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Alba Berlin vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 102-109
11-32 27-29 25-18 39-30
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#18
Record3-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEurocupRound 7
European cup2018
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Cedevita
14 Nov 2018
ABE102
CED109
18 Jan 2017
ABE93
CED76
19 Dec 2014
ABE67
CED70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#18
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
115-76
115
76
+39
H12/10
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
102-93
102
93
+9
A17/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A20/10
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H23/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H26/10
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A31/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
H03/11
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
A07/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A10/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-16
14-18
23-19
33-15
20-16
27-22
35-23
26-20
30-19
25-30
21-24
24-17
20-20
24-15
24-22
23-16
17-19
14-18
28-15
18-31
25-12
20-17
23-20
25-17
24-22
18-19
16-17
29-10
22-14
23-32
21-12
24-17
28-15
16-32
24-28
15-27
15-16
14-17
25-20
169.3Avg total
90.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.283.8176.0+8.383%
Season at home (2)94.579.5174.0+15.0100%
Season away (4)91.086.0177.0+5.075%
Last 10 (10)90.379.0169.3+11.380%
Last 5 (5)87.880.8168.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)86.084.6170.6+1.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.380.2174.5+14.175%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#11
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H22/10
Premijer liga
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H24/10
Eurocup
Hermes
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
A27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H28/10
ABA League
Tofas
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A31/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A03/11
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H04/11
Premijer liga
Limoges
#17
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H07/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H10/11
ABA League
Skrljevo
#8
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H11/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
18-13
26-24
34-17
20-29
17-22
26-9
18-25
22-30
36-15
18-20
27-28
9-25
11-11
16-12
27-10
25-20
28-30
14-24
22-20
14-22
20-28
18-22
27-22
18-19
16-10
25-23
21-25
29-17
22-23
16-15
24-16
24-19
19-17
20-25
37-19
29-12
13-23
17-22
27-22
168.1Avg total
87.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.377.7158.0+2.750%
Season at home (3)82.376.3158.7+6.067%
Season away (3)78.379.0157.3-0.733%
Last 10 (10)87.580.6168.1+6.970%
Last 5 (5)87.280.2167.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.882.8158.5-7.025%
vs Similar (6)78.775.5154.2+3.250%
vs Weaker (19)87.474.8162.2+12.679%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +6.0+6.0
Alba BerlinCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A10/10
Eurocup
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H12/10
BBL
Limoges
#17
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A17/10
Eurocup
Ulm
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/10
BBL
Gdynia
#23
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/10
BBL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A31/10
Eurocup
Gottingen
#14
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H03/11
BBL
Tofas
#12
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A07/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#4
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/11
BBL
81.5Avg total
45.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.839.785.5+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.438.486.9+10.075%-
Last 30 away (14)42.841.183.9+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)45.436.181.5+9.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.036.281.2+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)40.242.883.0-2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.138.686.7+9.580%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H22/10
Premijer liga
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H24/10
Eurocup
Hermes
#10
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H28/10
ABA League
Tofas
#12
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A31/10
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A03/11
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/11
Premijer liga
Limoges
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H07/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H10/11
ABA League
Skrljevo
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/11
Premijer liga
82.1Avg total
41.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.680.9+1.770%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.339.379.7+1.067%-
Last 30 away (12)42.840.082.8+2.875%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.682.1+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.078.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.045.579.5-11.525%-
vs Similar (6)38.542.581.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker (19)43.737.681.3+6.184%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.6
49.2%
51.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.011.2
46.7%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.815.4
77.8%
74.9%15.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.1
49.4%
51.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.4
37.6%
36.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.412.5
58.4%
74.9%12.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWWWWWWL
Cedevita
WWWWLLWWLW
#4
League position
#18
+10.7
Net rating
+4.3
114.8
Offensive rating
108.4
104.1
Defensive rating
104.1
57.1%
Effective FG%
52.1%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
46.7%
3-point %
37.6%
77.3%
Assist %
61.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 108.4Defence104.1 · 104.1Shooting57.1% · 52.1%3-point %46.7% · 37.6%Ball care16.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.5% · 35.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
3
Cedevita wins
DateGameScore
10/10/18Cedevita v Alba Berlin75-73
25/01/17Cedevita v Alba Berlin99-83
18/01/17Alba Berlin v Cedevita93-76
19/12/14Alba Berlin v Cedevita67-70
14/11/14Cedevita v Alba Berlin67-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/18AVechta69-80
07/11/18ATofas106-101 OT
03/11/18HGottingen95-68
31/10/18ALokomotiv Kuban83-75
26/10/18HLudwigsburg86-80
23/10/18HGdynia82-68
20/10/18AUlm92-74
17/10/18ALimoges102-93
12/10/18HCrailsheim Merlins115-76
10/10/18ACedevita73-75
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/18HSkrljevo86-79
10/11/18HIgokea100-80
07/11/18HLimoges91-71
04/11/18HZabok80-77
03/11/18ACrvena zvezda79-94
31/10/18ATofas89-94
28/10/18HBuducnost63-58
27/10/18AHermes103-93
24/10/18HLokomotiv Kuban81-85
22/10/18HAlkar103-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game92.294.591.0
Allowed / game83.879.586.0
Point differential+8.3+15.0+5.0
Avg total176.0174.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Cedevita
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.382.378.3
Allowed / game77.776.379.0
Point differential+2.7+6.0-0.7
Avg total158.0158.7157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan76186%87.977.3+10.6
2 Unicaja76186%89.381.0+8.3
3 Lokomotiv Kuban65183%85.574.2+11.3
4 Alba Berlin65183%92.283.8+8.3
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne75271%78.471.7+6.7
6 Monaco75271%79.474.0+5.4
7 Valencia64267%80.773.8+6.8
8 Zenit Petersburg74357%84.080.4+3.6
9 Crvena zvezda74357%77.475.3+2.1
10 Frankfurt74357%80.479.1+1.3
11 Cedevita63350%80.377.7+2.7
12 MoraBanc Andorra63350%88.887.2+1.7
13 Turk Telekom63350%74.878.5-3.7
14 Rytas73443%78.479.7-1.3
15 Ulm73443%83.385.3-2.0
16 Tofas73443%88.991.7-2.9
17 Galatasaray73443%80.984.1-3.3
18 Brescia62433%78.783.0-4.3
19 Limoges62433%79.585.2-5.7
20 Partizan72529%75.779.3-3.6
21 Trento72529%70.980.3-9.4
22 Mornar Bar72529%78.090.9-12.9
23 Gdynia71614%73.985.3-11.4
24 Torino7070%83.489.4-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin11272539102
Cedevita32291830109
← all games of the day
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