Alba Berlin vs Bremerhaven Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2019

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 107-104 (OT)

31-27 26-32 20-20 21-19 9-6

Position#3

Record25-7

FormLLWWW

Points / game91.8

Allowed / game80.0

Alba Berlin 🏆

Bremerhaven

Position#17

Record8-24

FormWLWWL

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game86.6

BBLRound 33

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bremerhaven

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bremerhaven winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba Berlin Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

95-92 OT

H12/04

Eurocup

Valencia

63-89

-26

A15/04

Eurocup

Vechta

104-67

104

+37

H18/04

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

102-91

102

+11

A20/04

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

92-84

H22/04

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

79-80

-1

A25/04

BBL

Bayern

75-85

-10

H28/04

BBL

Jena

#18

81-77

A30/04

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

108-69

108

+39

H05/05

BBL

Bonn

110-98

110

+12

H08/05

BBL

23-21

19-18

20-20

21-24

18-17

15-29

11-17

19-26

27-14

31-18

25-20

21-15

22-30

33-25

21-18

26-18

34-20

15-25

20-18

23-21

23-12

18-23

21-17

17-28

20-17

21-22

20-17

14-29

23-25

19-14

17-23

22-15

32-15

17-13

25-19

34-22

24-24

29-29

29-17

28-28

174.1Avg total

90.9Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	91.8	80.0	171.8	+11.8	78%
Season at home (16)	95.1	78.6	173.7	+16.6	88%
Season away (16)	88.5	81.4	169.9	+7.1	69%
Last 10 (10)	90.9	83.2	174.1	+7.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	81.8	172.4	+8.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	77.7	90.0	167.7	-12.3	33%
vs Similar (8)	85.9	83.1	169.0	+2.8	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	92.3	80.0	172.3	+12.3	84%

This opponent (Bremerhaven) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bremerhaven Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

#18

76-74

H09/03

BBL

Bamberg

74-100

100

-26

A18/03

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

80-86

-6

A20/03

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

83-75

H30/03

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

71-80

-9

A07/04

BBL

Bonn

88-67

+21

H13/04

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

81-83

-2

A20/04

BBL

Gottingen

#14

94-88 OT

H28/04

BBL

Ludwigsburg

#10

81-75

H01/05

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

78-80

-2

H04/05

BBL

20-25

18-17

25-16

13-16

16-28

18-28

18-24

22-20

21-19

15-10

20-30

24-27

14-26

22-14

24-19

23-16

20-20

11-17

28-23

12-20

28-17

18-19

21-19

21-12

19-18

22-17

16-29

24-19

30-12

14-17

17-30

20-22

19-24

19-15

20-16

23-20

27-18

13-19

14-25

24-18

161.4Avg total

80.6Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	79.8	86.6	166.5	-6.8	25%
Season at home (17)	82.3	84.2	166.5	-1.9	35%
Season away (15)	77.1	89.4	166.5	-12.3	13%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	80.8	161.4	-0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	78.6	163.0	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	78.2	88.2	166.4	-10.0	15%
vs Similar (8)	83.1	86.5	169.6	-3.4	25%
vs Weaker (2)	87.0	80.5	167.5	+6.5	100%

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Alba BerlinBremerhaven

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	20.5	44.4	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.7	42.3	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	19.5	44.1	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.6	43.0	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.4	19.6	44.0	+4.8	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	32%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	23.0	42.2	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	21.8	42.2	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	24.4	42.1	-6.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	17.8	42.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.8	23.6	41.4	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	21.6	43.5	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.2	43.1	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.9	43.5	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.4	19.4	42.8	+4.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	22.7	42.3	-3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.8	20.2	44.1	+3.6	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.9	39.9	-4.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.3	34.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.4	34.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.2	22.1	41.3	-2.9	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	18.1	36.4	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	24.5	43.5	-5.5	50%	-

Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valencia

42-39

H12/04

Eurocup

Valencia

33-46

-13

A15/04

Eurocup

Vechta

58-32

+26

H18/04

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

55-55

A20/04

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

49-45

H22/04

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

41-35

A25/04

BBL

Bayern

41-39

H28/04

BBL

Jena

#18

42-39

A30/04

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

49-28

+21

H05/05

BBL

Bonn

53-53

H08/05

BBL

87.4Avg total

46.3Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	41.3	86.5	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.5	41.4	87.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	41.1	85.1	+2.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.3	41.1	87.4	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	42.0	79.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	46.5	38.8	85.2	+7.8	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	45.8	42.2	88.1	+3.6	53%	-

This opponent (Bremerhaven) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BremerhavenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jena

#18

38-42

-4

H09/03

BBL

Bamberg

34-56

-22

A18/03

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

36-29

A20/03

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

36-40

-4

H30/03

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

31-37

-6

A07/04

BBL

Bonn

46-36

+10

H13/04

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

41-35

A20/04

BBL

Gottingen

#14

44-29

+15

H28/04

BBL

Ludwigsburg

#10

38-39

-1

H01/05

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

40-37

H04/05

BBL

76.4Avg total

38.4Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	44.2	82.3	-6.1	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.3	42.3	82.6	-2.0	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	46.4	82.0	-10.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	38.0	76.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	35.2	77.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	37.0	45.7	82.7	-8.7	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.1	39.8	79.9	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.5	47.0	88.5	-5.5	0%	-

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.3	41.6	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.9	39.9	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	22.3	37.7	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.1	23.2	43.4	-3.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.4	17.7	40.1	+4.7	74%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.4	42.2	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.1	43.4	-2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.8	41.4	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	45%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	23.6	44.0	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	14.5	36.5	+7.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.6	43.1	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.9	43.2	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	20.3	42.9	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.6	45.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	24.4	47.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	22.7	43.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	21.1	40.4	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.1	20.1	44.2	+3.9	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.7	40.7	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	16.5	32.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	40.3	83.8	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	40.3	84.8	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	40.3	82.8	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	41.2	84.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	43.0	88.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.4	44.4	83.8	-5.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	46.5	37.8	84.3	+8.7	84%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	42.6	83.7	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.5	41.7	82.2	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	43.7	85.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.1	83.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.0	82.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	41.2	42.5	83.8	-1.2	35%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.4	45.9	87.2	-4.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	31.0	68.5	+6.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.3	50.5%	54.1%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	11.1	43.7%	33.9%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.7	79.4%	73.5%	12.7

They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Bremerhaventheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	18.6	56.7%	54.1%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.9	35.0%	33.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.1%	73.5%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.3	50.6%	54.1%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	10.1	42.3%	33.9%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.6	78.3%	73.5%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	18.0	54.9%	54.1%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.7	36.0%	33.9%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.9	74.7%	73.5%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alba Berlin wins

Bremerhaven wins

Date	Game	Score
29/12/18	Bremerhaven v Alba Berlin	86-94
11/03/18	Bremerhaven v Alba Berlin	85-99
02/10/17	Alba Berlin v Bremerhaven	64-66
22/04/17	Bremerhaven v Alba Berlin	100-92
11/12/16	Alba Berlin v Bremerhaven	97-71
14/02/16	Bremerhaven v Alba Berlin	54-97
29/11/15	Alba Berlin v Bremerhaven	69-80
30/04/15	Alba Berlin v Bremerhaven	87-74
04/01/15	Bremerhaven v Alba Berlin	75-95
22/03/14	Bremerhaven v Alba Berlin	59-62

Alba Berlinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/05/19	H	Bonn	110-98
05/05/19	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	108-69
30/04/19	A	Jena	81-77
28/04/19	H	Bayern	75-85
25/04/19	A	Bayreuth	79-80
22/04/19	H	Mitteldeutscher	92-84
20/04/19	A	Mitteldeutscher	102-91
18/04/19	H	Vechta	104-67
15/04/19	A	Valencia	63-89
12/04/19	H	Valencia	95-92 OT

Bremerhavenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/19	H	Frankfurt	78-80
01/05/19	H	Ludwigsburg	81-75
28/04/19	H	Gottingen	94-88 OT
20/04/19	A	Basketball Braunschweig	81-83
13/04/19	H	Bonn	88-67
07/04/19	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	71-80
30/03/19	H	Bayreuth	83-75
20/03/19	A	Crailsheim Merlins	80-86
18/03/19	A	Bamberg	74-100
09/03/19	H	Jena	76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	78%
Home	WWLWW	88%
Away	WWWLW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	78%	88%	69%
Points / game	91.8	95.1	88.5
Allowed / game	80.0	78.6	81.4
Point differential	+11.8	+16.6	+7.1
Avg total	171.8	173.7	169.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	62%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	100% (1)	50% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bremerhaven

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	25%
Home	WWWWL	35%
Away	LLLLL	13%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	25%	35%	13%
Points / game	79.8	82.3	77.1
Allowed / game	86.6	84.2	89.4
Point differential	-6.8	-1.9	-12.3
Avg total	166.5	166.5	166.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	12%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	17% (6)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	6%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	32	30	2	94%	88.3	75.8	+12.6
2	Oldenburg	32	27	5	84%	92.2	80.2	+12.0
3	Alba Berlin	32	25	7	78%	91.8	80.0	+11.8
4	Vechta	33	24	9	73%	87.3	82.2	+5.2
5	Bamberg	33	21	12	64%	88.3	85.3	+3.0
6	Ulm	32	19	13	59%	87.7	84.6	+3.1
7	Bonn	32	17	15	53%	86.1	86.8	-0.7
8	s.Oliver Wurzburg	32	16	16	50%	82.1	82.8	-0.7
9	Basketball Braunschweig	33	16	17	48%	84.5	83.9	+0.7
10	Ludwigsburg	33	16	17	48%	84.9	85.4	-0.5
11	Frankfurt	33	15	18	45%	79.0	82.2	-3.2
12	Bayreuth	33	14	19	42%	85.2	87.2	-2.0
13	Giessen	33	13	20	39%	90.4	94.2	-3.8
14	Gottingen	33	10	23	30%	79.0	82.9	-3.9
15	Mitteldeutscher	32	9	23	28%	83.6	89.0	-5.4
16	Bremerhaven	32	8	24	25%	79.8	86.6	-6.8
17	Crailsheim Merlins	32	7	25	22%	82.5	91.1	-8.7
18	Jena	32	5	27	16%	76.9	89.2	-12.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Alba Berlin	31	26	20	21	9	107
Bremerhaven	27	32	20	19	6	104

← all games of the day

Alba Berlin vs Bremerhaven Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature