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Karaganda vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 81-74
29-14 20-15 15-23 17-22
Position#4
Record10-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#7
Record8-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game79.2
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Karaganda v Pavlodar
03 May 2026
KARA84
PAVL64
14 Feb 2026
KARA84
PAVL36
14 Mar 2023
KARA81
PAVL66
16 Feb 2023
KARA100
PAVL75
26 Dec 2022
KARA81
PAVL74
24 Nov 2020
KARA76
PAVL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karaganda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
69-56
69
56
+13
A25/10
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H15/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A16/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H17/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A18/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H19/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
73-45
73
45
+28
A20/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H23/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H24/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
79-39
79
39
+40
H25/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
18-14
15-20
21-7
19-15
19-20
28-10
16-13
29-17
11-22
12-20
13-21
18-20
23-13
23-7
24-11
20-13
23-15
13-16
10-17
16-16
2-25
19-14
13-12
25-10
17-7
16-18
15-10
17-17
16-12
20-23
19-8
12-19
5-15
29-27
27-21
28-15
20-5
16-12
15-7
131.6Avg total
71.7Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.363.5134.8+7.967%
Season at home (9)71.661.8133.3+9.867%
Season away (6)71.066.0137.0+5.067%
Last 10 (10)71.759.9131.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)69.458.6128.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.779.4147.1-11.729%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)77.558.3135.9+19.283%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A25/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
62-95
62
95
-33
H15/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A16/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
H17/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
50-81
50
81
-31
A18/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H19/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A20/11
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A23/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A24/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H25/12
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
25-19
8-28
12-21
16-26
18-28
14-23
14-18
19-10
23-17
19-29
15-22
28-23
12-19
22-18
20-22
8-16
17-16
17-26
8-23
23-4
19-11
20-13
8-19
27-16
12-18
13-22
27-15
18-14
14-22
18-18
27-19
22-24
29-20
25-11
6-18
12-29
14-26
23-27
32-16
153.4Avg total
73.8Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.279.2152.4-6.053%
Season at home (7)75.680.1155.7-4.657%
Season away (8)71.178.4149.5-7.250%
Last 10 (10)73.879.6153.4-5.850%
Last 5 (5)77.872.4150.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.084.2151.2-17.213%
vs Similar (8)75.871.5147.2+4.275%
vs Weaker (7)84.974.0158.9+10.986%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
KaragandaPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A25/10
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H15/11
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H17/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A18/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
18-41
18
41
-23
H19/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
42-17
42
17
+25
A20/11
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H23/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
17-34
17
34
-17
H24/12
Higher League
Altay
#12
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H25/12
Higher League
65.8Avg total
35.3Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.432.168.5+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.733.368.0+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.931.068.9+6.969%-
Last 10 (10)35.330.565.8+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)31.628.259.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.039.469.4-9.414%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.429.868.2+8.678%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A25/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#3
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H15/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A16/11
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/11
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A18/11
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau
#8
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H19/11
Higher League
GOTOBELES Astana
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
Higher League
Aktobe 2
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A23/12
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#6
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A24/12
Higher League
Shymkent
#1
L
26-55
26
55
-29
H25/12
Higher League
75.9Avg total
37.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.975.3-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.838.073.8-2.236%-
Last 30 away (16)38.837.976.7+0.944%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.175.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.874.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.241.975.1-8.77%-
vs Similar (8)41.634.876.4+6.975%-
vs Weaker (7)41.633.174.7+8.471%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Karaganda wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
25/02/21Pavlodar v Karaganda66-70
31/01/21Pavlodar v Karaganda56-86
18/12/20Pavlodar v Karaganda46-75
24/11/20Karaganda v Pavlodar76-59
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/22HAltay79-39
24/12/22HShymkent73-82
23/12/22HTigers-KazATU72-60
20/11/22AKaspiy Aktau73-45
19/11/22HBars Petropavlovsk50-67
18/11/22AAtyrau 266-61
17/11/22HChelSU Kostanay88-51
16/11/22ABC Almaty 265-80
15/11/22HGOTOBELES Astana82-58
25/10/22AKaspiy Aktau69-56
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/22HShymkent81-98
24/12/22ATigers-KazATU82-73
23/12/22AAktobe 277-73
20/11/22AGOTOBELES Astana79-71
19/11/22HKaspiy Aktau70-47
18/11/22ABars Petropavlovsk50-81
17/11/22HAtyrau 294-89 OT
16/11/22AChelSU Kostanay76-78
15/11/22HBC Almaty 262-95
25/10/22AGOTOBELES Astana67-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karaganda
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game71.371.671.0
Allowed / game63.561.866.0
Point differential+7.9+9.8+5.0
Avg total134.8133.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %7%11%0%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game73.275.671.1
Allowed / game79.280.178.4
Point differential-6.0-4.6-7.2
Avg total152.4155.7149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bars Petropavlovsk1716194%87.156.9+30.2
2 Shymkent1615194%91.669.5+22.1
3 BC Almaty 21713476%94.269.4+24.8
4 Karaganda1510567%71.363.5+7.9
5 Pavlodar158753%73.279.2-6.0
6 Tigers-KazATU167944%74.180.0-5.9
7 Atyrau 21771041%78.371.8+6.5
8 GOTOBELES Astana1771041%75.776.6-0.9
9 Kaspiy Aktau1761135%63.972.2-8.3
10 ChelSU Kostanay1751229%68.578.8-10.4
11 Aktobe 21631319%63.878.4-14.6
12 Altay161156%50.398.3-48.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karaganda2920151781
Pavlodar1415232274
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