1613381%87.478.2+9.2
6 Hamburg159660%85.579.4+6.1
7 Ulm1710759%87.179.9+7.1
8 Bamberg1881044%83.282.2+0.9
9 Frankfurt1771041%79.181.5-2.5
10 Basketball Braunschweig135838%86.491.5-5.1
11 Bayreuth1761135%82.386.5-4.2
12 Gottingen1761135%81.990.3-8.4
13 Syntainics MBC1651131%85.790.3-4.6
14 s.Oliver Wurzburg1651131%78.885.9-7.1
15 Chemnitz1651131%80.989.2-8.2
16 Bonn1541127%81.685.9-4.3
17 Vechta1731418%79.787.4-7.7
18 Giessen1621412%84.395.6-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2126211280
Bayreuth2018141668
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