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Valencia vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-75
20-13 21-25 30-15 18-22
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game73.7
Valencia 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#4
Record16-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game82.2
EuropeEurocupEurocup - Final
European cup2018
Meetings · Valencia v Alba Berlin
02 Nov 2023
VAL79
ABE71
27 Oct 2022
VAL87
ABE73
03 Dec 2020
VAL92
ABE100
15 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE63
09 Apr 2019
VAL89
ABE75
11 Jan 2017
VAL85
ABE80
19 Mar 2014
VAL86
ABE54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A02/03
ACB
Rytas
#11
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H05/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#11
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A08/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H10/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A16/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H19/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A22/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H24/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A05/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
19-15
15-23
19-14
12-20
14-10
22-13
27-21
20-14
13-25
24-9
14-8
18-15
20-11
25-24
26-15
27-27
25-19
16-17
21-31
11-10
17-20
16-18
25-16
23-16
16-20
17-16
23-21
15-19
26-28
32-12
20-21
23-26
16-30
25-32
28-23
15-16
22-21
11-21
25-14
154.2Avg total
79.7Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.073.7155.8+8.390%
Season at home (10)86.073.3159.3+12.7100%
Season away (10)78.174.1152.2+4.080%
Last 10 (10)79.774.5154.2+5.280%
Last 5 (5)81.280.0161.2+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)79.874.0153.8+5.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)83.477.0160.4+6.483%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
90-91
90
91
-1
H05/03
Eurocup
Unicaja
#6
W
101-81
101
81
+20
A08/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H10/03
BBL
Unicaja
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H13/03
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
W
101-96
101
96
+5
A17/03
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
102-97
102
97
+5
H19/03
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A22/03
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A31/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
105-69
105
69
+36
A06/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
29-22
12-27
20-25
23-26
28-17
21-23
29-15
20-16
20-22
11-25
27-31
23-21
13-18
26-25
17-11
26-23
26-19
28-25
21-29
29-21
30-22
26-30
17-24
25-23
26-19
22-20
14-19
9-20
24-13
17-17
19-16
19-26
30-27
24-19
19-9
21-25
29-12
29-15
26-17
173.5Avg total
90.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.582.2170.7+6.276%
Season at home (11)90.584.7175.2+5.773%
Season away (10)86.379.5165.8+6.880%
Last 10 (10)90.483.1173.5+7.380%
Last 5 (5)91.078.8169.8+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)86.583.0169.5+3.564%
vs Weaker (19)89.680.2169.7+9.479%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
ValenciaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A02/03
ACB
Rytas
#11
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H05/03
Eurocup
Rytas
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A08/03
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H10/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A16/03
ACB
Unics Kazan
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H19/03
Eurocup
Unics Kazan
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H24/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A30/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A05/04
ACB
74.2Avg total
36.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.778.4+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.878.1+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)39.139.678.6-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.674.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.278.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.539.274.7-3.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.838.779.5+2.161%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H05/03
Eurocup
Unicaja
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/03
Eurocup
Oldenburg
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/03
BBL
Unicaja
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H13/03
Eurocup
Giessen
#13
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A17/03
BBL
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H19/03
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A22/03
Eurocup
Bamberg
#5
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A31/03
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/04
BBL
88.8Avg total
47.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.785.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.242.687.8+2.758%-
Last 30 away (18)44.039.583.5+4.567%-
Last 10 (10)47.940.988.8+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)48.441.690.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (11)46.139.685.7+6.582%-
vs Weaker (19)43.641.484.9+2.253%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.8
54.8%
51.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
36.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.013.6
75.6%
74.9%13.6
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.7
52.7%
51.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.710.3
43.5%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.313.8
79.8%
74.9%13.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWWWLWWWW
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#4
+6.8
Net rating
+10.3
113.5
Offensive rating
116.8
106.7
Defensive rating
106.5
55.3%
Effective FG%
57.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.4%
3-point %
43.5%
58.5%
Assist %
67.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 116.8Defence106.7 · 106.5Shooting55.3% · 57.4%3-point %37.4% · 43.5%Ball care17.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 36.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
08/02/17Alba Berlin v Valencia73-99
11/01/17Valencia v Alba Berlin85-80
25/03/14Alba Berlin v Valencia78-73
19/03/14Valencia v Alba Berlin86-54
18/04/10Alba Berlin v Valencia44-67
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/19AMoraBanc Andorra73-72
30/03/19AGran Canaria92-111
24/03/19HJoventut Badalona93-80
22/03/19AUnics Kazan79-73
19/03/19HUnics Kazan69-64
16/03/19AFuenlabrada89-94
10/03/19HMurcia89-65
08/03/19ARytas71-56
05/03/19HRytas75-64
02/03/19AGipuzkoa67-66
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/19ACrailsheim Merlins105-69
02/04/19HUlm92-81
31/03/19ABamberg69-66
22/03/19AMoraBanc Andorra87-81
19/03/19HMoraBanc Andorra102-97
17/03/19AGiessen101-96
13/03/19HUnicaja79-75
10/03/19HOldenburg78-94
08/03/19AUnicaja101-81
05/03/19HUnicaja90-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game82.086.078.1
Allowed / game73.773.374.1
Point differential+8.3+12.7+4.0
Avg total155.8159.3152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %76%73%80%
Points / game88.590.586.3
Allowed / game82.284.779.5
Point differential+6.2+5.7+6.8
Avg total170.7175.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia2018290%82.073.7+8.3
2 Unics Kazan2116576%81.673.1+8.5
3 Alba Berlin2116576%88.582.2+6.2
4 Lokomotiv Kuban1914574%80.873.8+6.9
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1913668%77.673.9+3.6
6 Unicaja1912763%85.581.7+3.7
7 MoraBanc Andorra2113862%84.982.4+2.5
8 Monaco169756%75.975.9+0.0
9 Crvena zvezda168850%82.278.3+3.9
10 Ulm168850%83.481.6+1.8
11 Rytas1881044%77.478.2-0.8
12 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
13 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
14 Zenit Petersburg1661038%82.182.6-0.5
15 Partizan1661038%74.977.0-2.1
16 Frankfurt1661038%71.877.9-6.1
17 Limoges1651131%79.282.9-3.7
18 Cedevita1651131%82.986.7-3.8
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2021301889
Alba Berlin1325152275
← all games of the day
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