PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brave Thunders vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 73-82
24-18 15-26 17-18 17-20
Position#25
Record6-20
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record12-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game82.8
JapanB League· Kawasaki Todoroki Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brave Thunders v Saga
13 Nov 2026
BRAV v SAGA
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
BRAV84
SAGA91
26 Dec 2025
BRAV73
SAGA82
24 Mar 2024
BRAV78
SAGA87
23 Mar 2024
BRAV74
SAGA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 73
H15/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 73
H16/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
65-78
65
78
-13
62avg 73
A06/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
80-77
80
77
+3
87avg 73
A07/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
69-88
69
88
-19
65avg 73
A10/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 73
H13/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
67-93
67
93
-26
55avg 73
H14/12
B League
Shimane
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
81avg 73
H19/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
69-72
69
72
-3
63avg 73
H20/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
96-90
96
90
+6
96avg 73
A24/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
18-14
16-19
19-22
30-16
10-16
26-22
14-20
13-17
19-11
16-19
17-31
28-20
17-14
16-10
19-33
19-26
18-17
17-23
15-22
16-24
26-22
21-18
19-28
18-29
24-19
15-21
10-24
23-15
21-20
14-18
21-15
21-19
15-26
14-19
19-8
21-23
22-22
22-17
31-28
156.8Avg total
75.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.184.0159.0-8.923%
Season at home (14)74.585.1159.6-10.614%
Season away (12)75.882.6158.3-6.833%
Last 10 (10)75.980.9156.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)78.683.0161.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.386.0160.3-11.619%
vs Similar (9)76.380.4156.8-4.133%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 72
A15/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
73-94
73
94
-21
65avg 72
A16/11
B League
Alvark
#8
W
91-64
91
64
+27
78avg 72
H06/12
B League
Alvark
#8
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 72
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
61avg 72
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
60avg 72
H13/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
69avg 72
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 72
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 72
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 72
A24/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
19-15
20-19
25-16
18-23
11-30
18-14
26-27
20-19
15-16
25-12
31-17
23-19
18-27
18-23
31-8
13-20
25-14
12-17
17-27
25-28
12-29
15-22
20-16
17-25
22-19
19-30
19-28
24-18
13-18
21-12
21-16
24-16
24-20
23-22
19-16
29-22
11-24
19-14
27-15
160.4Avg total
81.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.382.8164.1-1.546%
Season at home (15)81.781.5163.3+0.253%
Season away (11)80.784.5165.3-3.836%
Last 10 (10)81.179.3160.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)80.882.0162.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.885.6158.4-12.810%
vs Similar (13)88.581.3169.8+7.269%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.781.9164.6+0.957%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +5.0+5.0
Brave ThundersSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H15/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/11
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A06/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A07/12
B League
Chiba
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H14/12
B League
Shimane
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H19/12
B League
Shimane
#14
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H20/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A24/12
B League
79.0Avg total
39.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.581.1-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.443.481.8-5.125%-
Last 30 away (14)38.941.480.3-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.279.0+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.885.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.444.482.8-6.019%-
vs Similar (9)39.138.177.2+1.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A16/11
B League
Alvark
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H13/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/12
B League
80.7Avg total
38.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.885.1-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.844.185.9-2.435%-
Last 30 away (13)40.843.384.1-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.280.7-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.884.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.243.682.8-4.430%-
vs Similar (13)43.042.785.7+0.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.346.087.3-4.743%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.7
55.0%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.8
33.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.811.3
76.4%
73.1%11.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.8
54.5%
53.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.5
34.3%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws13.09.6
73.8%
73.1%9.6
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brave Thunders
WLWLLLWLWL
Saga
WWWLLLWWLW
#25
League position
#12
-6.5
Net rating
+3.3
105.9
Offensive rating
109.9
112.4
Defensive rating
106.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.19
33.2%
3-point %
34.3%
76.7%
Assist %
76.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 109.9Defence112.4 · 106.7Shooting52.7% · 53.1%3-point %33.2% · 34.3%Ball care18.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Brave Thunders   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brave Thunders wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
04/11/24Saga v Brave Thunders76-89
03/11/24Saga v Brave Thunders89-67
24/03/24Brave Thunders v Saga78-87
23/03/24Brave Thunders v Saga74-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/25ARyukyu96-90
20/12/25HShimane69-72
19/12/25HShimane79-68
14/12/25HAlvark67-93
13/12/25HAlvark82-92
10/12/25AChiba69-88
07/12/25AKyoto80-77
06/12/25AKyoto65-78
16/11/25HIbaraki Robots80-74
15/11/25HIbaraki Robots72-77
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/25ADiamond Dolphins86-75
21/12/25HYokohama90-74
20/12/25HYokohama79-64
14/12/25HRyukyu77-102
13/12/25HRyukyu72-95
10/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa67-78
07/12/25HAlvark90-77
06/12/25HAlvark91-64
16/11/25ASun Rockers Shibuya73-94
15/11/25ASun Rockers Shibuya86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW23%
HomeWLLWL14%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %23%14%33%
Points / game75.174.575.8
Allowed / game84.085.182.6
Point differential-8.9-10.6-6.8
Avg total159.0159.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%7%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW46%
HomeWLLWW53%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %46%53%36%
Points / game81.381.780.7
Allowed / game82.881.584.5
Point differential-1.5+0.2-3.8
Avg total164.1163.3165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2623388%94.476.9+17.5
2 Chiba2622485%84.073.4+10.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex2621581%85.778.1+7.5
4 Diamond Dolphins2620677%82.971.8+11.1
5 Hokkaido2620677%87.583.3+4.2
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2619773%85.878.7+7.2
7 Ryukyu2617965%83.776.8+6.8
8 Gunma26161062%82.375.4+6.8
9 Alvark26161062%78.577.4+1.1
10 Hiroshima D.26151158%85.782.0+3.7
11 Shimane26151158%83.781.2+2.5
12 Sendai26141254%79.178.5+0.5
13 Saga26121446%81.382.8-1.5
14 NeoPhoenix26111542%83.382.7+0.6
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles26111542%80.482.2-1.8
16 Shiga26111542%81.786.3-4.7
17 Osaka26101638%80.783.7-3.0
18 Koshigaya Alphas26101638%73.278.8-5.6
19 Yokohama2691735%77.883.0-5.2
20 Altiri Chiba2681831%81.285.5-4.3
21 Sun Rockers Shibuya2681831%76.583.4-6.9
22 Toyama2671927%83.091.8-8.8
23 Kyoto2671927%70.179.5-9.4
24 Ibaraki Robots2662023%73.880.2-6.4
25 Brave Thunders2662023%75.184.0-8.9
26 Akita2642215%69.983.7-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brave Thunders2415171773
Saga1826182082
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.