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Dinamo Zagreb vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 96-86
23-30 14-23 28-15 31-18
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#7
Record8-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game75.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 22· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar
30 Oct 2026
DINA85
ALKA75
03 Jan 2026
DINA76
ALKA81
01 Mar 2025
DINA96
ALKA86
02 Mar 2024
DINA74
ALKA68
25 Apr 2023
DINA99
ALKA72
01 Oct 2022
DINA91
ALKA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
L
80-88
80
88
-8
74avg 81
A08/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
99avg 81
A14/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
84-67
84
67
+17
84avg 81
H20/12
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
83avg 81
A29/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
86avg 81
H03/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
103-77
103
77
+26
104avg 81
H18/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
76avg 81
A22/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
85avg 81
H27/01
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
83avg 81
A01/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 81
A06/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
23-32
10-16
21-22
29-24
24-25
21-23
25-10
24-24
20-10
21-15
19-18
21-24
15-29
25-11
24-21
19-18
16-28
27-21
21-16
32-19
22-14
27-23
22-21
14-19
16-22
29-19
19-24
24-20
21-18
27-16
22-16
18-18
32-18
21-26
18-24
21-38
11-30
22-13
17-17
170.9Avg total
87.9Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.085.0169.9+0.050%
Season at home (10)87.282.3169.5+4.960%
Season away (10)82.887.6170.4-4.840%
Last 10 (10)87.983.0170.9+4.970%
Last 5 (5)87.083.0170.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.391.9168.2-15.69%
vs Similar (5)92.083.8175.8+8.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.380.2169.5+9.269%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
L
66-84
66
84
-18
51avg 67
A11/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
97avg 67
H17/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
54avg 67
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
73-64
73
64
+9
71avg 67
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
63avg 67
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 67
H08/02
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 67
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
72-62 OT
72
62
+10
69avg 67
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
60-77
60
77
-17
52avg 67
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
81-61
81
61
+20
80avg 67
H22/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
13-20
17-27
18-19
19-17
20-24
25-20
24-24
20-15
19-22
11-26
10-23
19-12
22-21
18-14
14-17
11-19
19-17
19-15
18-18
20-8
11-24
21-19
17-11
22-9
17-11
20-20
18-9
21-14
13-16
16-19
8-9
8-25
16-17
19-21
17-14
27-13
12-20
16-20
26-8
141.2Avg total
71.3Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.275.8146.0-5.538%
Season at home (11)75.271.7146.9+3.573%
Season away (10)64.880.2145.0-15.40%
Last 10 (10)71.369.9141.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)71.862.2134.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.980.5149.4-11.520%
vs Similar (10)74.776.2150.9-1.540%
vs Weaker (4)74.867.2142.0+7.575%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
Dinamo ZagrebAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A08/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A14/12
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/12
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A29/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H03/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H18/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A22/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H27/01
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A01/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-68
32
68
-36
A06/02
Premijer liga
87.6Avg total
42.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.384.9+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.638.681.2+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.545.688.1-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.844.887.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.285.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.445.982.3-9.518%-
vs Similar (5)49.842.492.2+7.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.639.083.6+5.669%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A11/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A02/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
Premijer liga
Kastela
#8
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#1
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H15/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H22/02
Premijer liga
68.9Avg total
34.7Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.439.274.6-3.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.639.977.5-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)33.238.571.7-5.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.734.268.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.464.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.242.175.3-8.927%-
vs Similar (10)36.237.974.1-1.750%-
vs Weaker (4)39.232.071.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.9
53.2%
53.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.6
40.6%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.613.1
74.4%
73.3%13.1
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.7
56.3%
53.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.4
26.7%
34.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.111.9
69.6%
73.3%11.9
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dinamo Zagreb
LWWLWWWWWL
Alkar
WLWWWLWLWL
#6
League position
#7
+5.8
Net rating
+2.0
111.9
Offensive rating
98.9
106.1
Defensive rating
96.9
56.3%
Effective FG%
49.7%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.6%
3-point %
26.7%
60.6%
Assist %
68.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 98.9Defence106.1 · 96.9Shooting56.3% · 49.7%3-point %40.6% · 26.7%Ball care19.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds31.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Dinamo Zagreb   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Dinamo Zagreb wins
1
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb88-80
20/04/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb79-100
02/03/24Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar74-68
03/12/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb53-76
25/04/23Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar99-72
29/03/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb75-85
17/12/22Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-86
01/10/22Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar91-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25AZadar71-98
01/02/25AKvarner89-86
27/01/25HGKK Sibenka94-70
22/01/25ACedevita Junior78-84
18/01/25HDubrovnik103-77
03/01/25HCibona91-90 OT
29/12/24AOsijek90-88 OT
20/12/24HDubrava84-67
14/12/24AZabok99-82
08/12/24AAlkar80-88
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HKvarner81-61
15/02/25HSplit60-77
14/02/25HCedevita Junior72-62 OT
12/02/25AKastela77-49
08/02/25HGKK Sibenka69-62
02/02/25ACedevita Junior67-69
25/01/25HDubrovnik73-64
21/01/25ASplit60-86
17/01/25HCibona88-85
11/01/25AOsijek66-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%60%40%
Points / game85.087.282.8
Allowed / game85.082.387.6
Point differential+0.1+4.9-4.8
Avg total169.9169.5170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %20%30%10%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%73%0%
Points / game70.275.264.8
Allowed / game75.871.780.2
Point differential-5.5+3.5-15.4
Avg total146.0146.9145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2219386%77.964.5+13.4
2 Cedevita Junior2217577%84.276.0+8.2
3 Split2116576%86.972.9+14.0
4 Cibona2214864%83.777.8+5.9
5 Dinamo Zagreb20101050%85.085.0+0.1
6 Kvarner22101245%79.580.9-1.3
7 Dubrava2291341%78.283.3-5.1
8 Alkar2181338%70.275.8-5.5
9 Zabok2181338%79.885.7-5.9
10 Osijek2171433%75.583.2-7.7
11 GKK Sibenka2171433%74.382.3-8.0
12 Dubrovnik2131814%73.882.8-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dinamo Zagreb2314283196
Alkar3023151886
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