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Alba Berlin vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-92 (OT)
23-21 19-18 20-20 21-24 12-9
Position#4
Record16-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#1
Record19-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game73.8
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Final
European cup2018
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Valencia
01 Feb 2024
ABE66
VAL81
26 Jan 2023
ABE88
VAL94
02 Apr 2021
ABE86
VAL90
12 Apr 2019
ABE95
VAL92
08 Feb 2017
ABE73
VAL99
25 Mar 2014
ABE78
VAL73
18 Apr 2010
ABE44
VAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
W
101-81
101
81
+20
A08/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H10/03
BBL
Unicaja
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H13/03
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
W
101-96
101
96
+5
A17/03
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
102-97
102
97
+5
H19/03
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A22/03
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A31/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
105-69
105
69
+36
A06/04
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A09/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
28-17
21-23
29-15
20-16
20-22
11-25
27-31
23-21
13-18
26-25
17-11
26-23
26-19
28-25
21-29
29-21
30-22
26-30
17-24
25-23
26-19
22-20
14-19
9-20
24-13
17-17
19-16
19-26
30-27
24-19
19-9
21-25
29-12
29-15
26-17
13-20
25-21
15-30
22-18
171.8Avg total
88.9Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.982.5170.4+5.373%
Season at home (11)90.584.7175.2+5.773%
Season away (11)85.380.4165.6+4.973%
Last 10 (10)88.982.9171.8+6.080%
Last 5 (5)85.677.2162.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)75.089.0164.0-14.00%
vs Similar (10)87.083.0170.0+4.070%
vs Weaker (19)89.680.2169.7+9.479%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H05/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#11
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A08/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H10/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A16/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H19/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A22/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H24/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H09/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
14-10
22-13
27-21
20-14
13-25
24-9
14-8
18-15
20-11
25-24
26-15
27-27
25-19
16-17
21-31
11-10
17-20
16-18
25-16
23-16
16-20
17-16
23-21
15-19
26-28
32-12
20-21
23-26
16-30
25-32
28-23
15-16
22-21
11-21
25-14
20-13
21-25
30-15
18-22
157.3Avg total
81.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.473.8156.1+8.690%
Season at home (11)86.373.5159.7+12.8100%
Season away (10)78.174.1152.2+4.080%
Last 10 (10)81.975.4157.3+6.580%
Last 5 (5)85.282.2167.4+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)79.874.0153.8+5.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.077.6161.5+6.483%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
Alba BerlinValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/03
BBL
Unicaja
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H13/03
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/03
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H19/03
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A22/03
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A31/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/04
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/04
Eurocup
87.0Avg total
45.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.684.9+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.242.687.8+2.758%-
Last 30 away (18)43.739.383.0+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)45.941.187.0+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.285.4+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)38.041.079.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (10)46.439.185.5+7.390%-
vs Weaker (19)43.641.484.9+2.253%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#11
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H05/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H10/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A16/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H19/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H24/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/04
Eurocup
75.9Avg total
37.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.878.7+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.7+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)39.139.678.6-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.575.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.882.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.539.274.7-3.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.138.779.8+2.365%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.8
51.8%
51.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.410.8
44.3%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.013.1
77.1%
74.9%13.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.6
56.9%
51.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.0
37.9%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
74.9%14.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWWWWWLW
Valencia
WWLWWWLWWW
#4
League position
#1
+6.7
Net rating
+9.2
116.0
Offensive rating
117.3
109.4
Defensive rating
108.1
57.5%
Effective FG%
56.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.2%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
44.3%
3-point %
37.9%
65.7%
Assist %
58.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 117.3Defence109.4 · 108.1Shooting57.5% · 56.9%3-point %44.3% · 37.9%Ball care18.5% · 17.2%Off. rebounds34.5% · 32.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
09/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-75
08/02/17Alba Berlin v Valencia73-99
11/01/17Valencia v Alba Berlin85-80
25/03/14Alba Berlin v Valencia78-73
19/03/14Valencia v Alba Berlin86-54
18/04/10Alba Berlin v Valencia44-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/19AValencia75-89
06/04/19ACrailsheim Merlins105-69
02/04/19HUlm92-81
31/03/19ABamberg69-66
22/03/19AMoraBanc Andorra87-81
19/03/19HMoraBanc Andorra102-97
17/03/19AGiessen101-96
13/03/19HUnicaja79-75
10/03/19HOldenburg78-94
08/03/19AUnicaja101-81
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/19HAlba Berlin89-75
05/04/19AMoraBanc Andorra73-72
30/03/19AGran Canaria92-111
24/03/19HJoventut Badalona93-80
22/03/19AUnics Kazan79-73
19/03/19HUnics Kazan69-64
16/03/19AFuenlabrada89-94
10/03/19HMurcia89-65
08/03/19ARytas71-56
05/03/19HRytas75-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%73%73%
Points / game87.990.585.3
Allowed / game82.584.780.4
Point differential+5.3+5.7+4.9
Avg total170.4175.2165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game82.486.378.1
Allowed / game73.873.574.1
Point differential+8.6+12.8+4.0
Avg total156.1159.7152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%64%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia2119290%82.473.8+8.6
2 Unics Kazan2116576%81.673.1+8.5
3 Lokomotiv Kuban1914574%80.873.8+6.9
4 Alba Berlin2216673%87.982.5+5.3
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1913668%77.673.9+3.6
6 Unicaja1912763%85.581.7+3.7
7 MoraBanc Andorra2113862%84.982.4+2.5
8 Monaco169756%75.975.9+0.0
9 Crvena zvezda168850%82.278.3+3.9
10 Ulm168850%83.481.6+1.8
11 Rytas1881044%77.478.2-0.8
12 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
13 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
14 Zenit Petersburg1661038%82.182.6-0.5
15 Partizan1661038%74.977.0-2.1
16 Frankfurt1661038%71.877.9-6.1
17 Limoges1651131%79.282.9-3.7
18 Cedevita1651131%82.986.7-3.8
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Alba Berlin231920211295
Valencia21182024992
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