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Alftanes vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 124-115
29-30 30-33 30-35 35-17
Position#8
Record7-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Position#3
Record15-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game93.6
IcelandPremier leagueRound 22· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alftanes v Stjarnan
28 Dec 2026
ALFT v STJA
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
ALFT124
STJA115
19 Jan 2025
ALFT88
STJA100
06 Dec 2024
ALFT77
STJA97
14 Mar 2024
ALFT86
STJA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
W
110-75
110
75
+35
122avg 84
A03/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
101avg 84
H09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A16/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 84
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 84
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
63avg 84
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
87-108
87
108
-21
75avg 84
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
76avg 84
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 84
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
104-115
104
115
-11
96avg 84
A21/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
27-18
27-23
38-21
28-22
15-23
24-15
30-15
19-24
24-19
20-18
15-22
22-28
19-12
27-25
21-18
21-28
24-29
35-17
16-27
24-27
18-17
20-21
18-22
23-26
18-23
24-34
22-25
20-17
16-28
33-39
27-22
23-31
29-23
24-25
13-14
31-25
31-29
23-30
19-31
185.2Avg total
92.6Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)91.492.2183.6-0.833%
Season at home (10)92.893.1185.9-0.350%
Season away (11)90.191.4181.5-1.318%
Last 10 (10)92.692.6185.2+0.030%
Last 5 (5)91.2101.8193.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)90.8100.4191.2-9.631%
vs Similar (10)90.596.6187.1-6.120%
vs Weaker (6)96.774.7171.3+22.083%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
116-98
116
98
+18
no box
H15/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
118-109
118
109
+9
115avg 92
A22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
125-87
125
87
+38
123avg 92
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
106avg 92
A03/02
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#1
L
84-100
84
100
-16
71avg 92
H07/02
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
113-103
113
103
+10
117avg 92
H12/02
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
90-88
90
88
+2
85avg 92
A20/02
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
127-68
127
68
+59
133avg 92
H06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
88-94
88
94
-6
86avg 92
A13/03
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
113-102
113
102
+11
107avg 92
H20/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-15
33-35
27-21
20-27
28-25
39-29
31-25
20-30
35-19
28-20
35-23
27-25
27-24
20-21
27-29
21-21
22-29
21-27
22-18
19-26
35-26
31-26
22-24
25-27
24-26
25-18
16-26
25-18
32-22
37-17
27-23
31-6
30-19
23-25
18-25
17-25
34-28
30-29
26-21
23-24
204.0Avg total
108.4Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)104.793.6198.3+11.171%
Season at home (11)110.690.6201.3+20.091%
Season away (10)98.296.8195.0+1.450%
Last 10 (10)108.495.6204.0+12.880%
Last 5 (5)106.291.0197.2+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.0100.0184.0-16.00%
vs Similar (10)99.989.1189.0+10.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)104.194.3198.4+9.778%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
AlftanesStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A21/03
Premier league
91.2Avg total
45.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.993.0+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.846.295.0+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)45.645.691.2-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)45.046.291.2-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)46.649.295.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)49.149.398.4-0.246%-
vs Similar (10)44.548.593.0-4.010%-
vs Weaker (6)47.234.381.5+12.883%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
W
69-50
69
50
+19
H15/01
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H30/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A03/02
Icelandic Cup
KR Basket
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H07/02
Icelandic Cup
Njardvik
#9
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H12/02
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A20/02
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
69-39
69
39
+30
H06/03
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A13/03
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H20/03
Premier league
107.0Avg total
59.0Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.347.4100.8+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.646.9101.6+7.775%-
Last 30 away (14)51.948.099.9+3.964%-
Last 10 (10)59.048.0107.0+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)60.247.2107.4+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.056.099.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (10)47.848.296.0-0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)57.446.6104.1+10.889%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.8
57.1%
54.6%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
34.0%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.117.3
78.3%
74.2%17.3
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.128.4
60.3%
54.6%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
34.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.919.8
79.5%
74.2%19.8
They take 77.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LLLLLLWLWW
Stjarnan
WLWWWLWWWW
#8
League position
#3
-0.1
Net rating
+12.0
102.9
Offensive rating
101.9
103.0
Defensive rating
89.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.0%
3-point %
32.0%
61.1%
Assist %
69.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 101.9Defence103.0 · 89.9Shooting54.6% · 55.5%3-point %34.0% · 32.0%Ball care14.2% · 13.5%Off. rebounds23.5% · -Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Alftanes   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alftanes wins
5
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
19/12/25Stjarnan v Alftanes108-104
15/12/25Stjarnan v Alftanes94-74
07/03/25Stjarnan v Alftanes116-76
19/01/25Alftanes v Stjarnan88-100
06/12/24Alftanes v Stjarnan77-97
14/03/24Alftanes v Stjarnan86-77
01/12/23Stjarnan v Alftanes84-90 OT
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26ATindastoll104-115
12/03/26HIR Reykjavik89-93
06/03/26HKeflavik96-106
20/02/26HValur87-108
12/02/26AKR Basket80-87
29/01/26ANjardvik96-101
22/01/26HAkranes IA89-83
16/01/26AGrindavik78-83
09/01/26HThorl97-75
03/01/26AArmann110-75
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26HAkranes IA113-102
13/03/26AGrindavik88-94
06/03/26HThorl127-68
20/02/26AArmann90-88
12/02/26HNjardvik113-103
07/02/26HKR Basket84-100
03/02/26AKeflavik110-107 OT
30/01/26HTindastoll125-87
22/01/26AIR Reykjavik118-109
15/01/26HKeflavik116-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game91.492.890.1
Allowed / game92.293.191.4
Point differential-0.8-0.3-1.3
Avg total183.6185.9181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%91%50%
Points / game104.7110.698.2
Allowed / game93.690.696.8
Point differential+11.1+20.0+1.4
Avg total198.3201.3195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%64%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik2117481%93.189.0+4.1
2 Tindastoll2116576%102.491.4+11.0
3 Stjarnan2115671%104.793.6+11.1
4 Valur2114767%91.089.8+1.1
5 KR Basket2112957%99.895.4+4.4
6 Keflavik21111052%95.292.1+3.0
7 IR Reykjavik21101148%91.191.5-0.4
8 Njardvik2181338%95.997.2-1.3
9 Alftanes2171433%91.492.2-0.8
10 Thorl2161529%88.896.0-7.2
11 Armann2161529%87.099.4-12.5
12 Akranes IA2141719%87.9100.6-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes29303035124
Stjarnan30333517115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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