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Valencia vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-63
17-18 29-15 17-11 26-19
Position#1
Record19-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#4
Record17-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Final
European cup2018
Meetings · Valencia v Alba Berlin
02 Nov 2023
VAL79
ABE71
27 Oct 2022
VAL87
ABE73
03 Dec 2020
VAL92
ABE100
15 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE63
09 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE75
11 Jan 2017
VAL85
ABE80
19 Mar 2014
VAL86
ABE54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#11
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A08/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H10/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A16/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H19/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A22/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H24/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H09/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
A12/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
13-25
24-9
14-8
18-15
20-11
25-24
26-15
27-27
25-19
16-17
21-31
11-10
17-20
16-18
25-16
23-16
16-20
17-16
23-21
15-19
26-28
32-12
20-21
23-26
16-30
25-32
28-23
15-16
22-21
11-21
25-14
20-13
21-25
30-15
18-22
21-23
18-19
20-20
24-21
162.1Avg total
83.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.874.7157.5+8.186%
Season at home (11)86.373.5159.7+12.8100%
Season away (11)79.476.0155.4+3.473%
Last 10 (10)83.678.5162.1+5.170%
Last 5 (5)87.886.6174.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)77.674.4152.0+3.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.378.3162.6+6.079%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H10/03
BBL
Unicaja
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H13/03
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
W
101-96
101
96
+5
A17/03
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
102-97
102
97
+5
H19/03
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A22/03
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A31/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
105-69
105
69
+36
A06/04
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A09/04
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
H12/04
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
20-22
11-25
27-31
23-21
13-18
26-25
17-11
26-23
26-19
28-25
21-29
29-21
30-22
26-30
17-24
25-23
26-19
22-20
14-19
9-20
24-13
17-17
19-16
19-26
30-27
24-19
19-9
21-25
29-12
29-15
26-17
13-20
25-21
15-30
22-18
23-21
19-18
20-20
21-24
172.3Avg total
88.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.283.0171.1+5.274%
Season at home (12)90.885.3176.2+5.575%
Season away (11)85.380.4165.6+4.973%
Last 10 (10)88.384.0172.3+4.380%
Last 5 (5)87.279.4166.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)85.090.5175.5-5.550%
vs Similar (9)87.682.0169.6+5.678%
vs Weaker (19)89.680.2169.7+9.479%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
ValenciaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H10/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A16/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H19/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H24/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/04
Eurocup
78.4Avg total
38.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.978.8+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.237.878.9+3.462%-
Last 30 away (17)39.139.778.8-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.778.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.083.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)35.239.274.4-4.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.038.979.9+2.162%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/03
BBL
Unicaja
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H13/03
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/03
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H19/03
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A22/03
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A31/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/04
BBL
Valencia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/04
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H12/04
Eurocup
85.7Avg total
45.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.685.0+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.442.688.0+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)43.739.383.0+4.467%-
Last 10 (10)45.040.785.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.683.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (9)47.139.186.2+8.089%-
vs Weaker (19)43.641.484.9+2.253%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.6
56.9%
51.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.0
37.9%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
74.9%14.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.8
51.8%
51.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.410.8
44.3%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.013.1
77.1%
74.9%13.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWLWWWLWW
Alba Berlin
WLWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#4
+9.2
Net rating
+6.7
117.3
Offensive rating
116.0
108.1
Defensive rating
109.4
56.9%
Effective FG%
57.5%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
34.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.9%
3-point %
44.3%
58.4%
Assist %
65.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 116.0Defence108.1 · 109.4Shooting56.9% · 57.5%3-point %37.9% · 44.3%Ball care17.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds32.3% · 34.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
2
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
12/04/19Alba Berlin v Valencia95-92 OT
09/04/19Valencia v Alba Berlin89-75
08/02/17Alba Berlin v Valencia73-99
11/01/17Valencia v Alba Berlin85-80
25/03/14Alba Berlin v Valencia78-73
19/03/14Valencia v Alba Berlin86-54
18/04/10Alba Berlin v Valencia44-67
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/19AAlba Berlin92-95 OT
09/04/19HAlba Berlin89-75
05/04/19AMoraBanc Andorra73-72
30/03/19AGran Canaria92-111
24/03/19HJoventut Badalona93-80
22/03/19AUnics Kazan79-73
19/03/19HUnics Kazan69-64
16/03/19AFuenlabrada89-94
10/03/19HMurcia89-65
08/03/19ARytas71-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/19HValencia95-92 OT
09/04/19AValencia75-89
06/04/19ACrailsheim Merlins105-69
02/04/19HUlm92-81
31/03/19ABamberg69-66
22/03/19AMoraBanc Andorra87-81
19/03/19HMoraBanc Andorra102-97
17/03/19AGiessen101-96
13/03/19HUnicaja79-75
10/03/19HOldenburg78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %86%100%73%
Points / game82.886.379.4
Allowed / game74.773.576.0
Point differential+8.1+12.8+3.4
Avg total157.5159.7155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%64%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %74%75%73%
Points / game88.290.885.3
Allowed / game83.085.380.4
Point differential+5.2+5.5+4.9
Avg total171.1176.2165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %13%8%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia2219386%82.874.7+8.1
2 Unics Kazan2116576%81.673.1+8.5
3 Alba Berlin2317674%88.283.0+5.2
4 Lokomotiv Kuban1914574%80.873.8+6.9
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1913668%77.673.9+3.6
6 Unicaja1912763%85.581.7+3.7
7 MoraBanc Andorra2113862%84.982.4+2.5
8 Monaco169756%75.975.9+0.0
9 Crvena zvezda168850%82.278.3+3.9
10 Ulm168850%83.481.6+1.8
11 Rytas1881044%77.478.2-0.8
12 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
13 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
14 Zenit Petersburg1661038%82.182.6-0.5
15 Partizan1661038%74.977.0-2.1
16 Frankfurt1661038%71.877.9-6.1
17 Limoges1651131%79.282.9-3.7
18 Cedevita1651131%82.986.7-3.8
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1729172689
Alba Berlin1815111963
← all games of the day
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