Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 63-68

11-14 18-16 14-24 20-14

Position#7

Record2-2

FormLWWLL

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game76.5

Caserta

Virtus Roma 🏆

Position#5

Record2-2

FormWLWLL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game75.0

Lega ARound 5

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Caserta v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

66-65

A01/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

78-63

+15

H07/04

Lega A

Venezia

88-85

A14/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

75-85

-10

H21/04

Lega A

Sassari

74-87

-13

A28/04

Lega A

Reggiana

77-80

-3

H05/05

Lega A

Venezia

#11

84-65

+19

H13/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

93-84 OT

A20/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

77-81

-4

H27/10

Lega A

Reggiana

59-76

-17

A02/11

Lega A

14-16

17-15

16-19

19-15

24-18

15-22

22-13

17-10

22-18

26-23

16-21

24-23

17-23

16-6

26-23

16-33

15-22

15-20

16-29

28-16

15-25

26-14

10-17

26-24

15-12

30-15

22-22

17-16

27-16

15-16

18-21

17-24

22-14

10-21

22-25

23-21

21-21

8-19

15-16

15-20

154.2Avg total

77.1Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	78.2	76.5	154.8	+1.8	50%
Season at home (2)	80.5	73.0	153.5	+7.5	50%
Season away (2)	76.0	80.0	156.0	-4.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	77.1	154.2	+0.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	77.2	155.2	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	71.5	78.1	149.5	-6.6	35%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	73.8	74.4	148.2	-0.5	55%
vs Weaker (2)	86.5	82.5	169.0	+4.0	50%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

71-81

-10

A17/06

Lega A

Siena

63-79

-16

H19/06

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

78-75

A13/10

Lega A

Gravelines-Dunkerque

#20

69-75

-6

H16/10

Eurocup

Brindisi

67-59

H20/10

Lega A

Belfius Mons

#53

88-76

+12

A22/10

Eurocup

Avellino

#12

82-84

-2

A27/10

Lega A

Alba Berlin

85-71

+14

H29/10

Eurocup

Cantu

80-82 OT

-2

H03/11

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

68-74

-6

A06/11

Eurocup

19-20

18-19

22-21

12-21

13-15

20-18

14-27

16-19

27-20

17-25

15-12

19-18

13-23

20-19

18-20

18-13

13-14

12-17

23-13

19-15

18-20

22-24

26-16

22-16

19-15

12-23

17-19

34-27

24-13

20-12

24-24

17-22

14-17

17-14

24-21

13-16

9-21

22-13

20-20

17-20

150.7Avg total

75.1Scored

75.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	76.8	75.0	151.8	+1.8	50%
Season at home (2)	73.5	70.5	144.0	+3.0	50%
Season away (2)	80.0	79.5	159.5	+0.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	75.1	75.6	150.7	-0.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	77.4	158.0	+3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.5	75.5	151.0	+0.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	74.3	74.8	149.1	-0.5	50%
vs Weaker (4)	83.2	73.2	156.5	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.0	36.6	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-1.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.8	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	14.0	39.5	+11.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.8	36.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-0.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	17.8	34.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.2	34.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	18.5	33.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	17.1	18.5	35.6	-1.4	32%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.4	36.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	19.6	35.3	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.1	34.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.0	34.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	15.6	18.7	34.4	-3.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	20.5	36.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	16.3	34.6	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.2	35.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	14.5	34.2	+5.2	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	17.9	17.3	35.2	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.5	19.8	43.2	+3.8	50%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

31-31

A01/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

39-40

-1

H07/04

Lega A

Venezia

48-41

A14/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

33-29

H21/04

Lega A

Sassari

30-42

-12

A28/04

Lega A

Reggiana

41-39

H05/05

Lega A

Venezia

#11

45-27

+18

H13/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

42-32

+10

A20/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

32-35

-3

H27/10

Lega A

Reggiana

29-40

-11

A02/11

Lega A

72.6Avg total

37.0Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	37.4	72.9	-1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	35.7	73.4	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.3	39.1	72.5	-5.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	35.6	72.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	34.6	72.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	35.9	38.4	74.2	-2.5	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	33.9	36.5	70.5	-2.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	34.5	75.5	+6.5	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

37-39

-2

A17/06

Lega A

Siena

33-33

H19/06

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

44-45

-1

A13/10

Lega A

Gravelines-Dunkerque

#20

33-42

-9

H16/10

Eurocup

Brindisi

25-31

-6

H20/10

Lega A

Belfius Mons

#53

40-44

-4

A22/10

Eurocup

Avellino

#12

31-38

-7

A27/10

Lega A

Alba Berlin

44-25

+19

H29/10

Eurocup

Cantu

31-31

H03/11

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#17

31-34

-3

A06/11

Eurocup

71.1Avg total

34.9Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	36.0	72.4	+0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.3	34.2	69.5	+1.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	38.5	76.2	-0.7	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.9	36.2	71.1	-1.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	34.4	69.8	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.8	33.0	67.8	+1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	35.0	35.8	70.8	-0.8	32%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.5	40.5	86.0	+5.0	50%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	18.5	35.3	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.4	17.6	34.0	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.3	36.6	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	15.3	18.6	33.9	-3.3	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	20.0	34.5	-5.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	21.2	42.8	+0.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	41%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	14.0	34.5	+6.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.7	39.2	-0.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	18.7	36.7	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.6	59%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	19.2	38.6	+0.3	73%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	17.1	35.9	+1.8	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.2	74.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.5	36.3	70.7	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	40.1	78.2	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	40.8	79.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	41.2	78.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	34.6	38.5	73.2	-3.9	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.1	37.2	76.3	+1.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	34.5	41.0	75.5	-6.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	37.9	76.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.0	35.4	73.4	+2.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	41.2	80.0	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	38.0	77.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.2	83.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	39.0	76.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	38.5	38.6	77.2	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.8	32.8	70.5	+5.0	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
24/02/13	Caserta v Virtus Roma	64-66
28/10/12	Virtus Roma v Caserta	86-57
25/03/12	Caserta v Virtus Roma	80-90
03/12/11	Virtus Roma v Caserta	82-89
23/04/11	Virtus Roma v Caserta	74-68
02/01/11	Caserta v Virtus Roma	68-60
25/05/10	Virtus Roma v Caserta	74-83
23/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	78-76
21/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	70-65
16/05/10	Caserta v Virtus Roma	85-69

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/11/13	A	Reggiana	59-76
27/10/13	H	Olimpia Milano	77-81
20/10/13	A	Pesaro	93-84 OT
13/10/13	H	Venezia	84-65
05/05/13	H	Reggiana	77-80
28/04/13	A	Sassari	74-87
21/04/13	H	Avellino	75-85
14/04/13	A	Venezia	88-85
07/04/13	H	Brindisi	78-63
01/04/13	A	Cantu	66-65

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/13	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	68-74
03/11/13	H	Cantu	80-82 OT
29/10/13	H	Alba Berlin	85-71
27/10/13	A	Avellino	82-84
22/10/13	A	Belfius Mons	88-76
20/10/13	H	Brindisi	67-59
16/10/13	H	Gravelines-Dunkerque	69-75
13/10/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	78-75
19/06/13	H	Siena	63-79
17/06/13	A	Siena	71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLL	50%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	78.2	80.5	76.0
Allowed / game	76.5	73.0	80.0
Point differential	+1.8	+7.5	-4.0
Avg total	154.8	153.5	156.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	25%	0%	50%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLL	50%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	76.8	73.5	80.0
Allowed / game	75.0	70.5	79.5
Point differential	+1.8	+3.0	+0.5
Avg total	151.8	144.0	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	25%	50%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brindisi	5	4	1	80%	80.4	74.8	+5.6
2	Siena	4	3	1	75%	84.8	70.8	+14.0
3	Varese	4	3	1	75%	81.0	72.0	+9.0
4	Olimpia Milano	4	3	1	75%	80.0	73.0	+7.0
5	Virtus Bologna	4	3	1	75%	86.5	83.0	+3.5
6	Cantu	4	3	1	75%	82.8	79.5	+3.2
7	Caserta	4	2	2	50%	78.2	76.5	+1.8
8	Virtus Roma	4	2	2	50%	76.8	75.0	+1.8
9	Sassari	4	2	2	50%	86.2	85.0	+1.2
10	Avellino	4	2	2	50%	78.0	80.5	-2.5
11	Reggiana	5	2	3	40%	69.8	70.4	-0.6
12	Venezia	4	1	3	25%	80.2	80.8	-0.5
13	Pesaro	4	1	3	25%	77.8	89.2	-11.5
14	Sutor Montegranaro	4	1	3	25%	73.8	86.8	-13.0
15	Cremona	5	1	4	20%	76.8	83.8	-7.0
16	Pistoia	5	1	4	20%	71.8	81.0	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	11	18	14	20	63
Virtus Roma	14	16	24	14	68

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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