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Albany vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 60-65
34-29 26-36
Position#230
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#57
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Albany v UMBC Retrievers
15 Feb 2023
ALBA81
UMBC74
02 Feb 2022
ALBA53
UMBC59
20 Dec 2020
ALBA60
UMBC65
19 Dec 2020
ALBA64
UMBC65
20 Feb 2020
ALBA50
UMBC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albany winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlbanyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#293
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A16/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
L
50-69
50
69
-19
H21/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H23/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H01/03
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A04/03
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A08/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#57
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-21
29-28
25-22
35-44
36-34
30-26
22-35
28-34
26-35
30-33
35-39
34-49
23-22
26-30
22-39
40-46
28-30
45-46
36-32
28-33
128.9Avg total
61.1Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.065.0129.0-1.00%
Season at home (1)64.065.0129.0-1.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)61.167.8128.9-6.720%
Last 5 (5)63.473.2136.6-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.371.4135.8-7.125%
vs Similar ◀ (16)67.967.9135.8+0.056%
vs Weaker (1)51.072.0123.0-21.00%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#307
L
48-74
48
74
-26
A29/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H04/03
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A10/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#187
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A25/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
W
80-65
80
65
+15
A28/11
NCAA
George Washington
#305
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H07/12
NCAA
Delaware
#210
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H08/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A13/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-35
24-39
36-35
39-32
32-31
41-36
34-39
40-42
30-36
32-34
32-33
48-32
43-32
49-49
38-31
38-30
22-24
44-25
32-36
33-28
139.0Avg total
71.1Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.565.0138.5+8.583%
Season at home (2)84.071.0155.0+13.0100%
Season away (4)68.262.0130.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)71.167.9139.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)75.864.0139.8+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.569.6138.1-1.138%
vs Similar ◀ (15)67.367.3134.6+0.153%
vs Weaker (7)69.664.7134.3+4.971%
This opponent (Albany) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -4.4-4.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -4.4-4.42nd half: +4.1+4.1
AlbanyUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlbanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#293
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A13/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/02
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H21/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H23/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A04/03
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A08/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#57
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H19/12
NCAA
59.5Avg total
28.6Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.931.762.6-0.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.632.664.1-1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)30.430.961.2-0.562%-
Last 10 (10)28.630.959.5-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)28.832.461.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.233.864.0-3.742%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.730.462.1+1.269%-
vs Weaker (1)31.030.061.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#307
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A29/02
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H04/03
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H07/03
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A10/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#187
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A25/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#317
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A28/11
NCAA
George Washington
#305
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/12
NCAA
Delaware
#210
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H08/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#246
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A13/12
NCAA
Albany
#230
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A19/12
NCAA
65.5Avg total
32.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.931.161.9-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.629.563.1+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)28.432.460.9-4.019%-
Last 10 (10)32.333.265.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.264.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.932.865.6+0.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.729.959.6-0.147%-
vs Weaker (7)31.031.762.7-0.729%-
This opponent (Albany) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Albany wins
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateGameScore
19/12/20Albany v UMBC Retrievers64-65
21/02/20Albany v UMBC Retrievers50-69
30/01/20UMBC Retrievers v Albany63-67
Albanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/20HUMBC Retrievers64-65
08/03/20AStony Brook73-76
04/03/20AVermont62-85
01/03/20HStony Brook49-52
27/02/20AUMass Lowell69-88
23/02/20HNew Hampshire56-68
21/02/20HUMBC Retrievers50-69
16/02/20AMaine Black Bears66-60
13/02/20AHartford60-66
06/02/20HBinghamton62-49
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/20AAlbany65-64
13/12/20ACoppin State66-49
08/12/20HDelaware76-61
07/12/20HGeorge Washington92-81
28/11/20ASt. Francis (PA)80-65
25/11/20AGeorgetown62-70
10/03/20AVermont74-81
07/03/20HNew Hampshire73-67
04/03/20HStony Brook75-67
29/02/20AMaine Black Bears48-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albany
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game64.064.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential-1.0-1.0-
Avg total129.0129.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game73.584.068.2
Allowed / game65.071.062.0
Point differential+8.5+13.0+6.2
Avg total138.5155.0130.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers65183%73.565.0+8.5
2 Bryant University86275%92.979.6+13.2
3 New Hampshire31233%78.770.3+8.3
4 UMass Lowell41325%67.878.5-10.8
5 Albany1010%64.065.0-1.0
6 Maine Black Bears1010%60.063.0-3.0
7 Binghamton4040%62.271.0-8.8
8 NJIT1010%60.072.0-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Albany342660
UMBC Retrievers293665
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