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Altiri Chiba vs Alvark Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 26 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Scheduled
Position#19
Record7-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record14-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game82.3
JapanB League· Chiba Port Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Altiri Chiba v Alvark
27 Dec 2026
ALTI v ALVA
upcoming
26 Dec 2026
ALTI v ALVA
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
ALTI94
ALVA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Altiri Chiba win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Altiri ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#21
W
82-65
82
65
+17
82avg 74
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
65-94
65
94
-29
58avg 74
A21/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
87-102
87
102
-15
82avg 74
A24/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
74-85
74
85
-11
74avg 74
H26/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
89-85
89
85
+4
85avg 74
A30/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
102-83
102
83
+19
114avg 74
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
no box
A06/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A09/11
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
H12/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
69-86
69
86
-17
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
27-16
18-21
22-11
21-33
16-18
13-24
15-19
36-26
19-32
16-26
16-18
21-15
15-26
21-11
17-33
28-18
16-20
20-28
25-19
34-21
24-14
20-28
24-20
19-20
19-24
15-23
24-10
16-18
24-21
22-19
23-18
20-17
18-14
18-19
19-16
15-18
20-25
17-25
17-18
164.6Avg total
81.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.884.7164.5-4.839%
Season at home (8)79.185.2164.4-6.138%
Season away (10)80.484.2164.6-3.840%
Last 10 (10)81.583.1164.6-1.650%
Last 5 (5)83.680.0163.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.891.0166.8-15.20%
vs Similar (15)80.281.3161.5-1.147%
vs Weaker (3)85.076.3161.3+8.7100%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 83
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 83
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
116avg 83
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
100-90
100
90
+10
99avg 83
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
102avg 83
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
99-83
99
83
+16
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
25-20
19-26
31-18
25-26
26-15
25-10
24-31
31-15
17-15
23-17
28-27
17-31
10-24
22-19
19-22
18-31
20-16
23-17
23-14
22-20
22-24
11-16
23-20
26-13
27-17
20-24
26-22
26-20
170.7Avg total
88.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.982.3175.3+10.678%
Season at home (11)87.477.3164.6+10.173%
Season away (7)101.790.3192.0+11.486%
Last 10 (10)88.981.8170.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar (6)92.892.8185.7+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.679.0170.5+12.681%
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Altiri ChibaAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Altiri ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#21
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A21/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A24/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H26/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A30/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A06/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A09/11
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H12/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H14/11
B League
83.6Avg total
42.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.383.6-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.342.581.8-3.243%-
Last 30 away (16)41.243.985.2-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.383.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.480.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.149.389.4-9.28%-
vs Similar (15)40.140.080.1+0.147%-
vs Weaker (3)42.735.378.0+7.3100%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
B League
80.3Avg total
42.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.584.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.982.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.186.5+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.480.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (6)44.349.894.2-5.517%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.438.583.0+5.962%-
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Altiri Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Altiri Chiba: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.9
53.5%
53.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.1
39.8%
32.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.811.0
69.6%
73.8%11.0
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.0
37.9%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
73.8%17.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Altiri Chiba
LWWLWWLLLW
Alvark
WWWLLWWWLL
#19
League position
#4
-6.6
Net rating
+16.2
95.4
Offensive rating
109.0
102.0
Defensive rating
92.8
56.0%
Effective FG%
58.0%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.8%
3-point %
37.9%
70.0%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 109.0Defence102.0 · 92.8Shooting56.0% · 58.0%3-point %39.8% · 37.9%Ball care16.9% · 11.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Altiri Chiba   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Altiri Chiba wins
2
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Alvark v Altiri Chiba87-81
29/10/25Altiri Chiba v Alvark94-98 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNeoPhoenix69-86
12/11/26HYokohama75-66
09/11/26ABrave Thunders85-76
06/11/26AChiba87-89 OT
01/11/26AAkita102-83
30/10/26AAkita89-85
26/10/26HGunma74-85
24/10/26AIbaraki Robots87-102
21/10/26ARyukyu65-94
19/10/26ANagasaki82-65
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HHiroshima D.99-83
11/11/26HNagasaki82-73
08/11/26HNeoPhoenix88-67
06/11/26ASendai69-96
04/11/26ATainan TSG GhostHawks85-90
01/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex106-71
31/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex100-90
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Altiri Chiba
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL39%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%38%40%
Points / game79.879.180.4
Allowed / game84.785.284.2
Point differential-4.8-6.1-3.8
Avg total164.5164.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%73%86%
Points / game92.987.4101.7
Allowed / game82.377.390.3
Point differential+10.6+10.1+11.4
Avg total175.3164.6192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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