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Saga vs Gunma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 84-78
18-25 23-18 28-20 15-15
Position#12
Record14-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game82.5
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#5
Record18-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game75.0
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Gunma
12 Oct 2026
SAGA61
GUNM72
04 Jan 2026
SAGA51
GUNM81
03 Jan 2026
SAGA84
GUNM78
04 Feb 2024
SAGA69
GUNM79
03 Feb 2024
SAGA68
GUNM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gunma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
W
91-64
91
64
+27
78avg 73
H06/12
B League
Alvark
#8
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 73
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
61avg 73
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
60avg 73
H13/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
69avg 73
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 73
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 73
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 73
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-73
82
73
+9
73avg 73
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-84
91
84
+7
93avg 73
A27/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-16
25-12
31-17
23-19
18-27
18-23
31-8
13-20
25-14
12-17
17-27
25-28
12-29
15-22
20-16
17-25
22-19
19-30
19-28
24-18
13-18
21-12
21-16
24-16
24-20
23-22
19-16
29-22
11-24
19-14
27-15
18-24
26-15
18-17
20-17
24-21
18-17
16-22
33-24
161.1Avg total
82.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.782.5164.2-0.850%
Season at home (15)81.781.5163.3+0.253%
Season away (13)81.683.6165.2-2.046%
Last 10 (10)82.578.6161.1+3.970%
Last 5 (5)85.674.0159.6+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.885.6158.4-12.810%
vs Similar (11)86.781.5168.2+5.364%
vs Weaker (9)83.681.1164.7+2.467%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
89-74
89
74
+15
79avg 75
A06/12
B League
Toyama
#24
L
82-91
82
91
-9
67avg 75
A07/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 75
H10/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
87-54
87
54
+33
96avg 75
H13/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
93-69
93
69
+24
92avg 75
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
65-88
65
88
-23
55avg 75
H20/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 75
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
64-67
64
67
-3
61avg 75
A24/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
96-69
96
69
+27
101avg 75
H27/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 75
H28/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
18-18
21-21
26-20
19-24
24-21
24-27
15-19
23-20
25-22
25-31
21-19
23-11
24-12
24-19
16-12
26-16
21-21
23-15
23-17
23-26
22-25
11-17
9-20
18-20
24-16
15-23
19-24
19-29
12-9
20-16
13-13
30-13
24-19
20-23
22-14
23-17
25-19
19-13
24-22
159.5Avg total
83.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.175.0158.1+8.064%
Season at home (12)87.576.1163.6+11.475%
Season away (16)79.874.2154.0+5.556%
Last 10 (10)83.775.8159.5+7.960%
Last 5 (5)78.475.6154.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.088.0170.0-6.00%
vs Similar (4)79.883.0162.8-3.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.673.7157.3+9.971%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
SagaGunma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/12
B League
Alvark
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H13/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/12
B League
81.2Avg total
40.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.684.5-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.844.585.3-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.783.7-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.181.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.081.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.243.682.8-4.430%-
vs Similar (11)41.942.984.8-1.045%-
vs Weaker (9)41.744.386.0-2.756%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A06/12
B League
Toyama
#24
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H10/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H13/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H20/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A24/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H27/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H28/12
B League
82.0Avg total
44.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.681.1+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.036.482.4+9.683%-
Last 30 away (18)40.240.080.2+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.737.382.0+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.682.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.049.088.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (4)38.042.580.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.537.080.6+6.571%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.5
55.6%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.4
33.7%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.711.9
75.8%
73.1%11.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.619.3
61.1%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.6
35.8%
33.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.512.9
78.2%
73.1%12.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWWWWLLLWW
Gunma
WWLLLWWWLW
#12
League position
#5
+5.9
Net rating
+12.4
110.1
Offensive rating
120.2
104.2
Defensive rating
107.8
53.2%
Effective FG%
57.5%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
35.8%
75.6%
Assist %
70.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 120.2Defence104.2 · 107.8Shooting53.2% · 57.5%3-point %33.7% · 35.8%Ball care15.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.7% · 31.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ Gunma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
4
Gunma wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Gunma v Saga86-74
07/12/24Gunma v Saga84-70
04/02/24Saga v Gunma69-79
03/02/24Saga v Gunma68-79
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25ABrave Thunders91-84
26/12/25ABrave Thunders82-73
24/12/25ADiamond Dolphins86-75
21/12/25HYokohama90-74
20/12/25HYokohama79-64
14/12/25HRyukyu77-102
13/12/25HRyukyu72-95
10/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa67-78
07/12/25HAlvark90-77
06/12/25HAlvark91-64
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HNeoPhoenix91-71
27/12/25HNeoPhoenix96-69
24/12/25AKyoto64-67
21/12/25HHiroshima D.76-83
20/12/25HHiroshima D.65-88
14/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas93-69
13/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas87-54
10/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya94-92
07/12/25AToyama82-91
06/12/25AToyama89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeWLLWW53%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %50%53%46%
Points / game81.781.781.6
Allowed / game82.581.583.6
Point differential-0.8+0.2-2.0
Avg total164.2163.3165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gunma
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %64%75%56%
Points / game83.187.579.8
Allowed / game75.076.174.2
Point differential+8.0+11.4+5.5
Avg total158.1163.6154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%8%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2825389%94.077.0+17.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex2823582%85.577.1+8.4
3 Chiba2822679%83.674.5+9.1
4 Hokkaido2822679%88.282.9+5.3
5 Diamond Dolphins2821775%83.472.6+10.9
6 SeaHorses Mikawa29191066%84.479.1+5.3
7 Gunma28181064%83.175.0+8.0
8 Alvark28181064%78.877.3+1.4
9 Ryukyu29181162%82.876.8+5.9
10 Hiroshima D.28161257%85.782.4+3.3
11 Shimane28161257%83.681.8+1.8
12 Sendai28161257%79.377.9+1.5
13 Saga28141450%81.782.5-0.8
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles28121643%81.082.6-1.7
15 NeoPhoenix28111739%82.383.4-1.1
16 Osaka28111739%80.182.1-2.1
17 Yokohama28111739%78.181.6-3.5
18 Shiga28111739%81.986.6-4.7
19 Koshigaya Alphas28101836%72.679.1-6.5
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya2891932%75.582.5-7.1
21 Toyama2891932%83.591.3-7.9
22 Altiri Chiba2882029%80.085.3-5.3
23 Ibaraki Robots2872125%74.880.5-5.8
24 Kyoto2872125%70.680.8-10.2
25 Brave Thunders2862221%75.384.1-8.8
26 Akita2852318%71.284.0-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1823281584
Gunma2518201578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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