PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alftanes vs IR Reykjavik Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game102.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 13· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alftanes v IR Reykjavik
14 Jan 2027
ALFT v IR R
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
ALFT89
IR R93
31 Oct 2024
ALFT93
IR R87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
IR Reykjavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
76avg 97
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 97
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
104-115
104
115
-11
96avg 97
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
124-115
124
115
+9
119avg 97
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
111-77
111
77
+34
111avg 97
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
119-88
119
88
+31
117avg 97
A15/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
130-110
130
110
+20
137avg 97
H23/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
108avg 97
A29/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
94-102
94
102
-8
no box
H05/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
16-28
33-39
27-22
23-31
29-23
24-25
13-14
31-25
31-29
23-30
19-31
29-30
30-33
30-35
35-17
26-26
31-17
24-15
30-19
31-25
29-27
31-19
28-17
29-32
34-29
32-32
35-17
19-27
25-23
33-36
19-10
20-28
21-23
33-22
20-29
21-9
20-32
18-15
21-12
203.4Avg total
105.5Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)107.091.7198.7+15.383%
Season at home (3)111.796.3208.0+15.367%
Season away (3)102.387.0189.3+15.3100%
Last 10 (10)105.597.9203.4+7.660%
Last 5 (5)106.294.6200.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)92.6106.0198.6-13.414%
vs Similar (11)90.897.1187.9-6.318%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)102.581.5184.0+21.191%
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
W
93-82
93
82
+11
92avg 88
A26/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
99avg 88
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 88
H07/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
87-125
87
125
-38
77avg 88
A11/04
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
97-91
97
91
+6
97avg 88
A08/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
88-119
88
119
-31
75avg 88
H15/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
96-108
96
108
-12
88avg 88
A22/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
81avg 88
A29/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
90-100
90
100
-10
no box
H05/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A09/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
23-25
24-20
22-20
24-26
23-28
30-24
22-30
25-21
14-26
18-23
33-28
22-29
26-23
11-43
28-30
32-19
24-25
28-22
13-25
25-31
27-29
19-31
17-28
25-28
29-27
18-27
24-26
22-21
15-23
26-37
33-21
22-24
28-16
17-29
23-31
20-19
23-23
18-27
26-25
195.0Avg total
92.3Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.3102.3194.7-10.017%
Season at home (2)89.0109.5198.5-20.50%
Season away (4)94.098.8192.8-4.825%
Last 10 (10)92.3102.7195.0-10.420%
Last 5 (5)91.4104.6196.0-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)91.0102.7193.7-11.719%
vs Similar (7)91.785.7177.4+6.071%
vs Weaker (6)92.285.7177.8+6.550%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
AlftanesIR Reykjavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A15/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H23/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A29/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H05/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/11
Premier league
102.9Avg total
51.5Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.746.894.4+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.749.098.7+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)45.744.590.2+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)51.551.4102.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)49.851.0100.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.052.7102.7-2.729%-
vs Similar (11)44.248.792.9-4.59%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.841.291.0+8.673%-
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A26/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A11/04
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A08/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H15/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A22/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A29/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H05/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A09/11
Premier league
95.3Avg total
47.3Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.148.394.4-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.448.194.4-1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)45.848.594.3-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)47.348.095.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.295.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)45.950.896.7-4.925%-
vs Similar (7)49.944.494.3+5.486%-
vs Weaker (6)42.546.388.8-3.817%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.828.8
62.9%
56.2%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
33.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.315.8
77.8%
73.9%15.8
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.5
54.5%
56.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.6
41.6%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
73.9%13.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
WLWWWWWLLL
IR Reykjavik
LLLLLWLLLW
#2
League position
#10
+4.9
Net rating
-9.0
107.5
Offensive rating
100.4
102.5
Defensive rating
109.4
58.9%
Effective FG%
57.7%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.1%
3-point %
41.6%
55.4%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 100.4Defence102.5 · 109.4Shooting58.9% · 57.7%3-point %35.1% · 41.6%Ball care13.7% · 15.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Alftanes   ■ IR Reykjavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alftanes wins
2
IR Reykjavik wins
DateGameScore
15/10/26IR Reykjavik v Alftanes88-119
12/03/26Alftanes v IR Reykjavik89-93
05/12/25IR Reykjavik v Alftanes97-86
30/01/25IR Reykjavik v Alftanes75-94
31/10/24Alftanes v IR Reykjavik93-87
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AValur80-68
05/11/26HKR Basket94-102
29/10/26ATindastoll108-105 OT
23/10/26HKeflavik130-110
15/10/26AIR Reykjavik119-88
08/10/26HHottur111-77
26/03/26HStjarnan124-115
21/03/26ATindastoll104-115
12/03/26HIR Reykjavik89-93
06/03/26HKeflavik96-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26ATindastoll87-94
05/11/26HKeflavik90-100
29/10/26AStjarnan96-102
22/10/26AHottur96-108
15/10/26HAlftanes88-119
08/10/26ASindri97-91
11/04/26ATindastoll87-125
07/04/26HTindastoll90-98
02/04/26ATindastoll99-108
26/03/26AValur93-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game107.0111.7102.3
Allowed / game91.796.387.0
Point differential+15.3+15.3+15.3
Avg total198.7208.0189.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
IR Reykjavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game92.389.094.0
Allowed / game102.3109.598.8
Point differential-10.0-20.5-4.8
Avg total194.7198.5192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.