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Saga vs Gunma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 51-81
14-19 10-17 13-25 14-20
Position#12
Record15-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Gunma 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record18-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game75.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Gunma
12 Oct 2026
SAGA61
GUNM72
04 Jan 2026
SAGA51
GUNM81
03 Jan 2026
SAGA84
GUNM78
04 Feb 2024
SAGA69
GUNM79
03 Feb 2024
SAGA68
GUNM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gunma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
W
90-77
90
77
+13
90avg 73
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-78
67
78
-11
61avg 73
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
60avg 73
H13/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
77-102
77
102
-25
69avg 73
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 73
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 73
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
81avg 73
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
82-73
82
73
+9
73avg 73
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
91-84
91
84
+7
93avg 73
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 73
H03/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-27
18-23
31-8
13-20
25-14
12-17
17-27
25-28
12-29
15-22
20-16
17-25
22-19
19-30
19-28
24-18
13-18
21-12
21-16
24-16
24-20
23-22
19-16
29-22
11-24
19-14
27-15
18-24
26-15
18-17
20-17
24-21
18-17
16-22
33-24
18-25
23-18
28-20
15-15
161.8Avg total
81.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.882.3164.1-0.652%
Season at home (16)81.981.3163.2+0.656%
Season away (13)81.683.6165.2-2.046%
Last 10 (10)81.880.0161.8+1.870%
Last 5 (5)86.676.8163.4+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.184.7158.8-10.620%
vs Similar (11)86.781.5168.2+5.364%
vs Weaker (9)83.681.1164.7+2.467%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
82-91
82
91
-9
67avg 75
A07/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
94-92
94
92
+2
87avg 75
H10/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
87-54
87
54
+33
96avg 75
H13/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
93-69
93
69
+24
92avg 75
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
65-88
65
88
-23
55avg 75
H20/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 75
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
64-67
64
67
-3
61avg 75
A24/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
96-69
96
69
+27
101avg 75
H27/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
91-71
91
71
+20
90avg 75
H28/12
B League
Saga
#12
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 75
A03/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
24-21
24-27
15-19
23-20
25-22
25-31
21-19
23-11
24-12
24-19
16-12
26-16
21-21
23-15
23-17
23-26
22-25
11-17
9-20
18-20
24-16
15-23
19-24
19-29
12-9
20-16
13-13
30-13
24-19
20-23
22-14
23-17
25-19
19-13
24-22
25-18
18-23
20-28
15-15
159.4Avg total
82.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.975.3158.2+7.662%
Season at home (12)87.576.1163.6+11.475%
Season away (17)79.674.8154.5+4.853%
Last 10 (10)82.676.8159.4+5.850%
Last 5 (5)81.074.8155.8+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.093.0177.0-9.00%
vs Similar (4)79.883.0162.8-3.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.474.1157.5+9.368%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
SagaGunma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H13/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/12
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H21/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A24/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/12
B League
Gunma
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/01
B League
82.6Avg total
40.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.384.2-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.844.485.2-3.631%-
Last 30 away (14)41.142.083.1-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.982.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.483.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.242.781.9-3.530%-
vs Similar (11)41.942.984.8-1.045%-
vs Weaker (9)41.744.386.0-2.756%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H10/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H13/12
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H20/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H21/12
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A24/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H27/12
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H28/12
B League
Saga
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/01
B League
82.9Avg total
44.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.380.7+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.036.482.4+9.683%-
Last 30 away (18)40.039.679.6+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.182.9+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.680.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.050.082.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (4)38.042.580.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.537.280.7+6.372%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.4
55.6%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.9
31.9%
33.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.512.9
78.2%
73.1%12.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.919.0
61.5%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.5
35.5%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.712.7
80.9%
73.1%12.7
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWWWWWLLLW
Gunma
LWWLLLWWWL
#12
League position
#5
+3.1
Net rating
+9.5
110.2
Offensive rating
120.4
107.1
Defensive rating
110.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
57.4%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
35.5%
75.1%
Assist %
71.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 120.4Defence107.1 · 110.9Shooting52.0% · 57.4%3-point %31.9% · 35.5%Ball care15.4% · 16.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 31.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Gunma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
4
Gunma wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Saga v Gunma84-78
08/12/24Gunma v Saga86-74
07/12/24Gunma v Saga84-70
04/02/24Saga v Gunma69-79
03/02/24Saga v Gunma68-79
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HGunma84-78
27/12/25ABrave Thunders91-84
26/12/25ABrave Thunders82-73
24/12/25ADiamond Dolphins86-75
21/12/25HYokohama90-74
20/12/25HYokohama79-64
14/12/25HRyukyu77-102
13/12/25HRyukyu72-95
10/12/25ASeaHorses Mikawa67-78
07/12/25HAlvark90-77
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ASaga78-84
28/12/25HNeoPhoenix91-71
27/12/25HNeoPhoenix96-69
24/12/25AKyoto64-67
21/12/25HHiroshima D.76-83
20/12/25HHiroshima D.65-88
14/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas93-69
13/12/25HKoshigaya Alphas87-54
10/12/25HSun Rockers Shibuya94-92
07/12/25AToyama82-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayLLWWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %52%56%46%
Points / game81.881.981.6
Allowed / game82.381.383.6
Point differential-0.6+0.6-2.0
Avg total164.1163.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%31%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gunma
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWLLWW75%
AwayWWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291217
Win %62%75%53%
Points / game82.987.579.6
Allowed / game75.376.174.8
Point differential+7.6+11.4+4.8
Avg total158.2163.6154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%8%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki2926390%94.277.2+17.0
2 Chiba2923679%83.474.4+9.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex2923679%85.177.6+7.5
4 Hokkaido2923679%88.082.7+5.3
5 Diamond Dolphins2922776%83.472.4+11.0
6 SeaHorses Mikawa30201067%84.178.7+5.5
7 Gunma29181162%82.975.3+7.6
8 Alvark29181162%78.877.7+1.1
9 Ryukyu30181260%82.276.8+5.4
10 Hiroshima D.29171259%85.782.3+3.4
11 Shimane29171259%83.581.2+2.3
12 Sendai29171259%79.877.8+2.0
13 Saga29151452%81.882.3-0.6
14 NeoPhoenix29121741%82.483.0-0.6
15 Osaka29121741%80.381.2-1.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles29121741%80.982.9-2.0
17 Yokohama29111838%78.482.3-3.9
18 Shiga29111838%81.586.7-5.2
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya29101934%75.982.4-6.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas29101934%72.079.3-7.3
21 Toyama2992031%83.190.9-7.8
22 Ibaraki Robots2982128%75.380.2-4.9
23 Altiri Chiba2982128%79.485.2-5.7
24 Kyoto2972224%70.680.9-10.3
25 Brave Thunders2962321%75.484.1-8.7
26 Akita2952417%71.184.1-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1410131451
Gunma1917252081
← all games of the day
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