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Alkar vs Cedevita Junior Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-70
13-31 16-18 23-10 20-11
Position#7
Record8-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game76.7
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Cedevita Junior
Croatia
Position#3
Record17-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game76.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 23· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alkar v Cedevita Junior
08 Jan 2027
ALKA v CEDE
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
ALKA61
CEDE82
12 Mar 2025
ALKA72
CEDE70
14 Feb 2025
ALKA72
CEDE62
16 Nov 2024
ALKA63
CEDE65
20 Nov 2023
ALKA73
CEDE81
09 Dec 2022
ALKA75
CEDE84
15 Jan 2022
ALKA82
CEDE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Junior winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
97avg 68
H17/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
54avg 68
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
73-64
73
64
+9
71avg 68
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
63avg 68
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 68
H08/02
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 68
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
72-62 OT
72
62
+10
69avg 68
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
52avg 68
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
80avg 68
H22/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
86-96
86
96
-10
81avg 68
A01/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-24
25-20
24-24
20-15
19-22
11-26
10-23
19-12
22-21
18-14
14-17
11-19
19-17
19-15
18-18
20-8
11-24
21-19
17-11
22-9
17-11
20-20
18-9
21-14
13-16
16-19
8-9
8-25
16-17
19-21
17-14
27-13
12-20
16-20
26-8
30-23
23-14
15-28
18-31
144.4Avg total
73.3Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.076.7147.6-5.736%
Season at home (11)75.271.7146.9+3.573%
Season away (11)66.781.6148.4-14.90%
Last 10 (10)73.371.1144.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)75.269.0144.2+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.481.3151.7-10.920%
vs Similar (10)74.776.2150.9-1.540%
vs Weaker (4)74.867.2142.0+7.575%
This opponent (Cedevita Junior) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita JuniorCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJunior
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 78
H22/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
61avg 78
A27/01
Premijer liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 78
A29/01
ABA League 2
Alkar
#7
W
69-67
69
67
+2
65avg 78
H02/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
93avg 78
H08/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
84avg 78
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Alkar
#2
L
62-72 OT
62
72
-10
38avg 78
A14/02
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 78
H28/02
Premijer liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 78
H04/03
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
75-100
75
100
-25
68avg 78
A11/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
22-16
19-29
24-19
26-25
18-26
17-18
13-20
25-18
14-19
25-13
12-20
19-11
17-19
15-19
18-18
18-20
24-17
19-20
23-27
13-23
17-19
24-20
33-23
14-21
16-13
19-16
9-8
24-24
26-20
26-14
18-27
24-18
19-22
19-16
11-20
24-28
22-28
5-22
24-22
160.0Avg total
78.7Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.276.0160.1+8.277%
Season at home (11)85.279.2164.4+6.073%
Season away (11)83.272.7155.9+10.582%
Last 10 (10)78.781.3160.0-2.660%
Last 5 (5)78.283.6161.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.282.6157.9-7.425%
vs Similar (4)80.879.5160.2+1.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.973.4159.2+12.588%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
AlkarCedevita Junior
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A01/03
Premijer liga
71.0Avg total
36.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.438.875.2-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.639.977.5-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.137.872.9-2.747%-
Last 10 (10)36.934.171.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.470.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.141.576.6-6.333%-
vs Similar (10)36.237.974.1-1.750%-
vs Weaker (4)39.232.071.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Cedevita Junior) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita JuniorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H22/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A27/01
Premijer liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A29/01
ABA League 2
Alkar
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H02/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A11/02
Croatian Cup
Alkar
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A14/02
Croatian Cup
Dubrava
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H28/02
Premijer liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/03
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#3
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A11/03
ABA League 2
80.2Avg total
40.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.780.9+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.138.579.5+2.673%-
Last 30 away (19)41.240.481.6+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.180.2+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.283.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.443.683.0-4.225%-
vs Similar (4)42.844.287.0-1.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.436.677.9+4.876%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.3
56.9%
53.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.3
29.7%
34.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.412.0
69.0%
73.3%12.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Juniortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Junior: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.7
53.7%
53.5%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.7
29.4%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.011.4
71.2%
73.3%11.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWLWWWLWLW
Cedevita Junior
LLWLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#3
+3.1
Net rating
-3.5
101.6
Offensive rating
104.5
98.5
Defensive rating
108.0
51.7%
Effective FG%
49.9%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.7%
3-point %
29.4%
71.4%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 104.5Defence98.5 · 108.0Shooting51.7% · 49.9%3-point %29.7% · 29.4%Ball care19.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds26.6% · 32.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Alkar   ■ Cedevita Junior
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alkar wins
9
Cedevita Junior wins
DateGameScore
14/02/25Alkar v Cedevita Junior72-62 OT
02/02/25Cedevita Junior v Alkar69-67
16/11/24Alkar v Cedevita Junior63-65
26/04/24Cedevita Junior v Alkar91-80
04/02/24Cedevita Junior v Alkar95-81
20/11/23Alkar v Cedevita Junior73-81
10/03/23Cedevita Junior v Alkar100-87
09/12/22Alkar v Cedevita Junior75-84
15/01/22Alkar v Cedevita Junior82-85
17/10/21Cedevita Junior v Alkar104-85
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ADinamo Zagreb86-96
22/02/25HKvarner81-61
15/02/25HSplit60-77
14/02/25HCedevita Junior72-62 OT
12/02/25AKastela77-49
08/02/25HGKK Sibenka69-62
02/02/25ACedevita Junior67-69
25/01/25HDubrovnik73-64
21/01/25ASplit60-86
17/01/25HCibona88-85
Cedevita Juniorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25AVojvodina Novi Sad75-100
04/03/25HVojvodina Novi Sad73-76
28/02/25HDubrava94-85
14/02/25AAlkar62-72 OT
11/02/25AZabok87-85
08/02/25HZabok93-91 OT
02/02/25HAlkar69-67
29/01/25ASiroki Brijeg76-70
27/01/25AZadar74-89
22/01/25HDinamo Zagreb84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL36%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%73%0%
Points / game71.075.266.7
Allowed / game76.771.781.6
Point differential-5.7+3.5-14.9
Avg total147.6146.9148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Cedevita Junior
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%73%82%
Points / game84.285.283.2
Allowed / game76.079.272.7
Point differential+8.2+6.0+10.5
Avg total160.1164.4155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%27%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %9%9%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2320387%78.464.8+13.7
2 Split2318578%87.072.9+14.2
3 Cedevita Junior2217577%84.276.0+8.2
4 Cibona2214864%83.777.8+5.9
5 Dinamo Zagreb22111150%84.484.7-0.3
6 Kvarner23111248%80.081.0-1.0
7 Dubrava2291341%78.283.3-5.1
8 Zabok2291341%80.085.6-5.5
9 Alkar2281436%71.076.7-5.7
10 GKK Sibenka2371630%75.283.2-8.0
11 Osijek2371630%75.683.8-8.2
12 Dubrovnik2341917%74.983.1-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1316232072
Cedevita Junior3118101170
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