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Alba Berlin vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-53
18-15 20-20 14-14 35-4
Position#1
Record16-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#16
Record11-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game85.6
GermanyBBLRound 28
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayreuth
10 Dec 2022
ABE91
BAR83
04 Apr 2022
ABE87
BAR53
12 Feb 2021
ABE80
BAR68
08 Apr 2020
ABE v BAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
ABE86
BAR68
07 Oct 2018
ABE88
BAR68
03 Mar 2018
ABE100
BAR68
24 Mar 2017
ABE77
BAR76
04 Oct 2015
ABE97
BAR77
31 Jan 2015
ABE91
BAR60
01 Feb 2014
ABE83
BAR73
27 Apr 2013
ABE75
BAR74
18 Dec 2011
ABE92
BAR53
19 Feb 2011
ABE94
BAR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H03/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
W
90-75
90
75
+15
95avg 77
H10/03
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
84-58
84
58
+26
89avg 77
A13/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
93avg 77
H16/03
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 77
A18/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
69avg 77
H22/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
74-70
74
70
+4
no box
H25/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
L
64-81
64
81
-17
58avg 77
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#13
W
66-57
66
57
+9
62avg 77
A29/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 77
A01/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
20-6
15-20
23-24
16-17
21-13
20-21
33-24
23-14
22-12
22-18
17-14
21-22
21-15
30-18
23-25
19-21
12-23
29-20
8-21
13-21
26-26
19-26
21-22
24-15
13-20
21-22
16-13
22-17
11-21
18-21
13-22
16-19
21-8
11-11
18-19
24-16
15-20
18-26
20-25
154.1Avg total
77.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.773.0157.7+11.773%
Season at home (10)86.672.1158.7+14.560%
Season away (12)83.173.8156.8+9.383%
Last 10 (10)77.976.2154.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)72.078.0150.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.780.6160.2-0.944%
vs Similar (7)72.373.6145.9-1.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.173.6160.7+13.686%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
92avg 76
H05/02
BBL
Legia
#3
L
55-80
55
80
-25
no box
A09/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
89avg 76
H12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
111-95
111
95
+16
111avg 76
A16/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
81-105
81
105
-24
67avg 76
A05/03
BBL
Giessen
#18
L
89-95
89
95
-6
82avg 76
H09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A12/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 76
A18/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
64avg 76
H23/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H26/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
31-20
17-18
24-19
14-23
11-15
19-21
11-21
16-29
25-15
20-15
24-20
27-30
30-17
26-23
28-25
21-26
22-33
22-23
16-23
30-27
23-16
17-24
19-28
17-31
26-18
20-18
18-14
19-18
15-22
22-29
9-17
18-12
15-27
21-16
17-19
18-23
18-24
14-21
21-16
167.0Avg total
80.9Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.585.6166.1-5.041%
Season at home (13)81.783.5165.2-1.846%
Season away (14)79.487.5166.9-8.136%
Last 10 (10)80.986.1167.0-5.230%
Last 5 (5)77.486.2163.6-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.788.0164.7-11.329%
vs Similar (16)84.484.4168.8-0.144%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
Alba BerlinBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/03
Euroleague
Giessen
#18
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A13/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H16/03
BBL
Baskonia
#15
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A18/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H22/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/03
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#13
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A29/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A01/04
Euroleague
73.4Avg total
38.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.877.8+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.536.276.7+4.269%-
Last 30 away (17)39.639.178.6+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.435.073.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.673.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.637.775.2-0.156%-
vs Similar (7)36.435.672.0+0.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.339.182.4+4.257%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H05/02
BBL
Legia
#3
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A09/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H12/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A16/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#15
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A05/03
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A12/03
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A18/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H23/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H26/03
BBL
85.4Avg total
41.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.985.7-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.942.885.6+0.141%-
Last 30 away (13)40.545.485.8-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.085.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.683.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.244.284.4-4.029%-
vs Similar (16)43.243.686.9-0.444%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.3
53.6%
54.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.7
38.0%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws12.59.6
76.8%
73.1%9.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.5
57.5%
54.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.2
36.9%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
73.1%14.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLWLLWWWW
Bayreuth
LLLLLLWWLW
#1
League position
#16
+3.0
Net rating
-5.7
109.5
Offensive rating
112.5
106.6
Defensive rating
118.2
55.0%
Effective FG%
56.6%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.0%
3-point %
36.9%
63.4%
Assist %
59.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 112.5Defence106.6 · 118.2Shooting55.0% · 56.6%3-point %38.0% · 36.9%Ball care20.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.1% · 27.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alba Berlin wins
2
Bayreuth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/22AAnadolu Efes77-87
29/03/22AFenerbahce66-57
27/03/22AChemnitz64-81
25/03/22HCrvena zvezda74-70
22/03/22HBarcelona79-95
18/03/22ABaskonia68-85
16/03/22HBasketball Braunschweig95-80
13/03/22AGiessen84-58
10/03/22HOlympiacos90-75
03/03/22HZalgiris Kaunas82-74
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/22HBamberg71-84
23/03/22HOldenburg71-74
18/03/22ABonn65-86
12/03/22AGottingen91-92 OT
09/03/22HGiessen89-95
05/03/22ASyntainics MBC81-105
16/02/22AOldenburg111-95
12/02/22HHeidelberg85-79
09/02/22ALegia55-80
05/02/22HHamburg90-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game84.786.683.1
Allowed / game73.072.173.8
Point differential+11.7+14.5+9.3
Avg total157.7158.7156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%60%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Bayreuth
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWWLLL46%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%46%36%
Points / game80.581.779.4
Allowed / game85.683.587.5
Point differential-5.0-1.8-8.1
Avg total166.1165.2166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2821775%88.881.2+7.6
2 Bayern2619773%80.674.5+6.1
3 Alba Berlin2216673%84.773.0+11.7
4 Ulm2518772%82.678.9+3.8
5 Ludwigsburg2719870%80.775.2+5.4
6 Chemnitz26161062%79.278.0+1.2
7 Hamburg27151256%86.082.0+4.0
8 Gottingen26141254%80.581.9-1.4
9 Crailsheim Merlins24121250%84.886.4-1.6
10 Bamberg27131448%83.986.4-2.5
11 Heidelberg27111641%78.681.6-3.0
12 Bayreuth27111641%80.585.6-5.0
13 Basketball Braunschweig26101638%84.585.0-0.4
14 s.Oliver Wurzburg27101737%81.785.5-3.8
15 Oldenburg28101836%85.186.8-1.7
16 Syntainics MBC2791833%84.489.6-5.1
17 Giessen2561924%79.985.2-5.3
18 Frankfurt2762122%72.380.2-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1820143587
Bayreuth152014453
← all games of the day
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