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Pavlodar vs Shymkent Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 81-98
12-29 14-26 23-27 32-16
Position#7
Record8-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Position#1
Record13-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game67.9
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pavlodar v Shymkent
13 Mar 2023
PAVL82
SHYM88
15 Feb 2023
PAVL55
SHYM81
25 Dec 2022
PAVL81
SHYM98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H24/10
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A25/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
62-95
62
95
-33
H15/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A16/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
H17/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
50-81
50
81
-31
A18/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H19/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A20/11
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A23/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A24/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
20-24
20-18
19-17
22-23
25-19
8-28
12-21
16-26
18-28
14-23
14-18
19-10
23-17
19-29
15-22
28-23
12-19
22-18
20-22
8-16
17-16
17-26
8-23
23-4
19-11
20-13
8-19
27-16
12-18
13-22
27-15
18-14
14-22
18-18
27-19
22-24
29-20
25-11
6-18
150.5Avg total
73.4Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.677.9150.5-5.257%
Season at home (6)74.777.2151.8-2.567%
Season away (8)71.178.4149.5-7.250%
Last 10 (10)73.477.1150.5-3.760%
Last 5 (5)71.669.0140.6+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)65.582.7148.3-17.213%
vs Similar (8)75.871.5147.2+4.275%
vs Weaker (7)84.974.0158.9+10.986%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H24/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
W
90-66
90
66
+24
A25/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H15/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
90-64
90
64
+26
A16/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H17/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A18/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H19/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A20/11
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
126-67
126
67
+59
H23/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A24/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
25-20
13-17
21-4
20-21
26-19
19-13
25-13
26-10
19-11
17-18
18-24
32-15
29-13
16-16
13-20
23-12
18-23
20-15
22-29
22-20
26-13
28-18
17-9
21-7
24-14
19-22
13-20
9-21
30-9
11-28
21-25
36-15
25-19
41-16
24-17
19-12
15-5
27-29
21-27
156.0Avg total
87.4Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.667.9157.4+21.793%
Season at home (7)92.368.6160.9+23.7100%
Season away (7)86.967.1154.0+19.786%
Last 10 (10)87.468.6156.0+18.890%
Last 5 (5)89.869.2159.0+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.587.5178.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (2)80.574.5155.0+6.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.262.6153.8+28.6100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +9.1+9.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +9.1+9.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
PavlodarShymkent
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/10
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A25/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H15/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A16/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A18/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H19/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A23/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A24/12
Higher League
75.4Avg total
39.0Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.375.0+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.536.773.2-0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)38.637.776.4+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.475.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.270.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.940.574.4-6.713%-
vs Similar (8)41.634.876.4+6.975%-
vs Weaker (7)41.633.174.7+8.471%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#5
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H24/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A25/10
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H15/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
61-28
61
28
+33
A16/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A18/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H19/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A20/11
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H23/12
Higher League
Karaganda
#4
W
34-17
34
17
+17
A24/12
Higher League
77.4Avg total
46.8Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)47.731.178.9+16.6100%-
Last 30 at home (7)49.131.780.9+17.4100%-
Last 30 away (7)46.330.676.9+15.7100%-
Last 10 (10)46.830.677.4+16.2100%-
Last 5 (5)45.427.072.4+18.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.040.586.5+5.5100%-
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)49.128.577.6+20.6100%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pavlodar wins
0
Shymkent wins
No previous meetings.
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/22ATigers-KazATU82-73
23/12/22AAktobe 277-73
20/11/22AGOTOBELES Astana79-71
19/11/22HKaspiy Aktau70-47
18/11/22ABars Petropavlovsk50-81
17/11/22HAtyrau 294-89 OT
16/11/22AChelSU Kostanay76-78
15/11/22HBC Almaty 262-95
25/10/22AGOTOBELES Astana67-91
24/10/22HKaspiy Aktau77-73
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/22AKaraganda82-73
23/12/22HAltay126-67
20/11/22ABars Petropavlovsk71-83
19/11/22HAtyrau 277-63
18/11/22AChelSU Kostanay93-60
17/11/22HBC Almaty 283-79
16/11/22AGOTOBELES Astana90-64
15/11/22HKaspiy Aktau80-63
25/10/22ABars Petropavlovsk90-66
24/10/22HAtyrau 282-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game72.674.771.1
Allowed / game77.977.278.4
Point differential-5.2-2.5-7.2
Avg total150.5151.8149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Shymkent
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %93%100%86%
Points / game89.692.386.9
Allowed / game67.968.667.1
Point differential+21.7+23.7+19.7
Avg total157.4160.9154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%71%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bars Petropavlovsk1716194%87.156.9+30.2
2 Shymkent1413193%89.667.9+21.7
3 BC Almaty 21713476%94.269.4+24.8
4 Karaganda149564%70.865.2+5.6
5 Pavlodar148657%72.677.9-5.2
6 Atyrau 21771041%78.371.8+6.5
7 GOTOBELES Astana1771041%75.776.6-0.9
8 Tigers-KazATU145936%73.080.9-7.9
9 Kaspiy Aktau1761135%63.972.2-8.3
10 ChelSU Kostanay1751229%68.578.8-10.4
11 Aktobe 21431121%61.975.3-13.4
12 Altay141137%49.4101.2-51.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar1214233281
Shymkent2926271698
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