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Alba Berlin vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-83
27-20 13-29 21-18 30-16
Position#2
Record7-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#18
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game84.0
GermanyBBLRound 9
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayreuth
10 Dec 2022
ABE91
BAR83
04 Apr 2022
ABE87
BAR53
12 Feb 2021
ABE80
BAR68
08 Apr 2020
ABE v BAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
ABE86
BAR68
07 Oct 2018
ABE88
BAR68
03 Mar 2018
ABE100
BAR68
24 Mar 2017
ABE77
BAR76
04 Oct 2015
ABE97
BAR77
31 Jan 2015
ABE91
BAR60
01 Feb 2014
ABE83
BAR73
27 Apr 2013
ABE75
BAR74
18 Dec 2011
ABE92
BAR53
19 Feb 2011
ABE94
BAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
76avg 83
H10/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
58avg 83
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
101avg 83
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
no box
H22/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
71avg 83
A24/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
L
95-96
95
96
-1
93avg 83
A27/11
BBL
Barcelona
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 83
H01/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#8
W
99-71
99
71
+28
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 83
A06/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
75-104
75
104
-29
62avg 83
H08/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
24-19
19-23
19-11
20-26
17-27
15-17
20-20
23-24
22-20
27-25
27-22
19-20
21-17
17-18
18-20
21-18
17-21
21-22
17-25
20-20
23-25
27-26
25-25
19-30
27-15
11-26
29-17
27-24
24-22
31-16
17-9
25-20
19-23
27-17
24-30
18-24
17-30
17-30
23-20
174.1Avg total
85.8Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.482.0173.4+9.488%
Season at home (3)86.079.7165.7+6.3100%
Season away (5)94.683.4178.0+11.280%
Last 10 (10)85.888.3174.1-2.530%
Last 5 (5)90.089.8179.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.588.3168.8-7.817%
vs Similar (6)81.580.2161.7+1.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.778.0166.7+10.788%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
no box
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
65avg 72
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
79-95
79
95
-16
68avg 72
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A15/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
99-77
99
77
+22
97avg 72
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
68avg 72
A29/10
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 72
A06/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
76-77
76
77
-1
68avg 72
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-96
83
96
-13
68avg 72
A26/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
63-80
63
80
-17
no box
A04/12
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
13-12
22-20
23-16
22-14
19-30
16-14
15-18
15-27
24-25
19-20
21-23
17-24
20-19
13-14
25-12
32-18
22-16
19-24
26-19
23-25
25-17
14-22
11-24
16-18
20-16
6-28
26-19
24-8
17-22
16-18
19-29
18-23
22-30
27-23
16-20
14-13
16-34
14-13
19-20
159.2Avg total
77.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.184.0163.1-4.925%
Season at home (4)84.282.8167.0+1.550%
Season away (4)74.085.2159.2-11.20%
Last 10 (10)77.182.1159.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)72.684.4157.0-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.283.8161.0-6.717%
vs Similar (11)78.988.5167.5-9.618%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
Alba BerlinBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#16
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H22/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/11
BBL
Barcelona
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H01/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A04/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H08/12
Euroleague
86.9Avg total
41.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.883.7+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.842.785.5+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)43.139.182.2+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.186.9-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.846.690.4-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.345.888.2-3.533%-
vs Similar (6)40.537.878.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.939.683.5+4.371%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H30/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A05/10
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H08/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/10
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H23/10
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A29/10
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A26/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/12
German Cup
81.4Avg total
39.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.383.4-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.141.782.8-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)39.444.684.0-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.881.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.280.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.341.481.7-1.139%-
vs Similar (11)40.346.486.6-6.118%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.3
55.6%
54.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.8
37.7%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.715.2
70.0%
75.8%15.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.616.0
50.6%
54.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.9
36.8%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
75.8%15.3
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWLLLLWLL
Bayreuth
LLLLLWWLLW
#2
League position
#18
-3.4
Net rating
-9.1
112.6
Offensive rating
107.4
116.1
Defensive rating
116.5
56.0%
Effective FG%
52.7%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
19.2%
Turnover %
21.8%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.7%
3-point %
36.8%
68.8%
Assist %
63.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 107.4Defence116.1 · 116.5Shooting56.0% · 52.7%3-point %37.7% · 36.8%Ball care19.2% · 21.8%Off. rebounds33.6% · 34.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alba Berlin wins
1
Bayreuth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/22HFenerbahce75-104
06/12/22ABasketball Braunschweig95-90
04/12/22AGottingen99-71
01/12/22HBarcelona86-88
27/11/22AGottingen95-96
24/11/22AOlympiacos76-86
22/11/22HCrvena zvezda84-88 OT
20/11/22HLudwigsburg99-91
17/11/22AReal Madrid72-90
10/11/22HBayern77-79
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22ABayern63-80
26/11/22ASyntainics MBC83-96
19/11/22HBasketball Braunschweig76-77
06/11/22ABayern68-81
29/10/22AUlm73-88
23/10/22HCrailsheim Merlins99-77
15/10/22ASyntainics MBC75-69
08/10/22HHamburg79-95
05/10/22AOldenburg72-76
30/09/22HFrankfurt83-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game91.486.094.6
Allowed / game82.079.783.4
Point differential+9.4+6.3+11.2
Avg total173.4165.7178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game79.184.274.0
Allowed / game84.082.885.2
Point differential-4.9+1.5-11.2
Avg total163.1167.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern98189%83.474.8+8.7
2 Bonn87188%90.474.9+15.5
3 Alba Berlin87188%91.482.0+9.4
4 Ludwigsburg97278%91.685.0+6.6
5 Oldenburg96367%84.280.0+4.2
6 Chemnitz74357%88.688.0+0.6
7 Hamburg84450%83.684.2-0.6
8 Gottingen84450%85.087.8-2.8
9 Rostock84450%89.993.9-4.0
10 Ulm94544%88.086.2+1.8
11 Wurzburg94544%86.387.7-1.3
12 Bamberg83538%83.483.8-0.4
13 Heidelberg83538%85.192.1-7.0
14 Crailsheim Merlins93633%86.992.0-5.1
15 Bayreuth82625%79.184.0-4.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig82625%77.484.0-6.6
17 Syntainics MBC82625%87.294.5-7.2
18 Frankfurt91811%76.884.3-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2713213091
Bayreuth2029181683
← all games of the day
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