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Alkar vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-64
19-12 22-21 18-14 14-17
Position#7
Record5-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game78.5
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Dubrovnik
Croatia
Position#11
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game82.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 19· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alkar v Dubrovnik
06 Nov 2026
ALKA v DUBR
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
ALKA70
DUBR72
25 Jan 2025
ALKA73
DUBR64
10 Feb 2024
ALKA58
DUBR57
01 Dec 2012
ALKA80
DUBR52
24 Mar 2012
ALKA81
DUBR78
18 Feb 2012
ALKA101
DUBR85
05 Mar 2011
ALKA84
DUBR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
52avg 69
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
53avg 69
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 69
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
85avg 69
H08/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-71
61
71
-10
54avg 69
H15/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
70avg 69
A29/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
71avg 69
H04/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
66-84
66
84
-18
51avg 69
A11/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
97avg 69
H17/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
54avg 69
A21/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
26-11
14-14
12-16
15-13
15-13
15-23
19-15
18-21
27-15
20-19
20-15
18-26
32-23
16-10
22-21
17-18
13-24
26-15
5-14
23-23
19-18
21-17
15-24
18-32
25-13
20-11
18-15
18-18
13-20
17-27
18-19
19-17
20-24
25-20
24-24
20-15
19-22
11-26
10-23
150.6Avg total
73.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.778.5148.2-8.829%
Season at home (8)75.575.2150.8+0.262%
Season away (9)64.681.4146.0-16.90%
Last 10 (10)73.776.9150.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)74.681.6156.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)68.881.1149.9-12.419%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.280.6156.8-4.322%
vs Weaker (4)92.576.8169.2+15.875%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 65
A17/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
73avg 65
H30/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#6
L
69-84
69
84
-15
57avg 65
H04/12
Croatian Cup
Osijek
#12
L
72-77
72
77
-5
65avg 65
A07/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
68-88
68
88
-20
54avg 65
A16/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 65
A29/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
79-102
79
102
-23
69avg 65
A05/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
75-88
75
88
-13
69avg 65
H11/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
77-103
77
103
-26
70avg 65
A18/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
66-69
66
69
-3
62avg 65
H22/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
19-17
19-25
22-24
25-22
21-23
19-13
11-25
13-28
19-24
18-16
19-16
17-18
23-20
15-16
17-23
10-23
12-19
22-26
24-20
23-19
21-30
18-13
15-21
22-30
16-17
17-27
24-28
16-20
25-20
21-32
13-16
19-32
14-22
23-27
21-22
17-20
27-24
8-8
14-17
159.1Avg total
73.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)74.082.2156.2-8.218%
Season at home (8)74.578.1152.6-3.625%
Season away (9)73.685.9159.4-12.311%
Last 10 (10)73.685.5159.1-11.90%
Last 5 (5)74.889.0163.8-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)72.484.3156.8-11.911%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.772.1144.8+0.644%
vs Weaker (2)73.068.5141.5+4.550%
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.2-3.2
AlkarDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H08/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H15/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A29/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/01
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A11/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/01
Premijer liga
77.6Avg total
38.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.678.6-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.242.681.8-3.438%-
Last 30 away (17)36.939.176.1-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.077.6-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.479.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.241.877.0-6.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.640.877.3-4.244%-
vs Weaker (4)50.037.087.0+13.075%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A17/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H30/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H04/12
Croatian Cup
Osijek
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A07/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A16/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A05/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/01
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A18/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/01
Premijer liga
81.6Avg total
37.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.676.5-2.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.238.777.9+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)34.640.575.1-5.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.644.081.6-6.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.886.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.142.278.3-6.228%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.234.872.0+2.478%-
vs Weaker (2)45.531.577.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.2
52.0%
53.5%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.6
32.3%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.910.5
70.5%
73.3%10.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.7
48.6%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.2
29.9%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.410.4
72.2%
73.3%10.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWLWLLWWLL
Dubrovnik
LLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#11
-5.0
Net rating
-16.4
100.7
Offensive rating
96.8
105.7
Defensive rating
113.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
47.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.3%
3-point %
29.9%
67.5%
Assist %
65.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 96.8Defence105.7 · 113.2Shooting50.5% · 47.0%3-point %32.3% · 29.9%Ball care19.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds26.8% · 26.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Alkar   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alkar wins
4
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Dubrovnik v Alkar64-55
17/04/24Dubrovnik v Alkar76-72
10/02/24Alkar v Dubrovnik58-57
25/11/23Dubrovnik v Alkar78-75
16/03/13Dubrovnik v Alkar76-77
01/12/12Alkar v Dubrovnik80-52
15/04/12Dubrovnik v Alkar78-88
24/03/12Alkar v Dubrovnik81-78
18/02/12Alkar v Dubrovnik101-85
12/11/11Dubrovnik v Alkar78-69
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/25ASplit60-86
17/01/25HCibona88-85
11/01/25AOsijek66-84
04/01/25HDubrava81-71
29/12/24AZabok78-82
15/12/24HZadar61-71
08/12/24HDinamo Zagreb88-80
03/12/24ASkrljevo85-70
30/11/24AGKK Sibenka67-75 OT
16/11/24HCedevita Junior63-65
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25HZadar66-69
18/01/25ADinamo Zagreb77-103
11/01/25HGKK Sibenka75-88
05/01/25ACedevita Junior79-102
29/12/24AKvarner77-83
16/12/24ACibona68-88
07/12/24AOsijek72-77
04/12/24HZabok69-84
30/11/24HDubrava76-83
17/11/24AZabok77-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%62%0%
Points / game69.775.564.6
Allowed / game78.575.281.4
Point differential-8.8+0.2-16.9
Avg total148.2150.8146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%25%11%
Points / game74.074.573.6
Allowed / game82.278.185.9
Point differential-8.2-3.6-12.3
Avg total156.2152.6159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1816289%76.462.3+14.1
2 Cedevita Junior1814478%84.674.4+10.2
3 Split1713476%87.573.1+14.4
4 Cibona1911858%83.879.0+4.8
5 Kvarner179853%81.080.2+0.8
6 Dinamo Zagreb178947%85.185.0+0.1
7 Dubrava1981142%77.182.2-5.1
8 Zabok1971237%78.885.5-6.6
9 Osijek1761135%74.982.8-7.9
10 GKK Sibenka1761135%74.482.7-8.3
11 Alkar1751229%69.778.5-8.8
12 Dubrovnik1731418%74.082.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1922181473
Dubrovnik1221141764
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