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Aleman vs Arabe Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 76-64
23-15 25-16 16-16 12-17
Position#3
Record5-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game71.4
Aleman 🏆
Chile
vs
Arabe Valparaiso
Chile
Position#10
Record5-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game75.6
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arabe Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Liceo Curico
#9
L
66-108
66
108
-42
no box
A22/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
73-59
73
59
+14
70avg 64
H23/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
44avg 64
A30/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 64
A31/03
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
52-68
52
68
-16
38avg 64
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
72avg 64
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 64
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 64
A01/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H04/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 64
A12/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-36
18-27
12-30
15-15
21-11
17-18
13-16
22-14
17-15
10-23
17-13
20-21
20-16
24-16
26-17
14-15
14-17
16-14
15-20
7-17
24-14
29-18
19-14
6-9
22-25
26-9
19-30
21-23
22-13
14-19
14-26
15-19
–
–
–
–
15-24
15-27
24-23
29-21
148.4Avg total
73.3Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.171.4145.6+2.756%
Season at home (4)70.862.0132.8+8.875%
Season away (5)76.879.0155.8-2.240%
Last 10 (10)73.375.1148.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)78.876.0154.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)56.785.8142.5-29.110%
vs Similar (6)69.375.2144.5-5.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValparaiso
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
no box
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 65
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
79-65
79
65
+14
76avg 65
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
73-51
73
51
+22
74avg 65
A07/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
71avg 65
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
71avg 65
H20/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
51-83
51
83
-32
40avg 65
H27/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 65
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
56-96
56
96
-40
39avg 65
A12/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
8-21
24-11
14-23
12-13
10-24
19-17
27-18
16-16
17-16
14-17
31-25
23-19
19-16
15-23
22-7
18-5
18-14
22-14
15-18
18-18
18-13
20-23
24-22
24-25
23-13
4-26
25-15
9-24
14-16
15-23
13-20
18-23
19-24
20-17
27-17
9-15
21-30
10-25
16-26
146.3Avg total
71.5Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.175.6147.8-3.562%
Season at home (5)74.076.8150.8-2.860%
Season away (3)69.073.7142.7-4.767%
Last 10 (10)71.574.8146.3-3.350%
Last 5 (5)69.483.0152.4-13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)60.578.9139.5-18.423%
vs Similar (10)64.369.5133.8-5.230%
vs Weaker (7)74.660.3134.9+14.386%
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
AlemanArabe Valparaiso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liceo Curico
#9
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A22/07
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/03
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A30/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A31/03
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A12/05
LNB 2
76.3Avg total
38.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)30.942.473.2-11.521%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.740.671.3-9.915%-
Last 30 away (15)31.043.974.9-12.927%-
Last 10 (9)38.338.076.3+0.356%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.075.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)27.645.473.0-17.85%-
vs Similar (6)36.736.272.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)45.530.576.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Arabe Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arabe ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H05/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H06/08
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/03
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A07/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H27/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/05
LNB 2
69.9Avg total
33.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)31.735.367.0-3.647%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.435.067.4-2.650%-
Last 30 away (7)30.435.966.3-5.443%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.169.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.274.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.337.268.5-5.945%-
vs Similar (7)30.932.463.3-1.643%-
vs Weaker (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.2
46.0%
44.9%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.98.2
26.7%
28.7%24.8
🏀 Free throws19.812.9
65.2%
63.6%12.9
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Arabe Valparaisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Arabe Valparaiso: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.6
48.5%
44.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.1
29.8%
28.7%21.4
🏀 Free throws20.113.0
64.6%
63.6%13.0
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 18 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
LWLWWLWLWL
Arabe Valparaiso
LWLLWWWWLL
#3
League position
#10
+0.0
Net rating
-4.3
88.7
Offensive rating
88.2
88.7
Defensive rating
92.5
43.3%
Effective FG%
47.1%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
20.5%
Turnover %
25.9%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
26.7%
3-point %
29.8%
66.2%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 88.2Defence88.7 · 92.5Shooting43.3% · 47.1%3-point %26.7% · 29.8%Ball care20.5% · 25.9%Off. rebounds27.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Aleman   ■ Arabe Valparaiso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aleman wins
0
Arabe Valparaiso wins
No previous meetings.
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24AColo Colo83-95
04/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-66
01/05/24ATruenos De Talca65-77
28/04/24ABrisas88-87
20/04/24HArturo Prat San Felipe78-55
13/04/24HStadio Italiano52-68
31/03/24ABoston C. C.84-64
30/03/24ASergio Ceppi64-72
23/03/24HMunicipal Chillan73-59
22/07/23ALiceo Curico66-108
Arabe Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24AStadio Italiano56-96
11/05/24HSergio Ceppi84-81
27/04/24HColo Colo51-83
20/04/24HBoston C. C.76-79
13/04/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-76
07/04/24ABrisas73-51
30/03/24HArturo Prat San Felipe79-65
23/03/24ATruenos De Talca78-74
06/08/23HSergio Ceppi68-72
05/08/23HSergio Ceppi70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game74.170.876.8
Allowed / game71.462.079.0
Point differential+2.7+8.8-2.2
Avg total145.6132.8155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arabe Valparaiso
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game72.174.069.0
Allowed / game75.676.873.7
Point differential-3.5-2.8-4.7
Avg total147.8150.8142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo10100100%82.665.5+17.1
2 Sergio Ceppi107370%77.070.8+6.2
3 Stadio Italiano117464%67.962.5+5.4
4 Arabe Valparaiso85362%72.175.6-3.5
5 Aleman95456%74.171.4+2.7
6 Luis Matte Larrain95456%67.368.0-0.7
7 Truenos De Talca105550%72.570.7+1.8
8 Quilpue Basquetbol84450%67.567.5+0.0
9 Boston C. C.105550%68.069.4-1.4
10 Municipal Chillan93633%64.472.6-8.1
11 Brisas9090%64.974.3-9.4
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe9090%70.084.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aleman2325161276
Arabe Valparaiso1516161764
← all games of the day
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