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Palencia vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 May 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 100-70
26-14 28-16 25-23 21-17
Position#3
Record24-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#12
Record12-19
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game84.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 34
Other2025-26
Meetings · Palencia v Estela
10 Mar 2027
PAL v ESTE
upcoming
08 May 2026
PAL100
ESTE70
21 Mar 2025
PAL85
ESTE77
24 Mar 2023
PAL94
ESTE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Zamora
#9
W
77-66
77
66
+11
64avg 74
H06/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
91-74
91
74
+17
82avg 74
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
99-87
99
87
+12
91avg 74
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
71-57
71
57
+14
59avg 74
A21/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
82-62
82
62
+20
79avg 74
H27/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
53-81
53
81
-28
34avg 74
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
72-67
72
67
+5
62avg 74
A18/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
87avg 74
A21/04
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
92-70
92
70
+22
92avg 74
H25/04
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
82-72
82
72
+10
79avg 74
A02/05
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
14-17
16-16
25-15
21-21
24-14
24-25
22-14
19-23
28-13
33-22
19-29
21-21
18-17
9-6
23-13
20-19
28-12
16-11
18-20
10-13
13-24
9-22
21-22
16-17
18-13
21-25
17-12
23-16
22-26
34-21
14-27
24-15
19-17
27-21
22-17
22-10
21-17
18-18
21-27
153.8Avg total
81.2Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.172.7155.8+10.477%
Season at home (15)84.372.8157.1+11.580%
Season away (16)81.972.6154.6+9.375%
Last 10 (10)81.272.6153.8+8.690%
Last 5 (5)78.476.0154.4+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.084.0153.0-15.00%
vs Similar (2)87.084.5171.5+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)84.071.1155.1+13.085%
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 71
A08/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
83-86
83
86
-3
83avg 71
A15/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
80-78
80
78
+2
73avg 71
H21/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 71
A27/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
71avg 71
H04/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
71avg 71
A11/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 71
H17/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
76avg 71
H22/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
84avg 71
A26/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
65-95
65
95
-30
58avg 71
H02/05
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
14-11
20-14
19-19
19-24
20-19
19-18
25-25
18-21
18-19
19-23
25-15
25-27
25-19
19-20
8-20
15-20
21-21
16-22
27-25
11-22
19-12
24-15
18-18
17-23
17-18
19-20
21-21
23-16
23-28
16-21
18-24
17-22
37-22
19-17
16-25
21-28
13-25
22-19
9-23
159.7Avg total
77.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.884.1161.9-6.439%
Season at home (16)77.283.4160.6-6.144%
Season away (15)78.384.9163.3-6.633%
Last 10 (10)77.282.5159.7-5.340%
Last 5 (5)76.083.8159.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.387.2165.6-8.935%
vs Similar (10)77.276.7153.9+0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
PalenciaEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zamora
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H14/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A21/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#17
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H27/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A05/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A18/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/04
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H25/04
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#16
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A02/05
Primera FEB
74.6Avg total
40.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.035.978.9+7.180%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.935.979.8+8.187%-
Last 30 away (15)42.035.977.9+6.173%-
Last 10 (10)40.334.374.6+6.090%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.671.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (2)47.041.088.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.235.178.3+8.181%-
This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fibwi Palma
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A08/03
Primera FEB
Palmer Basket
#15
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A15/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H21/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A27/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H04/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A11/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H17/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#6
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H22/04
Primera FEB
Zamora
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A26/04
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#1
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H02/05
Primera FEB
81.4Avg total
39.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.182.7-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.243.082.2-3.833%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.383.3-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.181.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.282.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.345.184.4-5.930%-
vs Similar (10)40.239.179.3+1.140%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Palencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.7
49.3%
51.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.4
36.9%
33.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.5
73.2%
73.4%14.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estela: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
45%
36%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.215.5
53.1%
51.5%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.2
32.4%
33.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.818.6
81.6%
73.4%18.6
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
WWWWLWWWWW
Estela
LWLLWLLWLW
#3
League position
#12
+11.8
Net rating
-7.5
112.6
Offensive rating
108.9
100.8
Defensive rating
116.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.9%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.9%
3-point %
32.4%
54.4%
Assist %
61.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 108.9Defence100.8 · 116.3Shooting52.0% · 50.9%3-point %36.9% · 32.4%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Palencia   ■ Estela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Palencia wins
0
Estela wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Estela v Palencia58-107
21/03/25Palencia v Estela85-77
18/01/25Estela v Palencia59-83
24/03/23Palencia v Estela94-72
26/11/22Estela v Palencia67-77
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26ACartagena82-72
25/04/26HFibwi Palma92-70
21/04/26AOurense93-90
18/04/26AHestia Menorca72-67
05/04/26AObradoiro CAB53-81
27/03/26HMelilla82-62
21/03/26AGipuzkoa71-57
14/03/26HLeyma Coruna99-87
11/03/26ATizona Burgos91-74
06/03/26HZamora77-66
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HObradoiro CAB65-95
26/04/26AZamora89-86
22/04/26HFuenlabrada80-89
17/04/26HAlicante74-82
11/04/26AOurense72-67
04/04/26HLeyma Coruna79-88
27/03/26ATizona Burgos77-86
21/03/26HEstudiantes80-78
15/03/26APalmer Basket83-86
08/03/26AFibwi Palma73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %77%80%75%
Points / game83.184.381.9
Allowed / game72.772.872.6
Point differential+10.4+11.5+9.3
Avg total155.8157.1154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayWLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game77.877.278.3
Allowed / game84.183.484.9
Point differential-6.4-6.1-6.6
Avg total161.9160.6163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)80% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna3228488%90.578.2+12.3
2 Obradoiro CAB3127487%92.375.9+16.4
3 Palencia3124777%83.172.7+10.4
4 Estudiantes31201165%84.380.1+4.1
5 Gipuzkoa31191261%79.174.2+4.9
6 Oviedo31181358%82.378.2+4.1
7 Fuenlabrada31181358%79.981.0-1.2
8 Hestia Menorca31161552%79.776.9+2.8
9 Alicante31151648%82.582.1+0.4
10 Zamora31141745%83.686.1-2.5
11 Ourense31121939%79.481.6-2.3
12 Estela31121939%77.884.1-6.4
13 Tizona Burgos3192229%83.189.3-6.2
14 Fibwi Palma3192229%75.982.9-7.0
15 Palmer Basket3182326%72.882.8-10.0
16 Cartagena3182326%73.884.5-10.7
17 Melilla3172423%76.586.0-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia26282521100
Estela1416231770
← all games of the day
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