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Alba Berlin vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2013
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-81
15-17 22-21 17-24 30-19
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#43
Record2-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game73.7
EuropeEurocupRound 8
European cup2013
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Virtus Roma
05 Dec 2013
ABE84
VRO81
23 Oct 2008
ABE68
VRO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#43
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A29/10
Eurocup
Bonn
#5
L
59-60
59
60
-1
A02/11
BBL
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#20
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H05/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
94-74
94
74
+20
H10/11
BBL
Belfius Mons
#53
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A12/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#7
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H16/11
BBL
Bonn
#28
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H20/11
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A23/11
BBL
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#17
L
50-75
50
75
-25
A27/11
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#12
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H30/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
12-20
24-24
22-17
8-11
15-22
12-12
24-15
25-24
17-14
8-6
20-15
23-19
27-17
15-17
29-21
14-16
18-11
18-16
27-14
24-21
24-15
24-16
30-22
13-18
24-15
19-19
20-9
22-18
22-12
22-16
15-13
9-19
13-20
11-19
17-17
15-28
25-18
18-16
21-23
144.8Avg total
75.9Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.667.1138.7+4.471%
Season at home (3)72.362.7135.0+9.7100%
Season away (4)71.070.5141.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)75.968.9144.8+7.060%
Last 5 (5)77.670.8148.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.066.3141.3+8.767%
vs Similar (11)75.775.7151.5+0.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.569.6148.1+8.967%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H29/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#3
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
H03/11
Lega A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#17
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A06/11
Eurocup
Caserta
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A10/11
Lega A
Bonn
#28
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H12/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H17/11
Lega A
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#20
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A20/11
Eurocup
Cremona
#14
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A24/11
Lega A
Belfius Mons
#53
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H27/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H02/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
20-12
24-24
17-22
14-17
17-14
24-21
13-16
9-21
22-13
20-20
17-20
14-11
16-18
24-14
14-20
18-13
15-35
17-20
25-17
31-18
17-23
19-14
14-34
17-15
14-20
16-15
17-24
23-11
16-31
23-12
16-14
18-12
20-20
13-14
9-15
9-19
13-10
16-20
23-6
144.2Avg total
72.0Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.773.7146.4-1.029%
Season at home (4)72.273.0145.2-0.825%
Season away (3)73.374.7148.0-1.333%
Last 10 (10)72.072.2144.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)68.869.4138.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.271.8143.0-0.733%
vs Similar (20)74.575.8150.3-1.345%
vs Weaker (4)76.070.0146.0+6.075%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
Alba BerlinVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#43
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A29/10
Eurocup
Bonn
#5
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A02/11
BBL
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#20
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/11
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H10/11
BBL
Belfius Mons
#53
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#7
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H16/11
BBL
Bonn
#28
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/11
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#15
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A23/11
BBL
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#17
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A27/11
Eurocup
Bremerhaven
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H30/11
BBL
72.5Avg total
36.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.773.8+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.534.175.6+7.469%-
Last 30 away (14)34.337.671.9-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.272.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.875.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.033.372.3+5.767%-
vs Similar (11)38.838.577.4+0.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.534.071.5+3.553%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H29/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H03/11
Lega A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#17
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/11
Eurocup
Caserta
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A10/11
Lega A
Bonn
#28
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H12/11
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H17/11
Lega A
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#20
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A20/11
Eurocup
Cremona
#14
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A24/11
Lega A
Belfius Mons
#53
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H27/11
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H02/12
Lega A
69.3Avg total
34.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.936.671.5-1.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.235.569.8-1.335%-
Last 30 away (13)35.838.073.8-2.215%-
Last 10 (10)34.734.669.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.871.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.032.764.7-0.717%-
vs Similar (20)34.837.071.7-2.230%-
vs Weaker (4)40.240.881.0-0.525%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
2
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
29/10/13Virtus Roma v Alba Berlin85-71
04/12/08Virtus Roma v Alba Berlin70-64
23/10/08Alba Berlin v Virtus Roma68-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/13HBremerhaven79-85
27/11/13ATecnyconta Zaragoza50-75
23/11/13ABayreuth81-59
20/11/13HBonn76-61
16/11/13HUlm102-74
12/11/13ABelfius Mons77-57
10/11/13HBayern94-74
05/11/13HGravelines-Dunkerque70-59
02/11/13ABonn59-60
29/10/13AVirtus Roma71-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/13HOlimpia Milano61-55
27/11/13HBelfius Mons60-61
24/11/13ACremona78-68
20/11/13AGravelines-Dunkerque64-74
17/11/13HVirtus Bologna81-89
12/11/13HBonn75-85
10/11/13ACaserta68-63
06/11/13ATecnyconta Zaragoza68-74
03/11/13HCantu80-82 OT
29/10/13HAlba Berlin85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game71.672.371.0
Allowed / game67.162.770.5
Point differential+4.4+9.7+0.5
Avg total138.7135.0141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Eurocup 2013
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game72.772.273.3
Allowed / game73.773.074.7
Point differential-1.0-0.8-1.3
Avg total146.4145.2148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan880100%81.464.0+17.4
2 Nizhny Novgorod87188%82.870.1+12.6
3 Khimki M.87188%86.976.0+10.9
4 Cantu87188%83.274.0+9.2
5 Ulm87188%78.173.1+5.0
6 Gravelines-Dunkerque86275%75.565.1+10.4
7 Petrol Olimpija86275%75.869.6+6.1
8 Sassari86275%90.885.1+5.6
9 Besiktas86275%70.067.1+2.9
10 Maccabi Haifa86275%74.871.9+2.9
11 Oostende86275%75.575.0+0.5
12 Alba Berlin75271%71.667.1+4.4
13 Tecnyconta Zaragoza85362%79.570.4+9.1
14 Khimik85362%78.672.9+5.8
15 Cedevita85362%81.876.5+5.2
16 Karsiyaka85362%81.879.0+2.8
17 Panionios85362%75.274.4+0.9
18 Oldenburg85362%78.978.1+0.8
19 PAOK85362%73.477.8-4.4
20 Valencia84450%85.573.6+11.9
21 Banvit84450%77.968.9+9.0
22 Bilbao84450%85.882.6+3.1
23 Nymburk84450%78.275.5+2.8
24 Radnicki84450%82.181.6+0.5
25 Hapoel M. Jerusalem84450%77.677.9-0.2
26 Ankara Kolejliler84450%76.577.9-1.4
27 Le Mans84450%73.074.4-1.4
28 Bonn84450%74.978.2-3.4
29 VEF Riga84450%72.475.9-3.5
30 Lyon-Villeurbanne84450%70.577.9-7.4
31 Spartak St. Petersburg83538%72.872.6+0.1
32 Neptunas83538%80.180.2-0.1
33 Chalon/Saone83538%78.479.0-0.6
34 CSU Ploiesti83538%81.084.1-3.1
35 Academic83538%71.975.6-3.8
36 Bisons Loimaa83538%71.175.4-4.2
37 Virtus Roma72529%72.773.7-1.0
38 Buducnost82625%75.179.1-4.0
39 Igokea82625%76.983.4-6.5
40 Artland82625%77.484.8-7.4
41 Levallois82625%66.674.8-8.1
42 Cibona81712%77.581.2-3.8
43 Varese81712%72.880.2-7.5
44 Alba Fehervar81712%71.880.4-8.6
45 MZT Skopje81712%69.181.0-11.9
46 BC Kalev/Cramo81712%64.278.1-13.9
47 Spirou Charleroi81712%69.583.6-14.1
48 Belfius Mons81712%60.479.5-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1522173084
Virtus Roma1721241981
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