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Alicante vs Estela Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 17 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game76.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 30
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alicante v Estela
17 Apr 2027
ALI v ESTE
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ALI101
ESTE90
08 Nov 2024
ALI60
ESTE75
01 Nov 2023
ALI89
ESTE79
27 Jan 2023
ALI78
ESTE77
02 Mar 2019
ALI81
ESTE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alicante win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Estela win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlicanteSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlicante
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 72
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
72-113
72
113
-41
60avg 72
H22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
96-82
96
82
+14
83avg 72
H26/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
81-64
81
64
+17
71avg 72
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 72
H10/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 72
A16/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
106-66
106
66
+40
98avg 72
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 72
A30/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
100-66
100
66
+34
no box
H14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
19-21
17-18
16-17
27-33
20-30
13-25
12-25
22-26
21-23
25-15
28-18
24-16
14-16
22-11
21-21
20-20
21-21
20-13
23-20
16-16
16-22
24-22
27-19
29-26
32-18
23-5
22-17
23-22
21-23
19-25
26-9
12-23
20-14
20-18
32-29
22-18
34-12
24-13
20-23
166.5Avg total
87.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)92.075.4167.4+16.6100%
Season at home (5)96.676.2172.8+20.4100%
Season away (3)84.374.0158.3+10.3100%
Last 10 (10)87.579.0166.5+8.580%
Last 5 (5)95.076.6171.6+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.388.6163.9-13.49%
vs Similar (7)77.682.7160.3-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.477.6166.0+10.883%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
58avg 72
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
53avg 72
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
69-68
69
68
+1
54avg 72
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
88-76
88
76
+12
89avg 72
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
101-86
101
86
+15
99avg 72
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 72
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
L
81-82
81
82
-1
73avg 72
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
92-67
92
67
+25
no box
A14/11
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
14-26
16-28
23-25
17-21
18-20
20-17
14-17
17-14
17-24
24-15
24-15
23-22
21-28
31-13
27-20
22-25
22-15
22-23
23-24
17-17
23-20
19-23
19-19
20-20
17-19
14-19
21-24
21-23
16-12
13-17
27-18
17-24
18-21
30-18
26-17
18-11
160.5Avg total
79.6Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.676.8159.4+5.975%
Season at home (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
Season away (4)90.577.8168.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)79.680.9160.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)80.676.8157.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.786.2162.9-9.533%
vs Similar (10)78.677.5156.1+1.150%
vs Weaker (5)82.874.4157.2+8.480%
This opponent (Alicante) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.9-1.9
AlicanteEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlicanteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
47-63
47
63
-16
H22/05
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/09
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A03/10
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A16/10
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/10
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H07/11
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H14/11
Primera FEB
84.6Avg total
42.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.281.1-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.543.886.3-1.329%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.076.6-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.884.6+1.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.543.984.4-3.518%-
vs Similar (7)35.742.177.9-6.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.838.280.0+3.558%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
Primera FEB
Albacete
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A25/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H31/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/11
Primera FEB
80.0Avg total
38.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.581.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.479.1-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)41.142.483.5-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.180.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.644.382.9-5.727%-
vs Similar (10)40.838.379.1+2.550%-
vs Weaker (5)42.639.281.8+3.480%-
This opponent (Alicante) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alicantetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alicante: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.0
51.2%
53.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.4
36.0%
32.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
74.2%14.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.5
55.7%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.3
33.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
74.2%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alicante
WWWWWWWWLL
Estela
WWLLWWWWLL
#1
League position
#5
+3.5
Net rating
-5.8
115.2
Offensive rating
111.4
111.7
Defensive rating
117.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.0%
3-point %
33.8%
51.4%
Assist %
57.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 111.4Defence111.7 · 117.2Shooting52.5% · 53.2%3-point %36.0% · 33.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Alicante   ■ Estela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alicante wins
3
Estela wins
DateGameScore
17/04/26Estela v Alicante74-82
23/11/25Alicante v Estela101-90
08/03/25Estela v Alicante83-72
08/11/24Alicante v Estela60-75
03/03/24Estela v Alicante65-82
01/11/23Alicante v Estela89-79
27/01/23Alicante v Estela78-77
07/10/22Estela v Alicante76-70
14/04/19Estela v Alicante68-76
02/03/19Alicante v Estela81-65
Alicantelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HFibwi Palma100-66
07/11/26HPalmer Basket97-93 OT
30/10/26ATizona Burgos89-79
25/10/26HGipuzkoa106-66
16/10/26AOurense83-79
10/10/26HGran Canaria84-74
03/10/26AHestia Menorca81-64
26/09/26HFuenlabrada96-82
22/05/26HEstudiantes72-113
17/05/26AEstudiantes67-74
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGipuzkoa92-67
07/11/26HEstudiantes73-71
31/10/26HPalencia73-85
25/10/26AAlbacete81-82
17/10/26HFuenlabrada84-79
10/10/26AOurense101-86
04/10/26AFibwi Palma88-76
26/09/26HHestia Menorca69-68
08/05/26APalencia70-100
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alicante
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.096.684.3
Allowed / game75.476.274.0
Point differential+16.6+20.4+10.3
Avg total167.4172.8158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game82.674.890.5
Allowed / game76.875.877.8
Point differential+5.9-1.0+12.8
Avg total159.4150.5168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alicante880100%92.075.4+16.6
2 Estudiantes87188%89.877.4+12.4
3 Palencia87188%82.573.0+9.5
4 Gran Canaria86275%91.076.5+14.5
5 Estela86275%82.676.8+5.9
6 Ourense85362%85.282.0+3.2
7 Palmer Basket85362%86.584.5+2.0
8 Granada84450%79.180.8-1.6
9 Oviedo84450%78.983.2-4.4
10 Caja 8783538%75.677.8-2.1
11 Zamora83538%78.081.5-3.5
12 Albacete83538%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fuenlabrada82625%77.980.4-2.5
14 Hestia Menorca82625%69.674.6-5.0
15 Cordoba82625%71.076.6-5.6
16 Tizona Burgos82625%85.493.4-8.0
17 Gipuzkoa82625%76.090.5-14.5
18 Fibwi Palma81712%78.089.8-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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