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Alvark vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Projected 90-81
Projected total 171.5
Final 82-73
22-24 11-16 23-20 26-13
Position#5
Record12-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game82.9
Alvark 🏆
Japan
Vs
80%
20%
■ ALVA 80%■ NAGA 20%
Pythia win probability
Nagasaki
Japan
Position#21
Record6-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game81.9
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Alvark host Nagasaki on 11 November 2026 in the B League, and the Pythia model names Alvark the clear favourite, assigning them an 80% chance of winning because of their 12-4 record, 93.2 points per game, and 82.9 allowed per game, all of which rank them fourth in the league; Nagasaki, by contrast, sit 20th with a 6-10 record, 77.4 points per game and 81.9 allowed per game. Alvark have gone 6-3 at home, scoring 86.7 points per game and allowing 77.1, while Nagasaki have struggled on the road, going 2-6, 76.8 points per game and conceding 83.1; in their last five games Alvark won three and lost two, with a recent 88-67 win over NeoPhoenix at home, whereas Nagasaki won two of five, most recently losing 87-90 to Kobe away. Historically Alvark have dominated the eight meetings, winning six to Nagasaki's two, though Nagasaki last beat Alvark 96-56 on 8 May 2026. Pythia projects a 90-81 score, a 171.5 total, a -8.5 spread with a 54% chance of Alvark covering, a 166.5 total with a 61% over probability, and a 4% overtime likelihood; the home team's line is -8.5. The game will see Alvark attempt to extend their home advantage.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
79.8%fair 1.25
Best odds1.30
Implied72.6%
Edge+7.2pp
Nagasaki winLost
20.2%fair 4.96
Best odds5.50
Implied27.4%
Edge-7.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 14:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
W
100-86
100
86
+14
93avg 81
A17/10
B League
Akita
#24
W
90-74
90
74
+16
83avg 81
H19/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 81
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 81
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
116avg 81
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
100-90
100
90
+10
99avg 81
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
106-71
106
71
+35
102avg 81
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
19-23
25-16
23-15
23-20
21-14
24-25
22-15
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
25-20
19-26
31-18
25-26
26-15
25-10
24-31
31-15
17-15
23-17
28-27
17-31
10-24
22-19
19-22
18-31
20-16
23-17
23-14
22-20
172.0Avg total
89.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.282.9176.1+10.475%
Season at home (9)86.777.1163.8+9.667%
Season away (7)101.790.3192.0+11.486%
Last 10 (10)89.882.2172.0+7.660%
Last 5 (5)89.682.8172.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar (5)91.694.8186.4-3.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)89.877.5167.3+12.382%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
44avg 82
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#17
L
65-82
65
82
-17
53avg 82
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 82
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#19
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 82
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 82
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#23
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 82
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#23
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 82
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#3
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
15-22
17-18
11-25
17-15
16-27
21-18
11-22
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
166.3Avg total
82.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.481.9159.3-4.638%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (8)76.883.1159.9-6.425%
Last 10 (10)82.384.0166.3-1.740%
Last 5 (5)85.084.8169.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.087.1163.1-11.120%
vs Similar (6)79.578.7158.2+0.850%
vs Weaker (14)86.473.7160.1+12.686%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160Actual: Under 160
Over 160
75.9%
Under 160
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.25 · main lineActual: Under 165.25
Over 165.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 165.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 170Actual: Under 170
Over 170
53.0%
Under 170
47.0%
@ 1.54
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.54

📊 3. Team Totals

Alvark total 83.5Actual: Alvark under 83.5
Over 83.5
75.7%
@ 1.50+14.6pp
Under 83.5
24.3%
@ 2.70-14.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.41
Under
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.15
Alvark total 87.5 · main lineActual: Alvark under 87.5
Over 87.5
61.7%
@ 1.98+13.8pp
Under 87.5
38.3%
@ 1.83-13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.75
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.60
Alvark total 91.5Actual: Alvark under 91.5
Over 91.5
46.0%
@ 2.66+11.4pp
Under 91.5
54.0%
@ 1.54-11.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.66
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.32
Nagasaki total 73.5Actual: Nagasaki under 73.5
Over 73.5
76.5%
@ 1.40+10.2pp
Under 73.5
23.5%
@ 2.75-10.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.32
Under
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.70
1xBet
2.67
Nagasaki total 77.5 · main lineActual: Nagasaki under 77.5
Over 77.5
62.8%
@ 1.83+11.0pp
Under 77.5
37.2%
@ 2.12-11.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.76
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Under
Betano
2.12
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Nagasaki total 81.5Actual: Nagasaki under 81.5
Over 81.5
47.3%
@ 2.40+7.0pp
Under 81.5
52.7%
@ 1.57-7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.16
Under
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.46

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Alvark -10Actual: Nagasaki +10
ALVA -10
48.1%
@ 2.44+9.4pp
NAGA +10
51.9%
@ 1.89-9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
ALVA
Pinnacle
2.44
Marathon Be
2.10
Bet365
1.86
1xBet
1.84
SBO
1.77
NAGA
SBO
1.89
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Be
1.59
Pinnacle
1.54
Spread Alvark -7 · main lineActual: Alvark -7
ALVA -7
59.5%
@ 1.90+9.4pp
NAGA +7
40.5%
@ 2.22-9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
ALVA
Pinnacle
1.90
SBO
1.83
Marathon Be
1.72
Bet365
1.58
NAGA
Bet365
2.22
Marathon Be
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
SBO
1.87
Spread Alvark -4Actual: Alvark -4
ALVA -4
70.5%
NAGA +4
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
ALVA
No market prices yet.
NAGA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
AlvarkNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A17/10
B League
Akita
#24
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#15
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/11
B League
82.7Avg total
44.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.25
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.5+3.853%40%
Last 30 at home (15)43.936.580.5+7.467%27%
Last 30 away (15)43.343.186.5+0.240%53%
Last 10 (10)44.538.282.7+6.360%30%
Last 5 (5)42.035.877.8+6.260%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%0%
vs Similar (5)43.851.695.4-7.80%60%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.337.782.0+6.564%41%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#17
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#23
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#23
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#3
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
85.6Avg total
43.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.25
Last 30 (30)41.538.980.5+2.660%33%
Last 30 at home (19)42.039.281.2+2.858%37%
Last 30 away (11)40.738.579.3+2.264%27%
Last 10 (10)43.642.085.6+1.660%40%
Last 5 (5)45.443.889.2+1.660%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.541.181.6-0.660%40%
vs Similar (6)37.038.375.3-1.333%0%
vs Weaker (14)44.237.681.9+6.671%43%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Nagasaki win
ALVA win
no forecast
@ 1.44
NAGA win
no forecast
@ 3.50
1st half Spread Alvark -4 · main lineActual: Nagasaki +4
ALVA -4
no forecast
@ 1.94
NAGA +4
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 84.25 · main lineActual: Under 84.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
Alvark 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Alvark under 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Nagasaki 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Nagasaki over 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.02
1st half: ALVA + total 82.5
ALVA & over
no forecast
@ 2.65
ALVA & under
no forecast
@ 2.80
1st half: Draw + total 82.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: NAGA + total 82.5
NAGA & over
no forecast
@ 5.50
NAGA & under
no forecast
@ 5.75
1st half Over/Under 83Actual: Under 83
Over
no forecast
@ 1.92
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.25
Under
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Alvark -5Actual: Nagasaki +5
ALVA -5
no forecast
@ 2.12
NAGA +5
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Spread Alvark -3Actual: Nagasaki +3
ALVA -3
no forecast
@ 1.76
NAGA +3
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Over/Under 81.75Actual: Under 81.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Alvark -6Actual: Nagasaki +6
ALVA -6
no forecast
@ 2.12
NAGA +6
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Alvark (regulation)
ALVA
no forecast
@ 1.45
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
NAGA
no forecast
@ 3.60

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
ALVA win + total 165.5
🔒 Pro
NAGA win + total 165.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: ALVA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NAGA leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (ALVA:NAGA): ALVA wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Alvark over 84.572.5%1.57
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.54		--+15.1ppLost
Alvark over 83.575.7%1.46
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.41		--+14.6ppLost
Alvark over 82.578.7%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41
1xBet
1.39		--+14.0ppLost
Over 16271.9%1.60
Marathon Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.60		---+14.0ppLost
Alvark over 80.584.0%1.29
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.28		---+13.6ppWon
Over 162.570.3%1.62
1xBet
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Betano
1.60		+13.3ppLost
Nagasaki over 72.579.4%1.35
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.27		--+13.2ppWon
Over 161.572.5%1.56
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Marathon Bet
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
Betano
1.53		+13.1ppLost
Alvark over 81.581.4%1.31
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.30		---+12.6ppWon
Over 160.574.5%1.50
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Betano
1.47		-+12.6ppLost
Over 159.576.4%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+12.5ppLost
Nagasaki over 70.584.6%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+12.3ppWon
Over 158.578.3%1.39
Betano
1.39		----+12.2ppLost
Alvark over 78.588.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+12.1ppWon
Over 155.583.3%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+11.4ppLost
Alvark over 77.590.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+11.2ppWon
Alvark over 76.591.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+11.2ppWon
Alvark over 75.593.1%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+10.8ppWon
Over 150.589.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+10.4ppWon
Nagasaki over 73.576.5%1.37
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.32		--+10.2ppLost
Alvark over 79.586.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+10.1ppWon
Nagasaki over 71.582.2%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+9.8ppWon
Nagasaki over 74.573.4%1.44
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38		--+9.8ppLost
Nagasaki over 68.588.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+9.4ppWon
Alvark over 74.594.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+9.2ppWon
Alvark over 73.595.3%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+9.2ppWon
Nagasaki over 69.586.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+9.1ppWon
Alvark over 72.596.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+8.7ppWon
Alvark over 71.596.9%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+8.6ppWon
Alvark over 70.597.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+8.1ppWon
Alvark (regulation)77.6%1.29
Betano
1.32
Marathon Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28		--+8.1ppWon
Nagasaki +18.578.9%1.30
Betano
1.30		----+8.1ppWon
Nagasaki +15.570.6%1.42
1xBet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.24		--+8.1ppWon
Nagasaki +16.573.5%1.37
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.25		--+7.8ppWon
Alvark +1.581.6%1.24
Betano
1.24		----+7.8ppWon
Alvark over 69.598.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+7.8ppWon
Over 145.594.4%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+7.7ppWon
Nagasaki +21.585.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+7.7ppWon
Alvark win79.8%1.25
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathon Bet
1.27		+7.2ppWon
Alvark -3.571.5%1.42
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.36		--+7.2ppWon
Alvark -2.574.3%1.36
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.38
1xBet
1.30		--+6.9ppWon
Over 140.597.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+6.9ppWon
Nagasaki +17.576.3%1.28
Betano
1.28		----+4.9ppWon
Overtime: no96.3%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+4.6ppWon
Alvark -1.577.7%1.25
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.16		---+3.8ppWon
Alvark +13.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.3ppWon
Nagasaki under 98.594.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.7ppWon
Alvark +8.593.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.6ppWon
Nagasaki under 97.593.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+2.4ppWon
Nagasaki under 96.592.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.3ppWon
Nagasaki under 95.591.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+1.1ppWon
Alvark under 99.581.6%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+0.1ppWon
Nagasaki under 93.588.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----0.3ppWon
Nagasaki under 94.590.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----0.4ppWon
Alvark +3.586.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----1.2ppWon
Under 190.587.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----1.9ppWon
Nagasaki under 91.584.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----2.1ppWon
Nagasaki under 92.586.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----2.4ppWon
Alvark under 98.578.8%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----2.6ppWon
Alvark under 97.575.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----3.0ppWon
Nagasaki under 89.579.7%1.12
Bet365
1.12		-----3.4ppWon
Nagasaki under 88.577.0%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----3.6ppWon
Nagasaki under 90.582.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----4.4ppWon
Nagasaki under 87.574.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----4.9ppWon
Alvark under 96.572.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----5.2ppWon
Under 185.580.5%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----5.6ppWon
Nagasaki under 86.570.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----8.0ppWon
Under 180.571.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----8.2ppWon
Over 16173.9%1.54
Marathon Bet
1.54		-----Lost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.0
37.9%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
73.8%17.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WLLWWWLLWW
Nagasaki
LLLWWWLWLL
#5
League position
#21
+16.2
Net rating
+2.1
109.0
Offensive rating
93.2
92.8
Defensive rating
91.1
58.0%
Effective FG%
54.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.9%
3-point %
35.8%
60.7%
Assist %
65.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 93.2Defence92.8 · 91.1Shooting58.0% · 54.0%3-point %37.9% · 35.8%Ball care11.1% · 15.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Alvark   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Alvark wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
08/05/26Nagasaki v Alvark96-56
07/05/26Nagasaki v Alvark93-78
08/03/26Nagasaki v Alvark70-91
07/03/26Nagasaki v Alvark78-93
08/12/24Nagasaki v Alvark81-83 OT
07/12/24Nagasaki v Alvark52-89
17/12/23Nagasaki v Alvark84-94
16/12/23Nagasaki v Alvark62-71
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HNeoPhoenix88-67
06/11/26ASendai69-96
04/11/26ATainan TSG GhostHawks85-90
01/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex106-71
31/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex100-90
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69
19/10/26HAkita90-74
17/10/26AGunma100-86
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
19/10/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
17/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%67%86%
Points / game93.286.7101.7
Allowed / game82.977.190.3
Point differential+10.4+9.6+11.4
Avg total176.1163.8192.0
Over 165.2556%33%86%
Win by 10+69%67%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game77.478.076.8
Allowed / game81.980.883.1
Point differential-4.6-2.8-6.4
Avg total159.3158.8159.9
Over 165.2525%25%25%
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hiroshima D.1413193%90.479.1+11.2
2 Diamond Dolphins1211192%91.275.2+15.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1310377%90.480.7+9.7
4 Alvark1612475%93.282.9+10.4
5 Sendai1612475%87.679.8+7.9
6 Gunma1511473%82.773.7+8.9
7 NeoPhoenix107370%85.381.4+3.9
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1611569%90.780.2+10.4
9 Levanga Hokkaido149564%96.594.6+1.9
10 Kyoto148657%84.478.5+5.9
11 Toyama158753%82.987.7-4.8
12 Ibaraki Robots168850%83.678.4+5.1
13 Ryukyu157847%83.681.9+1.7
14 Yokohama157847%78.583.4-4.9
15 Chiba167944%92.796.6-3.9
16 Shiga146843%85.688.8-3.2
17 Utsunomiya Brex146843%81.184.6-3.5
18 Shimane135838%83.282.2+1.1
19 Shinshu1661038%84.586.9-2.4
20 Nagasaki1661038%77.481.9-4.6
21 Altiri Chiba1661038%80.885.8-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1541127%78.884.0-5.2
23 Kobe1541127%80.086.5-6.5
24 Akita1541127%82.790.1-7.4
25 Saga141137%78.295.2-17.0
26 Osaka151147%69.690.9-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2211232682
Nagasaki2416201373
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