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Altiri Chiba vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 73-85
23-20 16-19 10-27 24-19
Position#22
Record9-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record15-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.3
JapanB League· Chiba Port Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Altiri Chiba v Saga
02 Apr 2027
ALTI v SAGA
upcoming
10 Mar 2027
ALTI v SAGA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
ALTI73
SAGA79
24 Jan 2026
ALTI73
SAGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Altiri Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Altiri ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
L
73-94
73
94
-21
71avg 83
H10/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
77-93
77
93
-16
70avg 83
A13/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
105avg 83
A14/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 83
H20/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
83-96
83
96
-13
83avg 83
H21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
71-81
71
81
-10
64avg 83
A24/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 83
A27/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
60-86
60
86
-26
52avg 83
A28/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
65-82
65
82
-17
53avg 83
H03/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 83
H04/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
14-25
20-14
15-29
26-27
27-24
9-26
15-16
26-24
14-18
20-23
22-17
17-21
23-37
19-19
23-19
15-12
30-30
17-33
21-21
18-23
23-11
18-20
12-27
15-20
20-15
16-23
18-22
11-29
14-22
12-13
23-22
8-20
18-23
15-17
24-22
14-14
31-21
23-17
15-26
165.5Avg total
76.8Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.684.9164.5-5.430%
Season at home (15)83.287.8171.0-4.633%
Season away (15)75.982.1158.0-6.127%
Last 10 (10)76.888.7165.5-11.920%
Last 5 (5)69.681.4151.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.892.7172.5-12.88%
vs Similar (17)79.479.0158.4+0.447%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
61avg 73
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
60avg 73
H13/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
69avg 73
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 73
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 73
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 73
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-73
82
73
+9
73avg 73
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-84
91
84
+7
93avg 73
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 73
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 73
H04/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
25-14
12-17
17-27
25-28
12-29
15-22
20-16
17-25
22-19
19-30
19-28
24-18
13-18
21-12
21-16
24-16
24-20
23-22
19-16
29-22
11-24
19-14
27-15
18-24
26-15
18-17
20-17
24-21
18-17
16-22
33-24
18-25
23-18
28-20
15-15
14-19
10-17
13-25
14-20
158.3Avg total
77.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.782.3163.0-1.650%
Season at home (17)80.181.3161.4-1.253%
Season away (13)81.683.6165.2-2.046%
Last 10 (10)77.980.4158.3-2.560%
Last 5 (5)78.878.2157.0+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.684.3155.9-12.720%
vs Similar (11)86.781.5168.2+5.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.681.1164.7+2.467%
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Altiri ChibaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Altiri ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H10/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A13/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H20/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A27/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A28/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H03/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H04/01
B League
83.0Avg total
38.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.184.0-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.544.386.7-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.981.3-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.283.0-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.674.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.747.890.5-5.115%-
vs Similar (17)39.639.579.1+0.253%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H13/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/01
B League
79.9Avg total
39.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.383.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.843.983.7-4.129%-
Last 30 away (13)41.142.583.6-1.554%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.979.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.542.880.3-5.320%-
vs Similar (11)41.942.984.8-1.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.744.386.0-2.756%-
This opponent (Altiri Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Altiri Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Altiri Chiba: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.0
51.5%
53.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.5
30.5%
33.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.911.3
71.1%
73.1%11.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.3
53.2%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.4
29.7%
33.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.412.7
77.4%
73.1%12.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Altiri Chiba
WLLLLLLWLL
Saga
LWWWWWWLLL
#22
League position
#12
-16.6
Net rating
-2.5
102.8
Offensive rating
106.6
119.4
Defensive rating
109.0
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
20.5%
Turnover %
14.5%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.5%
3-point %
29.7%
68.4%
Assist %
75.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 106.6Defence119.4 · 109.0Shooting49.3% · 49.0%3-point %30.5% · 29.7%Ball care20.5% · 14.5%Off. rebounds34.6% · 27.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Altiri Chiba   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Altiri Chiba wins
0
Saga wins
No previous meetings.
Altiri Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HShimane83-78
03/01/26HShimane65-82
28/12/25AYokohama60-86
27/12/25AYokohama69-80
24/12/25AIbaraki Robots71-81
21/12/25HUtsunomiya Brex83-96
20/12/25HUtsunomiya Brex82-96
14/12/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles105-101 OT
13/12/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-93
10/12/25HHokkaido73-94
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HGunma51-81
03/01/26HGunma84-78
27/12/25ABrave Thunders91-84
26/12/25ABrave Thunders82-73
24/12/25ADiamond Dolphins86-75
21/12/25HYokohama90-74
20/12/25HYokohama79-64
14/12/25HRyukyu77-102
13/12/25HRyukyu72-95
10/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa67-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Altiri Chiba
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game79.683.275.9
Allowed / game84.987.882.1
Point differential-5.4-4.6-6.1
Avg total164.5171.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%13%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)43% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLWWWL53%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %50%53%46%
Points / game80.780.181.6
Allowed / game82.381.383.6
Point differential-1.6-1.2-2.0
Avg total163.0161.4165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3027390%94.177.3+16.9
2 Utsunomiya Brex3024680%85.477.1+8.2
3 Diamond Dolphins3124777%83.672.2+11.4
4 Chiba3124777%82.975.0+7.9
5 Hokkaido3023777%87.482.5+4.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa31201165%83.978.8+5.1
7 Alvark31201165%79.777.4+2.3
8 Gunma30191163%82.874.5+8.3
9 Ryukyu31191261%82.576.3+6.2
10 Hiroshima D.30171357%85.382.7+2.6
11 Shimane30171357%83.381.3+2.0
12 Sendai30171357%79.278.3+0.9
13 Saga30151550%80.782.3-1.6
14 NeoPhoenix30131743%82.582.6-0.1
15 Osaka31131842%80.080.8-0.8
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles30121840%80.883.3-2.4
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya31121939%76.682.1-5.5
18 Yokohama30111937%78.482.6-4.2
19 Shiga30111937%80.886.7-5.9
20 Koshigaya Alphas30102033%71.579.2-7.7
21 Ibaraki Robots3092130%75.779.6-3.8
22 Altiri Chiba3092130%79.684.9-5.4
23 Toyama3192229%82.590.4-7.9
24 Brave Thunders3182326%76.283.8-7.5
25 Kyoto3072323%70.281.2-11.0
26 Akita3152616%71.784.5-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Altiri Chiba2316102473
Saga2019271985
← all games of the day
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