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Albany vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-74
37-35 44-39
Position#346
Record6-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#153
Record17-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Albany v UMBC Retrievers
15 Feb 2023
ALBA81
UMBC74
02 Feb 2022
ALBA53
UMBC59
20 Dec 2020
ALBA60
UMBC65
19 Dec 2020
ALBA64
UMBC65
20 Feb 2020
ALBA50
UMBC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlbanyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#31
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H08/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A12/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H20/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A25/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H29/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A01/02
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
68-87
68
87
-19
H04/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
L
62-87
62
87
-25
H09/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
L
66-80 OT
66
80
-14
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
51-34
36-44
33-42
33-33
34-41
30-30
24-35
29-40
36-44
34-29
34-43
16-39
34-27
25-44
43-43
27-51
35-36
33-35
30-28
142.2Avg total
65.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.375.4141.7-9.122%
Season at home (10)67.072.2139.2-5.230%
Season away (17)65.977.4143.2-11.518%
Last 10 (10)65.876.4142.2-10.610%
Last 5 (5)62.878.4141.2-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)65.278.8143.9-13.610%
vs Similar (7)57.767.9125.6-10.114%
vs Weaker (2)75.053.0128.0+22.0100%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#258
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H16/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A18/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H02/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
L
49-84
49
84
-35
A04/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H09/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-45
51-32
46-23
41-39
42-40
33-41
50-38
30-31
26-38
39-31
23-34
45-40
43-28
26-27
26-38
23-46
28-39
44-24
40-33
36-40
143.3Avg total
72.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.372.7148.0+2.663%
Season at home (15)79.370.7150.0+8.587%
Season away (12)70.375.2145.5-4.833%
Last 10 (10)72.670.7143.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)66.869.8136.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.178.6145.7-11.422%
vs Similar (8)77.173.6150.8+3.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.069.1147.1+8.983%
This opponent (Albany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.3-7.31st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.3-7.31st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +1.7+1.7
AlbanyUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlbanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMass Lowell
#31
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H08/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A12/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A15/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H29/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
16-39
16
39
-23
A01/02
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H04/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H09/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A11/02
NCAA
67.5Avg total
30.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.136.465.5-7.327%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.234.864.0-5.636%-
Last 30 away (19)29.037.366.3-8.321%-
Last 10 (10)30.137.467.5-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)27.039.666.6-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.239.368.5-10.020%-
vs Similar (7)28.632.360.9-3.729%-
vs Weaker (2)29.025.054.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#258
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H14/01
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H16/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A18/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H02/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H09/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H11/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
35.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.234.070.2+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.632.771.4+5.959%-
Last 30 away (13)32.935.868.7-2.823%-
Last 10 (10)35.835.671.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)32.034.466.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.135.466.6-4.333%-
vs Similar (8)37.934.872.6+3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.533.371.8+5.242%-
This opponent (Albany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Albany wins
5
UMBC Retrievers wins
Albanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23ABinghamton66-80 OT
09/02/23HBryant University62-87
04/02/23HVermont68-87
01/02/23AUMass Lowell50-66
29/01/23HMaine Black Bears68-72
25/01/23ANew Hampshire65-84
20/01/23HBinghamton54-65
15/01/23ANJIT67-74
12/01/23ABryant University69-86
08/01/23HUMass Lowell89-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HBryant University76-73
09/02/23HNJIT72-63
04/02/23AMaine Black Bears49-84
02/02/23HBinghamton69-55
28/01/23AVermont68-74
26/01/23ANJIT65-69
21/01/23HNew Hampshire80-69
18/01/23AUMass Lowell75-81
16/01/23HHartford87-62
14/01/23HMaine Black Bears85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albany
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271017
Win %22%30%18%
Points / game66.367.065.9
Allowed / game75.472.277.4
Point differential-9.1-5.2-11.5
Avg total141.7139.2143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%6%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW63%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %63%87%33%
Points / game75.379.370.3
Allowed / game72.770.775.2
Point differential+2.6+8.5-4.8
Avg total148.0150.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell2720774%77.766.2+11.5
2 Bryant University2516964%81.673.1+8.6
3 UMBC Retrievers27171063%75.372.7+2.6
4 Vermont25151060%71.367.9+3.4
5 New Hampshire23111248%67.366.0+1.3
6 Binghamton24111346%68.770.8-2.1
7 Maine Black Bears25101540%69.169.2-0.1
8 NJIT2471729%66.771.2-4.6
9 Albany2762122%66.375.4-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Albany374481
UMBC Retrievers353974
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