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Alftanes vs IR Reykjavik Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.0
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game105.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 13· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alftanes v IR Reykjavik
14 Jan 2027
ALFT v IR R
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
ALFT89
IR R93
31 Oct 2024
ALFT93
IR R87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
IR Reykjavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
63avg 97
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
87-108
87
108
-21
75avg 97
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
76avg 97
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 97
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
104-115
104
115
-11
96avg 97
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
124-115
124
115
+9
119avg 97
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#7
W
111-77
111
77
+34
111avg 97
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#9
W
119-88
119
88
+31
117avg 97
A15/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
130-110
130
110
+20
137avg 97
H23/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#4
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
108avg 97
A29/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
18-17
20-21
18-22
23-26
18-23
24-34
22-25
20-17
16-28
33-39
27-22
23-31
29-23
24-25
13-14
31-25
31-29
23-30
19-31
29-30
30-33
30-35
35-17
26-26
31-17
24-15
30-19
31-25
29-27
31-19
28-17
29-32
34-29
32-32
35-17
19-27
25-23
33-36
19-10
205.2Avg total
104.8Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)117.095.0212.0+22.0100%
Season at home (2)120.593.5214.0+27.0100%
Season away (2)113.596.5210.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)104.8100.4205.2+4.450%
Last 5 (5)118.499.0217.4+19.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)94.0104.3198.3-10.322%
vs Similar (10)90.596.6187.1-6.120%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)104.882.8187.6+22.090%
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#8
W
93-89
93
89
+4
82avg 88
A12/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
102-99
102
99
+3
98avg 88
H19/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
93-82
93
82
+11
92avg 88
A26/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
99avg 88
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 88
H07/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
87-125
87
125
-38
77avg 88
A11/04
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
97-91
97
91
+6
97avg 88
A08/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#1
L
88-119
88
119
-31
75avg 88
H15/10
Premier league
Hottur
#7
L
96-108
96
108
-12
88avg 88
A22/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
L
96-102
96
102
-6
81avg 88
A29/10
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
23-29
25-24
14-13
33-24
22-28
23-32
24-15
24-17
23-25
24-20
22-20
24-26
23-28
30-24
22-30
25-21
14-26
18-23
33-28
22-29
26-23
11-43
28-30
32-19
24-25
28-22
13-25
25-31
27-29
19-31
17-28
25-28
29-27
18-27
24-26
22-21
15-23
26-37
33-21
196.2Avg total
94.1Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.2105.0199.2-10.825%
Season at home (1)88.0119.0207.0-31.00%
Season away (3)96.3100.3196.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)94.1102.1196.2-8.040%
Last 5 (5)92.8109.0201.8-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)90.8102.7193.5-11.920%
vs Similar (8)93.087.5180.5+5.575%
vs Weaker (6)92.285.7177.8+6.550%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -6.1-6.1Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
AlftanesIR Reykjavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#7
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#9
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A15/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H23/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A29/10
Premier league
103.1Avg total
51.6Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.346.995.2+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.548.899.3+1.747%-
Last 30 away (15)46.045.191.1+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)51.651.5103.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)50.051.8101.8-1.833%-
vs Similar (10)44.548.593.0-4.010%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)50.741.291.9+9.580%-
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alftanes
#8
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A12/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H19/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A26/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A11/04
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A08/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#1
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H15/10
Premier league
Hottur
#7
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A22/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A29/10
Premier league
99.1Avg total
48.9Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.948.694.4-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.148.794.8-2.638%-
Last 30 away (17)45.748.594.2-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)48.950.299.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)49.451.0100.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)45.551.897.3-6.313%-
vs Similar (8)49.444.493.8+5.088%-
vs Weaker (6)42.546.388.8-3.817%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.828.8
62.9%
56.2%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
33.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.315.8
77.8%
73.9%15.8
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.5
54.5%
56.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.6
41.6%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
73.9%13.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
WWWWWLLLLL
IR Reykjavik
LLLWLLLWWW
#1
League position
#9
+4.9
Net rating
-9.0
107.5
Offensive rating
100.4
102.5
Defensive rating
109.4
58.9%
Effective FG%
57.7%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.1%
3-point %
41.6%
55.4%
Assist %
60.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 100.4Defence102.5 · 109.4Shooting58.9% · 57.7%3-point %35.1% · 41.6%Ball care13.7% · 15.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Alftanes   ■ IR Reykjavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alftanes wins
2
IR Reykjavik wins
DateGameScore
15/10/26IR Reykjavik v Alftanes88-119
12/03/26Alftanes v IR Reykjavik89-93
05/12/25IR Reykjavik v Alftanes97-86
30/01/25IR Reykjavik v Alftanes75-94
31/10/24Alftanes v IR Reykjavik93-87
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ATindastoll108-105 OT
23/10/26HKeflavik130-110
15/10/26AIR Reykjavik119-88
08/10/26HHottur111-77
26/03/26HStjarnan124-115
21/03/26ATindastoll104-115
12/03/26HIR Reykjavik89-93
06/03/26HKeflavik96-106
20/02/26HValur87-108
12/02/26AKR Basket80-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AStjarnan96-102
22/10/26AHottur96-108
15/10/26HAlftanes88-119
08/10/26ASindri97-91
11/04/26ATindastoll87-125
07/04/26HTindastoll90-98
02/04/26ATindastoll99-108
26/03/26AValur93-82
19/03/26HKR Basket102-99
12/03/26AAlftanes93-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game117.0120.5113.5
Allowed / game95.093.596.5
Point differential+22.0+27.0+17.0
Avg total212.0214.0210.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
IR Reykjavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game94.288.096.3
Allowed / game105.0119.0100.3
Point differential-10.8-31.0-4.0
Avg total199.2207.0196.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alftanes440100%117.095.0+22.0
2 KR Basket440100%97.582.2+15.2
3 Valur440100%87.880.0+7.8
4 Tindastoll43175%94.285.5+8.8
5 Keflavik43175%109.0102.2+6.8
6 Grindavik42250%89.091.8-2.8
7 Hottur42250%96.8104.2-7.5
8 Stjarnan41325%92.296.8-4.5
9 IR Reykjavik41325%94.2105.0-10.8
10 Njardvik4040%84.591.5-7.0
11 Sindri4040%88.597.0-8.5
12 Armann4040%83.5103.0-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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