PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Estela vs Fuenlabrada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-79
22-15 22-23 23-24 17-17
Position#5
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game76.7
Estela 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#13
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game84.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 4
Other2026-27
Meetings · Estela v Fuenlabrada
17 Oct 2026
ESTE84
FUE79
22 Apr 2026
ESTE80
FUE89
07 Dec 2024
ESTE67
FUE75
10 Feb 2024
ESTE81
FUE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fuenlabrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H04/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A11/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H17/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
H22/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A26/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#15
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
101-86
101
86
+15
A10/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
21-21
16-22
27-25
11-22
19-12
24-15
18-18
17-23
17-18
19-20
21-21
23-16
23-28
16-21
18-24
17-22
37-22
19-17
16-25
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
14-26
16-28
23-25
17-21
18-20
20-17
14-17
17-14
17-24
24-15
24-15
23-22
21-28
31-13
27-20
22-25
162.4Avg total
78.7Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.076.7162.7+9.3100%
Season at home (1)69.068.0137.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)94.581.0175.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.783.7162.4-5.050%
Last 5 (5)78.685.0163.6-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.288.2166.5-10.029%
vs Similar (10)77.276.7153.9+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.076.7162.7+9.3100%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H08/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
52-90
52
90
-38
A15/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
51-76
51
76
-25
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A11/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
14-19
30-19
21-26
19-14
15-25
21-16
22-15
16-17
12-22
7-25
17-26
23-16
22-29
17-11
17-27
18-14
24-15
27-22
19-30
13-16
21-22
22-22
22-12
9-26
12-15
12-22
18-13
26-22
23-21
15-25
18-28
15-14
16-19
20-25
17-21
22-18
19-29
16-14
17-16
154.6Avg total
74.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.784.0158.7-9.30%
Season at home (1)68.079.0147.0-11.00%
Season away (2)78.086.5164.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)74.080.6154.6-6.640%
Last 5 (5)70.680.0150.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)73.180.5153.6-7.444%
vs Similar (8)78.174.5152.6+3.662%
vs Weaker (6)86.777.8164.5+8.883%
This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.6-2.6
EstelaFuenlabrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H04/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A11/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A26/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#15
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A10/10
Primera FEB
82.3Avg total
39.5Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.582.5-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.581.4-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)40.243.383.6-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.882.3-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.883.8-5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.445.184.4-5.729%-
vs Similar (10)40.239.179.3+1.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.739.082.7+4.7100%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cartagena
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A15/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H22/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A29/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/09
Primera FEB
Gran Canaria
#3
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H03/10
Primera FEB
Caja 87
#11
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A11/10
Primera FEB
75.6Avg total
36.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.678.6-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.937.375.1+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.681.7-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.175.6-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.475.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.740.277.9-2.531%-
vs Similar (8)38.938.677.5+0.238%-
vs Weaker (6)43.039.282.2+3.867%-
This opponent (Estela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.316.3
53.8%
52.8%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.7
33.6%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.917.0
77.6%
74.4%17.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.5
50.5%
52.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.7
35.1%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.213.0
71.4%
74.4%13.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
WWWLLWLLWL
Fuenlabrada
LLLLWWLLWW
#5
League position
#13
-6.9
Net rating
-6.5
109.3
Offensive rating
107.3
116.2
Defensive rating
113.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.6%
3-point %
35.1%
60.8%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 107.3Defence116.2 · 113.8Shooting52.1% · 51.4%3-point %33.6% · 35.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Estela   ■ Fuenlabrada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estela wins
4
Fuenlabrada wins
DateGameScore
22/04/26Estela v Fuenlabrada80-89
18/10/25Fuenlabrada v Estela90-75
12/03/25Fuenlabrada v Estela94-70
07/12/24Estela v Fuenlabrada67-75
10/02/24Estela v Fuenlabrada81-74
07/10/23Fuenlabrada v Estela73-78
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26AOurense101-86
04/10/26AFibwi Palma88-76
26/09/26HHestia Menorca69-68
08/05/26APalencia70-100
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95
26/04/26AZamora89-86
22/04/26HFuenlabrada80-89
17/04/26HAlicante74-82
11/04/26AOurense72-67
04/04/26HLeyma Coruna79-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26ACaja 8774-77
03/10/26HGran Canaria68-79
26/09/26AAlicante82-96
29/05/26APalencia51-76
24/05/26HPalencia78-72
22/05/26HPalencia88-81
17/05/26APalencia79-83
15/05/26APalencia52-90
08/05/26HEstudiantes77-70
26/04/26HCartagena91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.069.094.5
Allowed / game76.768.081.0
Point differential+9.3+1.0+13.5
Avg total162.7137.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fuenlabrada
Primera FEB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.768.078.0
Allowed / game84.079.086.5
Point differential-9.3-11.0-8.5
Avg total158.7147.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Estudiantes330100%88.071.3+16.7
2 Palencia330100%85.370.7+14.7
3 Alicante440100%86.074.8+11.2
4 Estela330100%86.076.7+9.3
5 Palmer Basket43175%86.283.5+2.8
6 Gran Canaria32167%87.073.7+13.3
7 Granada32167%81.379.0+2.3
8 Albacete32167%84.786.0-1.3
9 Ourense42250%86.585.2+1.2
10 Cordoba42250%73.272.2+1.0
11 Caja 8742250%76.076.8-0.8
12 Oviedo42250%84.092.8-8.8
13 Gipuzkoa41325%83.591.5-8.0
14 Fibwi Palma3030%85.394.0-8.7
15 Tizona Burgos4040%87.896.8-9.0
16 Fuenlabrada3030%74.784.0-9.3
17 Hestia Menorca3030%69.380.3-11.0
18 Zamora3030%66.378.7-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela2222231784
Fuenlabrada1523241779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.