Alba Berlin vs Vechta Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 104-67

27-14 31-18 25-20 21-15

Position#3

Record19-5

FormWWLWL

Points / game91.1

Allowed / game79.5

Alba Berlin 🏆

Vechta

Position#4

Record20-7

FormWWLWW

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game80.8

BBLRound 28

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Alba Berlin v Vechta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vechta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba Berlin Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBerlin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

79-75

105avg 111

H13/03

Eurocup

Giessen

#13

101-96

101

no box

A17/03

BBL

MoraBanc Andorra

102-97

102

no box

H19/03

Eurocup

MoraBanc Andorra

87-81

no box

A22/03

Eurocup

Bamberg

69-66

no box

A31/03

BBL

Ulm

92-81

+11

no box

H02/04

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

105-69

105

+36

no box

A06/04

BBL

Valencia

75-89

-14

64avg 111

A09/04

Eurocup

Valencia

95-92 OT

no box

H12/04

Eurocup

Valencia

63-89

-26

56avg 111

A15/04

Eurocup

23-21

13-18

26-25

17-11

26-23

26-19

28-25

21-29

29-21

30-22

26-30

17-24

25-23

26-19

22-20

14-19

9-20

24-13

17-17

19-16

19-26

30-27

24-19

19-9

21-25

29-12

29-15

26-17

13-20

25-21

15-30

22-18

23-21

19-18

20-20

21-24

18-17

15-29

11-17

19-26

170.3Avg total

86.8Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	91.1	79.5	170.6	+11.6	79%
Season at home (11)	93.9	77.6	171.5	+16.3	91%
Season away (13)	88.8	81.1	169.8	+7.7	69%
Last 10 (10)	86.8	83.5	170.3	+3.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	84.0	170.0	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	77.7	90.0	167.7	-12.3	33%
vs Similar (9)	87.6	82.0	169.6	+5.6	78%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	90.2	80.7	170.9	+9.5	78%

This opponent (Vechta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vechta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVechta

Date

Competition

Bremerhaven

#17

84-77

no box

A26/01

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

89-79

+10

no box

H01/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

86-81

no box

A10/02

BBL

Bonn

112-117 OT

112

117

-5

no box

H14/02

BBL

Gottingen

#14

82-79

no box

A03/03

BBL

Bayern

93-75

+18

no box

H10/03

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

88-85

no box

A16/03

BBL

Bamberg

95-101 OT

101

-6

no box

H21/03

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

100-80

100

+20

no box

A29/03

BBL

Oldenburg

100-85

100

+15

no box

H06/04

BBL

20-31

27-14

21-20

16-12

27-18

17-24

19-20

26-17

24-13

16-21

20-20

26-27

18-20

20-22

28-17

22-29

25-20

25-19

19-21

13-19

26-20

27-20

26-15

14-20

21-17

25-20

23-26

19-22

21-28

20-21

16-18

27-17

25-24

18-11

33-23

24-22

23-18

35-24

21-20

21-23

178.8Avg total

92.9Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	86.4	80.8	167.2	+5.7	74%
Season at home (14)	88.6	81.3	169.9	+7.3	64%
Season away (13)	84.2	80.2	164.4	+3.9	85%
Last 10 (10)	92.9	85.9	178.8	+7.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	85.2	180.4	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	80.2	77.8	158.0	+2.4	60%
vs Similar (5)	85.0	81.4	166.4	+3.6	40%
vs Weaker (20)	88.2	80.8	169.0	+7.4	85%

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Alba BerlinVechta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.2	20.8	43.1	+1.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.9	19.6	43.4	+4.3	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	28%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.9	43.9	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	19.9	43.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.2	21.8	44.9	+1.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	23.4	18.7	42.1	+4.7	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	19.8	43.5	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.4	45.0	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	22.7	42.3	-3.0	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.9	19.7	43.6	+4.3	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.6	42.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	19.2	44.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	60%	-

Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unicaja

36-39

-3

H13/03

Eurocup

Giessen

#13

52-42

+10

A17/03

BBL

MoraBanc Andorra

59-43

+16

H19/03

Eurocup

MoraBanc Andorra

51-42

A22/03

Eurocup

Bamberg

33-33

A31/03

BBL

Ulm

49-53

-4

H02/04

BBL

Crailsheim Merlins

#16

50-37

+13

A06/04

BBL

Valencia

38-41

-3

A09/04

Eurocup

Valencia

42-39

H12/04

Eurocup

Valencia

33-46

-13

A15/04

Eurocup

85.8Avg total

44.3Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	40.8	84.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	45.4	42.6	88.0	+2.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	43.3	39.6	82.9	+3.7	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	41.5	85.8	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	43.2	85.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	42.0	79.7	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	47.1	39.1	86.2	+8.0	89%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	43.7	41.4	85.2	+2.3	50%	-

This opponent (Vechta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VechtaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bremerhaven

#17

47-45

A26/01

BBL

Mitteldeutscher

#15

44-42

H01/02

BBL

Bayreuth

#12

40-34

A10/02

BBL

Bonn

38-42

-4

H14/02

BBL

Gottingen

#14

50-39

+11

A03/03

BBL

Bayern

53-40

+13

H10/03

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

46-37

A16/03

BBL

Bamberg

41-49

-8

H21/03

BBL

Frankfurt

#11

43-35

A29/03

BBL

Oldenburg

58-42

+16

H06/04

BBL

86.5Avg total

46.0Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	38.2	80.0	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.3	38.5	80.7	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	38.0	79.3	+3.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	40.5	86.5	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.2	40.6	88.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	42.0	40.6	82.6	+1.4	60%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.8	40.2	82.0	+1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	41.7	37.1	78.8	+4.6	75%	-

This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.0	20.1	42.1	+1.9	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	22.3	37.7	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	22.3	42.6	-2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.7	18.6	40.3	+3.1	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.5	42.1	+1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.2	15.8	36.0	+4.4	80%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.6	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.6	43.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	23.2	21.0	44.2	+2.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	22.7	43.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.9	20.3	44.2	+3.7	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.7	39.7	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.4	41.3	+0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	40.7	83.8	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.5	40.1	83.6	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.9	41.1	84.0	+1.8	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	41.1	82.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	39.0	80.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	45.0	81.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.4	42.9	83.3	-2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.7	38.9	84.6	+6.8	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.6	81.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	38.3	80.1	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	40.9	83.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	40.8	84.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	41.2	86.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	38.2	37.2	75.4	+1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.0	37.8	78.8	+3.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (20)	43.5	40.6	84.1	+2.8	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.3	50.5%	54.1%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	11.1	43.7%	34.0%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.7	79.4%	73.6%	12.7

They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vechtatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	18.6	56.7%	54.1%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.9	35.0%	34.0%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.1%	73.6%	14.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.3	50.6%	54.1%	40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	10.1	42.3%	34.0%	30.4
🏀 Free throws	17.3	13.6	78.3%	73.6%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	18.0	54.9%	54.1%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.7	36.0%	34.0%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.9	74.7%	73.6%	15.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alba Berlin wins

Vechta wins

Date	Game	Score
10/11/18	Vechta v Alba Berlin	80-69
07/01/17	Vechta v Alba Berlin	69-80
26/12/16	Alba Berlin v Vechta	83-74
05/04/14	Alba Berlin v Vechta	91-66
21/12/13	Vechta v Alba Berlin	73-88

Alba Berlinlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/19	A	Valencia	63-89
12/04/19	H	Valencia	95-92 OT
09/04/19	A	Valencia	75-89
06/04/19	A	Crailsheim Merlins	105-69
02/04/19	H	Ulm	92-81
31/03/19	A	Bamberg	69-66
22/03/19	A	MoraBanc Andorra	87-81
19/03/19	H	MoraBanc Andorra	102-97
17/03/19	A	Giessen	101-96
13/03/19	H	Unicaja	79-75

Vechtalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/04/19	H	Oldenburg	100-85
29/03/19	A	Frankfurt	100-80
21/03/19	H	Bamberg	95-101 OT
16/03/19	A	Basketball Braunschweig	88-85
10/03/19	H	Bayern	93-75
03/03/19	A	Gottingen	82-79
14/02/19	H	Bonn	112-117 OT
10/02/19	A	Bayreuth	86-81
01/02/19	H	Mitteldeutscher	89-79
26/01/19	A	Bremerhaven	84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	79%
Home	WWWLW	91%
Away	WWWWW	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	79%	91%	69%
Points / game	91.1	93.9	88.8
Allowed / game	79.5	77.6	81.1
Point differential	+11.6	+16.3	+7.7
Avg total	170.6	171.5	169.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	64%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vechta

BBL 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	74%
Home	WLWLW	64%
Away	WWWWW	85%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	74%	64%	85%
Points / game	86.4	88.6	84.2
Allowed / game	80.8	81.3	80.2
Point differential	+5.7	+7.3	+3.9
Avg total	167.2	169.9	164.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	57%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (9)	0% (3)	100% (6)
Overtime %	19%	21%	15%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	28	26	2	93%	87.8	75.6	+12.2
2	Oldenburg	28	23	5	82%	91.1	79.8	+11.3
3	Alba Berlin	24	19	5	79%	91.1	79.5	+11.6
4	Vechta	27	20	7	74%	86.4	80.8	+5.7
5	Bamberg	27	19	8	70%	88.6	84.7	+3.9
6	Ulm	27	15	12	56%	88.5	86.6	+1.9
7	Bonn	27	15	12	56%	86.4	86.6	-0.2
8	s.Oliver Wurzburg	28	15	13	54%	81.5	80.6	+0.9
9	Basketball Braunschweig	28	14	14	50%	84.2	83.6	+0.6
10	Ludwigsburg	28	13	15	46%	84.1	84.8	-0.7
11	Bayreuth	27	12	15	44%	86.1	86.4	-0.2
12	Frankfurt	27	11	16	41%	79.1	82.3	-3.2
13	Giessen	28	11	17	39%	91.2	93.7	-2.5
14	Gottingen	28	8	20	29%	77.6	82.8	-5.2
15	Mitteldeutscher	27	7	20	26%	82.2	88.5	-6.3
16	Crailsheim Merlins	27	7	20	26%	83.0	91.0	-8.0
17	Bremerhaven	28	6	22	21%	79.3	87.4	-8.0
18	Jena	28	5	23	18%	76.7	88.9	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alba Berlin	27	31	25	21	104
Vechta	14	18	20	15	67

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Alba Berlin vs Vechta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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