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Crvena zvezda vs Cedevita Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 94-79
22-14 28-20 22-18 22-27
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game70.4
vs
Position#2
Record2-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 6
Domestic2018
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Cedevita
03 Nov 2018
CZV94
CED79
14 Jan 2018
CZV82
CED66
11 Apr 2017
CZV84
CED73
10 Apr 2017
CZV81
CED66
03 Oct 2016
CZV88
CED64
15 Mar 2016
CZV97
CED88
11 Feb 2016
CZV94
CED74
04 Jan 2016
CZV79
CED80
26 Apr 2015
CZV69
CED65
25 Apr 2015
CZV68
CED59
16 Feb 2015
CZV78
CED63
10 Nov 2013
CZV73
CED59
13 Jan 2013
CZV90
CED65
21 Oct 2011
CZV90
CED91
11 Dec 2010
CZV82
CED77
30 Jan 2010
CZV83
CED63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H28/09
ABA League
Ulm
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H02/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A07/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A10/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H20/10
ABA League
Brescia
#19
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A24/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H30/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
21-15
17-21
19-12
28-21
18-22
16-16
26-14
22-13
23-18
22-19
20-21
17-6
12-18
8-20
29-19
29-17
17-15
20-19
14-15
16-17
28-16
16-25
25-21
25-23
27-21
23-11
21-20
31-15
7-24
12-17
11-13
25-12
20-20
15-17
21-23
26-13
18-13
25-21
18-10
150.2Avg total
80.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.470.4154.8+14.0100%
Season at home (3)84.769.7154.3+15.0100%
Season away (2)84.071.5155.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.969.3150.2+11.690%
Last 5 (5)82.070.4152.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)81.470.0151.4+11.4100%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.071.7158.7+15.388%
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H10/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#4
W
77-61
77
61
+16
A14/10
Premijer liga
Gdynia
#23
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A21/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
103-75
103
75
+28
H22/10
Premijer liga
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H24/10
Eurocup
Hermes
#10
W
103-93
103
93
+10
A27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H28/10
ABA League
Tofas
#12
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A31/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
16-15
18-14
19-23
23-27
24-20
21-26
18-22
25-18
17-14
19-11
16-18
14-19
21-14
20-16
23-12
21-14
21-22
15-19
18-23
25-21
18-13
26-24
34-17
20-29
17-22
26-9
18-25
22-30
36-15
18-20
27-28
9-25
11-11
16-12
27-10
25-20
28-30
14-24
22-20
160.3Avg total
83.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.680.6161.2+0.040%
Season at home (3)77.780.0157.7-2.333%
Season away (2)85.081.5166.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)83.077.3160.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)87.881.0168.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.779.0153.7-4.333%
vs Similar (5)76.276.4152.6-0.240%
vs Weaker (21)86.870.2157.0+16.681%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.3+8.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
Crvena zvezdaCedevita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/09
ABA League
Ulm
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H02/10
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A10/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H20/10
ABA League
Brescia
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H30/10
Eurocup
77.0Avg total
43.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.135.580.7+9.687%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.036.082.0+10.094%-
Last 30 away (14)44.135.079.1+9.179%-
Last 10 (10)43.133.977.0+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)44.634.879.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.434.273.6+5.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.535.582.1+11.092%-
This opponent (Cedevita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CedevitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H10/10
Eurocup
Mega Bemax
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H13/10
ABA League
Split
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/10
Premijer liga
Gdynia
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A21/10
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H22/10
Premijer liga
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H24/10
Eurocup
Hermes
#10
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H28/10
ABA League
Tofas
#12
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A31/10
Eurocup
81.5Avg total
41.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.581.0+4.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.139.980.9+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)43.937.281.1+6.787%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.081.5+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.285.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.044.078.0-10.033%-
vs Similar (5)36.043.079.0-7.040%-
vs Weaker (21)45.236.882.0+8.586%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.6
57.4%
51.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.5
35.9%
33.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.9
76.0%
72.5%13.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.6
48.8%
51.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.8
33.8%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.812.8
58.7%
72.5%12.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WWLWWWWWWW
Cedevita
LWWLWLWWLW
#1
League position
#2
+17.3
Net rating
-0.5
110.7
Offensive rating
104.3
93.4
Defensive rating
104.9
56.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
42.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.9%
3-point %
33.8%
65.8%
Assist %
59.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 104.3Defence93.4 · 104.9Shooting56.1% · 49.5%3-point %35.9% · 33.8%Ball care17.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds26.3% · 35.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Cedevita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Crvena zvezda wins
2
Cedevita wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/18HGalatasaray87-57
27/10/18AFMP Beograd81-72
24/10/18ABrescia61-69
20/10/18HIgokea96-75
16/10/18HMoraBanc Andorra85-79
13/10/18HKK Krka Novo mesto80-66
10/10/18AMonaco66-63
07/10/18ABuducnost87-71
02/10/18HUlm88-73
28/09/18HCibona78-68
Cedevitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/18ATofas89-94
28/10/18HBuducnost63-58
27/10/18AHermes103-93
24/10/18HLokomotiv Kuban81-85
22/10/18HAlkar103-75
21/10/18ACibona75-78
17/10/18AGdynia78-61
14/10/18ASplit77-61
13/10/18HMega Bemax86-95
10/10/18HAlba Berlin75-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.484.784.0
Allowed / game70.469.771.5
Point differential+14.0+15.0+12.5
Avg total154.8154.3155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cedevita
ABA League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game80.677.785.0
Allowed / game80.680.081.5
Point differential+0.0-2.3+3.5
Avg total161.2157.7166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda550100%84.470.4+14.0
2 Mega Bemax65183%83.877.3+6.5
3 Buducnost53260%75.870.2+5.6
4 Partizan63350%84.284.8-0.7
5 FMP Beograd63350%78.282.8-4.7
6 Petrol Olimpija52340%82.478.0+4.4
7 Cedevita52340%80.680.6+0.0
8 Cibona52340%79.682.0-2.4
9 Mornar Bar52340%82.485.6-3.2
10 Igokea62433%80.583.8-3.3
11 Zadar62433%84.790.0-5.3
12 KK Krka Novo mesto62433%73.381.2-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2228222294
Cedevita1420182779
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