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Estela vs Obradoiro CAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-95
21-28 13-25 22-19 9-23
Position#12
Record12-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#1
Record26-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game76.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 33
Other2025-26
Meetings · Estela v Obradoiro CAB
02 May 2026
ESTE65
OKA95
02 Apr 2025
ESTE58
OKA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 72
A22/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 72
A08/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
83-86
83
86
-3
83avg 72
A15/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 72
H21/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 72
A27/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
71avg 72
H04/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
71avg 72
A11/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 72
H17/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
76avg 72
H22/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
84avg 72
A26/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-17
16-21
17-22
20-24
14-11
20-14
19-19
19-24
20-19
19-18
25-25
18-21
18-19
19-23
25-15
25-27
25-19
19-20
8-20
15-20
21-21
16-22
27-25
11-22
19-12
24-15
18-18
17-23
17-18
19-20
21-21
23-16
23-28
16-21
18-24
17-22
37-22
19-17
16-25
159.7Avg total
78.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.283.8162.0-5.640%
Season at home (15)78.182.6160.7-4.547%
Season away (15)78.384.9163.3-6.633%
Last 10 (10)78.481.3159.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)78.882.4161.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.787.3166.0-8.635%
vs Similar (10)77.276.7153.9+0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
97-77
97
77
+20
92avg 86
A07/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
101-49
101
49
+52
110avg 86
H10/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
103-80
103
80
+23
81avg 86
A15/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
89-80
89
80
+9
89avg 86
H21/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
87-63
87
63
+24
84avg 86
A29/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
81-53
81
53
+28
77avg 86
H05/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 86
A11/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
94-57
94
57
+37
95avg 86
H17/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
85avg 86
A21/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 86
H26/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
21-16
23-10
26-21
26-7
25-13
28-15
22-14
27-26
20-21
22-17
34-16
19-24
34-14
16-24
20-18
19-24
25-13
25-12
18-14
13-10
24-13
22-9
22-21
19-26
18-15
31-25
24-18
25-12
24-9
21-23
24-13
26-21
27-26
19-15
14-24
26-14
19-27
20-23
24-15
165.0Avg total
92.9Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)92.276.2168.4+15.987%
Season at home (15)92.473.2165.6+19.293%
Season away (15)91.979.3171.2+12.780%
Last 10 (10)92.972.1165.0+20.890%
Last 5 (5)90.474.4164.8+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)92.276.2168.4+15.987%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +5.4+5.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +5.4+5.4
EstelaObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A08/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H21/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A27/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H04/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A11/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A26/04
Primera FEB
81.1Avg total
40.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.182.8-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.442.982.3-3.533%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.383.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.881.1-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.880.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.545.184.6-5.630%-
vs Similar (10)40.239.179.3+1.140%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A07/03
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
51-20
51
20
+31
H10/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A15/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H21/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A29/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H05/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H17/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A21/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/04
Primera FEB
82.5Avg total
46.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.638.585.1+8.180%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.036.283.2+10.893%-
Last 30 away (15)46.140.886.9+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)46.436.182.5+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.678.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.638.585.1+8.180%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.3
54.0%
51.5%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.0
31.8%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.818.8
82.5%
73.4%18.8
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.1
59.4%
51.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.8
40.0%
33.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.816.3
71.5%
73.4%16.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estela
WLLWLLWLWL
Obradoiro CAB
WLWWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#1
-4.0
Net rating
+28.8
109.3
Offensive rating
129.5
113.3
Defensive rating
100.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
59.7%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.8%
3-point %
40.0%
59.3%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.3 · 129.5Defence113.3 · 100.7Shooting50.9% · 59.7%3-point %31.8% · 40.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Estela   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estela wins
2
Obradoiro CAB wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Obradoiro CAB v Estela82-87
02/04/25Estela v Obradoiro CAB58-85
01/12/24Obradoiro CAB v Estela93-54
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AZamora89-86
22/04/26HFuenlabrada80-89
17/04/26HAlicante74-82
11/04/26AOurense72-67
04/04/26HLeyma Coruna79-88
27/03/26ATizona Burgos77-86
21/03/26HEstudiantes80-78
15/03/26APalmer Basket83-86
08/03/26AFibwi Palma73-68
22/02/26AMelilla77-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HEstudiantes89-79
21/04/26ATizona Burgos96-99 OT
17/04/26HOurense94-57
11/04/26ALeyma Coruna92-84
05/04/26HPalencia81-53
29/03/26AFibwi Palma87-63
21/03/26HPalmer Basket89-80
15/03/26AAlicante103-80
10/03/26HCartagena101-49
07/03/26AFuenlabrada97-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayWLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %40%47%33%
Points / game78.278.178.3
Allowed / game83.882.684.9
Point differential-5.6-4.5-6.6
Avg total162.0160.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)80% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Obradoiro CAB
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %87%93%80%
Points / game92.292.491.9
Allowed / game76.273.279.3
Point differential+15.9+19.2+12.7
Avg total168.4165.6171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%80%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %10%7%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna3127487%90.478.3+12.1
2 Obradoiro CAB3026487%92.276.2+15.9
3 Palencia3023777%83.172.7+10.4
4 Estudiantes30191163%84.680.5+4.2
5 Gipuzkoa30181260%78.974.5+4.4
6 Fuenlabrada31181358%79.981.0-1.2
7 Oviedo30171357%82.178.1+3.9
8 Hestia Menorca30161453%80.176.7+3.5
9 Alicante30151550%82.181.6+0.5
10 Zamora30141647%83.886.0-2.2
11 Estela30121840%78.283.8-5.6
12 Ourense30111937%78.981.5-2.6
13 Fibwi Palma3092130%75.982.5-6.7
14 Tizona Burgos3082227%82.689.2-6.6
15 Palmer Basket3082227%72.983.2-10.3
16 Cartagena3082227%73.884.6-10.7
17 Melilla3072323%76.385.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estela211322965
Obradoiro CAB2825192395
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