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Alftanes vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 89-93
23-31 29-23 24-25 13-14
Position#8
Record7-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Position#7
Record8-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game91.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 20· Ungmennafélag Álftaness
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alftanes v IR Reykjavik
14 Jan 2027
ALFT v IR R
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
ALFT89
IR R93
31 Oct 2024
ALFT93
IR R87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
IR Reykjavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 85
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
104-108
104
108
-4
96avg 85
A19/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
110-75
110
75
+35
122avg 85
A03/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
101avg 85
H09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A16/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
89-83
89
83
+6
84avg 85
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 85
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
63avg 85
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
87-108
87
108
-21
75avg 85
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
76avg 85
H06/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
25-19
15-26
13-23
35-23
13-28
28-34
28-23
18-13
27-18
27-23
38-21
28-22
15-23
24-15
30-15
19-24
24-19
20-18
15-22
22-28
19-12
27-25
21-18
21-28
24-29
35-17
16-27
24-27
18-17
20-21
18-22
23-26
18-23
24-34
22-25
20-17
16-28
33-39
27-22
183.1Avg total
91.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.890.9181.8-0.137%
Season at home (9)93.293.1186.3+0.156%
Season away (10)88.789.0177.7-0.320%
Last 10 (10)91.192.0183.1-0.930%
Last 5 (5)89.697.0186.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)89.799.2188.8-9.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)92.496.9189.3-4.530%
vs Weaker (7)96.478.1174.6+18.371%
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
L
69-85
69
85
-16
60avg 83
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 83
H18/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
87avg 83
H04/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
84-59
84
59
+25
83avg 83
H08/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
109-118
109
118
-9
103avg 83
H22/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
109-74
109
74
+35
110avg 83
A29/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
71avg 83
H12/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
92avg 83
A19/02
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 83
H06/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
18-22
16-20
9-18
19-19
27-22
16-27
20-17
29-24
25-21
25-25
10-16
20-18
28-17
19-14
17-10
20-26
21-24
26-27
23-24
25-28
29-39
25-31
30-20
35-15
15-19
32-23
27-17
20-19
14-24
23-19
18-16
20-30
30-31
25-21
20-18
25-23
20-27
16-21
25-12
175.7Avg total
88.8Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.491.3181.7-0.842%
Season at home (10)86.387.8174.1-1.550%
Season away (9)95.095.1190.1-0.133%
Last 10 (10)88.886.9175.7+1.940%
Last 5 (5)94.890.6185.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)87.195.5182.6-8.520%
vs Similar ◀ (7)90.984.3175.1+6.686%
vs Weaker (7)92.084.9176.9+7.157%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
AlftanesIR Reykjavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A19/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A12/02
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H20/02
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H06/03
Premier league
88.0Avg total
43.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.545.391.9+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.945.494.4+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)44.445.289.7-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.045.088.0-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.047.088.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)48.048.996.9-0.942%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.747.492.1-2.720%-
vs Weaker (7)46.736.383.0+10.471%-
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A15/12
Icelandic Cup
Valur
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H18/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H04/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A15/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
54-67
54
67
-13
H22/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A29/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H12/02
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A19/02
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H06/03
Premier league
93.9Avg total
46.6Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.146.992.0-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.646.290.8-1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)45.647.793.3-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)46.647.393.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)46.651.097.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)45.750.796.4-5.113%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.740.386.0+5.4100%-
vs Weaker (7)43.445.488.9-2.029%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.7
54.0%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.3
32.4%
34.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.817.0
78.0%
74.2%17.0
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.3
55.1%
54.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.5
33.5%
34.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.9
74.1%
74.2%12.9
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alftanes
LLLLWLWWLL
IR Reykjavik
WLLWLLWWLL
#8
League position
#7
-7.6
Net rating
+3.0
100.1
Offensive rating
100.3
107.7
Defensive rating
97.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.4%
3-point %
33.5%
60.6%
Assist %
68.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 100.3Defence107.7 · 97.3Shooting51.8% · 53.0%3-point %32.4% · 33.5%Ball care14.6% · 15.2%Off. rebounds23.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Alftanes   ■ IR Reykjavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alftanes wins
1
IR Reykjavik wins
DateGameScore
05/12/25IR Reykjavik v Alftanes97-86
30/01/25IR Reykjavik v Alftanes75-94
31/10/24Alftanes v IR Reykjavik93-87
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HKeflavik96-106
20/02/26HValur87-108
12/02/26AKR Basket80-87
29/01/26ANjardvik96-101
22/01/26HAkranes IA89-83
16/01/26AGrindavik78-83
09/01/26HThorl97-75
03/01/26AArmann110-75
19/12/25AStjarnan104-108
15/12/25AStjarnan74-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HAkranes IA86-83
19/02/26AGrindavik95-100
12/02/26HThorl75-78
29/01/26AArmann109-74
22/01/26HStjarnan109-118
15/01/26ATindastoll90-101
08/01/26HNjardvik84-59
04/01/26HKeflavik89-86
18/12/25HValur82-85
15/12/25AValur69-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL37%
HomeLWWLL56%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%56%20%
Points / game90.893.288.7
Allowed / game90.993.189.0
Point differential-0.1+0.1-0.3
Avg total181.8186.3177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
IR Reykjavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game90.486.395.0
Allowed / game91.387.895.1
Point differential-0.8-1.5-0.1
Avg total181.7174.1190.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1916384%93.488.3+5.1
2 Stjarnan1914574%105.293.1+12.1
3 Tindastoll1914574%101.191.0+10.1
4 Valur1913668%91.889.0+2.8
5 KR Basket1911858%99.494.5+4.9
6 Keflavik1911858%95.291.6+3.6
7 IR Reykjavik1981142%90.491.3-0.8
8 Alftanes1971237%90.890.9-0.1
9 Njardvik1971237%96.497.6-1.2
10 Thorl1951426%88.598.2-9.7
11 Akranes IA1941521%87.399.2-11.9
12 Armann1941521%86.5101.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alftanes2329241389
IR Reykjavik3123251493
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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