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Altay vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 61-96
12-26 16-25 23-23 10-22
Position#12
Record1-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game50.3
Allowed / game98.3
vs
Position#7
Record8-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game79.3
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Altay v Pavlodar
15 Mar 2023
ALTA74
PAVL70
17 Feb 2023
ALTA61
PAVL79
27 Dec 2022
ALTA61
PAVL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Altay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AltayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
38-86
38
86
-48
H15/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
L
74-82 OT
74
82
-8
A16/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H17/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
45-122
45
122
-77
A18/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
41-99
41
99
-58
H19/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
41-82
41
82
-41
A20/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
67-126
67
126
-59
A23/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H24/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
39-79
39
79
-40
A25/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H26/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-22
9-24
9-17
15-23
16-15
21-19
17-27
20-13
24-18
10-30
8-18
15-7
9-25
16-37
12-29
8-31
7-42
13-14
9-30
12-13
7-24
15-23
9-21
10-14
15-36
19-25
16-41
17-24
15-21
9-12
20-22
28-14
15-28
5-20
12-16
7-15
8-26
20-18
24-16
22-17
144.3Avg total
54.8Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)50.398.3148.6-48.06%
Season at home (8)50.191.6141.8-41.512%
Season away (8)50.5105.0155.5-54.50%
Last 10 (10)54.889.5144.3-34.710%
Last 5 (5)58.686.6145.2-28.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)50.398.3148.6-48.06%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
62-95
62
95
-33
H15/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A16/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
H17/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
50-81
50
81
-31
A18/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H19/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A20/11
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A23/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A24/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H25/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A26/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
18-28
14-23
14-18
19-10
23-17
19-29
15-22
28-23
12-19
22-18
20-22
8-16
17-16
17-26
8-23
23-4
19-11
20-13
8-19
27-16
12-18
13-22
27-15
18-14
14-22
18-18
27-19
22-24
29-20
25-11
6-18
12-29
14-26
23-27
32-16
14-29
15-20
23-15
22-17
153.1Avg total
74.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.279.3152.6-6.150%
Season at home (7)75.680.1155.7-4.657%
Season away (9)71.478.7150.1-7.244%
Last 10 (10)74.578.6153.1-4.150%
Last 5 (5)78.679.2157.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.484.0151.4-16.612%
vs Similar (8)75.871.5147.2+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.774.0156.7+8.783%
This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: -13.6-13.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -8.5-8.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -10.1-10.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-17-8+0+8+17Q1Q1: -13.6-13.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -8.5-8.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -10.1-10.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
AltayPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AltayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
14-46
14
46
-32
H15/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A16/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H17/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
25-62
25
62
-37
A18/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
20-56
20
56
-36
H19/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A20/11
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A23/12
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H24/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
20-48
20
48
-28
A25/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H26/12
Higher League
73.7Avg total
25.8Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)23.551.975.4-28.46%-
Last 30 at home (8)21.451.272.6-29.90%-
Last 30 away (8)25.652.678.2-27.012%-
Last 10 (10)25.847.973.7-22.110%-
Last 5 (5)25.646.672.2-21.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)23.551.975.4-28.46%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H15/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A16/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A18/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H19/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A23/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A24/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
H25/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A26/12
Higher League
74.8Avg total
36.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.675.6-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.338.774.0-3.431%-
Last 30 away (17)38.238.576.8-0.341%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.874.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.443.679.0-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.942.375.2-9.46%-
vs Similar (8)41.634.876.4+6.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.533.875.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Altay wins
0
Pavlodar wins
No previous meetings.
Altaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/22HTigers-KazATU74-77
25/12/22AKaraganda39-79
24/12/22HAktobe 272-69
23/12/22AShymkent67-126
20/11/22AAtyrau 241-82
19/11/22HChelSU Kostanay41-99
18/11/22ABC Almaty 245-122
17/11/22HGOTOBELES Astana57-73
16/11/22AKaspiy Aktau74-82 OT
15/11/22HBars Petropavlovsk38-86
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/22AKaraganda74-81
25/12/22HShymkent81-98
24/12/22ATigers-KazATU82-73
23/12/22AAktobe 277-73
20/11/22AGOTOBELES Astana79-71
19/11/22HKaspiy Aktau70-47
18/11/22ABars Petropavlovsk50-81
17/11/22HAtyrau 294-89 OT
16/11/22AChelSU Kostanay76-78
15/11/22HBC Almaty 262-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Altay
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL6%
HomeLLLWL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game50.350.150.5
Allowed / game98.391.6105.0
Point differential-48.0-41.5-54.5
Avg total148.6141.8155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %6%0%12%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game73.275.671.4
Allowed / game79.380.178.7
Point differential-6.1-4.6-7.2
Avg total152.6155.7150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bars Petropavlovsk1716194%87.156.9+30.2
2 Shymkent1615194%91.669.5+22.1
3 BC Almaty 21713476%94.269.4+24.8
4 Karaganda1611569%71.964.1+7.8
5 Pavlodar168850%73.279.3-6.1
6 Tigers-KazATU167944%74.180.0-5.9
7 Atyrau 21771041%78.371.8+6.5
8 GOTOBELES Astana1771041%75.776.6-0.9
9 Kaspiy Aktau1761135%63.972.2-8.3
10 ChelSU Kostanay1751229%68.578.8-10.4
11 Aktobe 21631319%63.878.4-14.6
12 Altay161156%50.398.3-48.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Altay1216231061
Pavlodar2625232296
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