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Alvark vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 86-72
25-11 21-19 16-18 24-24
Position#8
Record31-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.9
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#26
Record8-40
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game85.2
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alvark v Akita
19 Oct 2026
ALVA90
AKIT74
05 Apr 2026
ALVA86
AKIT72
04 Apr 2026
ALVA85
AKIT68
15 Oct 2025
ALVA86
AKIT75
25 Oct 2023
ALVA67
AKIT51
15 Mar 2023
ALVA83
AKIT52
16 Mar 2022
ALVA79
AKIT69
25 Apr 2021
ALVA93
AKIT75
24 Apr 2021
ALVA90
AKIT77
09 Dec 2020
ALVA70
AKIT89
29 Mar 2020
ALVA v AKIT
upcoming
28 Mar 2020
ALVA v AKIT
upcoming
25 Dec 2019
ALVA79
AKIT71
31 Mar 2019
ALVA79
AKIT63
30 Mar 2019
ALVA84
AKIT69
07 Nov 2018
ALVA100
AKIT55
26 Mar 2017
ALVA64
AKIT71
25 Mar 2017
ALVA78
AKIT60
07 Nov 2016
ALVA64
AKIT78
06 Nov 2016
ALVA86
AKIT55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Alvark
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.5
83.6▲ 4.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.8
83.8▲ 7.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
58%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.7
22.2▲ 1.5
🔥 Form · Akita
4.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 72.4
72.8▲ 0.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.7
82.4▼ 0.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 51%
49%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.5
16.8▼ 1.7
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A08/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H11/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
66-92
66
92
-26
A14/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
54-78
54
78
-24
A15/03
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
L
76-102
76
102
-26
H20/03
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H22/03
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H28/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
H29/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A01/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H04/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
21-25
24-16
19-10
23-24
19-21
13-24
32-12
15-28
17-23
18-25
16-16
9-20
18-27
9-25
18-6
30-21
24-29
11-29
11-23
21-19
11-19
20-16
24-23
24-23
27-23
16-21
16-26
21-21
19-26
20-24
23-12
18-23
30-12
21-24
11-24
29-18
20-14
18-17
18-19
163.4Avg total
79.2Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)80.577.9158.4+2.665%
Season at home (24)78.975.7154.6+3.267%
Season away (24)82.180.0162.1+2.062%
Last 10 (10)79.284.2163.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)83.683.8167.4-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.084.0160.0-8.040%
vs Similar (15)83.179.5162.6+3.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.376.0164.3+12.3100%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H15/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
98-101 OT
98
101
-3
H07/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H08/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
59-97
59
97
-38
A11/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
70-93
70
93
-23
A14/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A15/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H28/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A01/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A04/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
16-18
28-26
24-18
21-29
36-21
19-18
17-25
25-35
21-11
7-21
21-18
17-21
17-27
12-26
13-23
8-20
24-32
11-23
27-18
18-19
27-20
16-27
15-21
17-21
23-19
22-22
29-18
20-16
23-18
8-29
12-23
20-27
12-12
20-13
14-22
18-29
14-20
17-18
19-18
162.6Avg total
75.1Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)73.385.2158.5-12.017%
Season at home (25)74.985.3160.2-10.424%
Season away (23)71.585.1156.7-13.69%
Last 10 (10)75.187.5162.6-12.410%
Last 5 (5)72.882.4155.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)76.286.0162.2-9.817%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
AlvarkAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A08/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H11/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A14/03
B League
Gunma
#5
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A15/03
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H20/03
EASL
Ryukyu
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H22/03
EASL
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H28/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H29/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A01/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H04/04
B League
85.8Avg total
42.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.584.2+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.183.7+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.741.084.7+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.585.8-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.683.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.846.289.0-3.460%-
vs Similar (15)43.139.382.4+3.973%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.939.684.5+5.360%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/02
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H08/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A11/03
B League
Sendai
#11
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A14/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H28/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A01/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A04/04
B League
83.5Avg total
39.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.883.5-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.941.983.9+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)37.146.083.1-8.914%-
Last 10 (10)39.544.083.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.278.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.743.883.5-4.133%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.8
57.7%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.4
33.5%
33.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.813.4
64.4%
73.1%13.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.4
48.8%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.7
28.7%
33.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.612.2
69.3%
73.1%12.2
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WLLLLLLLWW
Akita
LLLWLLLLLL
#8
League position
#26
-5.6
Net rating
-13.9
94.5
Offensive rating
86.3
100.1
Defensive rating
100.2
54.2%
Effective FG%
46.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.5%
3-point %
28.7%
68.4%
Assist %
67.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 86.3Defence100.1 · 100.2Shooting54.2% · 46.2%3-point %33.5% · 28.7%Ball care14.5% · 13.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Alvark   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alvark wins
1
Akita wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Alvark v Akita85-68
28/01/26Akita v Alvark74-98
15/10/25Alvark v Akita86-75
22/12/24Akita v Alvark63-72
21/12/24Akita v Alvark70-74
07/02/24Akita v Alvark68-77
12/11/23Akita v Alvark67-76
11/11/23Akita v Alvark48-78
25/10/23Alvark v Akita67-51
09/04/23Akita v Alvark73-68
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HAkita85-68
01/04/26ASendai80-83
29/03/26HNeoPhoenix94-98 OT
28/03/26HNeoPhoenix83-93
22/03/26HRyukyu76-77
20/03/26HTaoyuan Pauian Pilots76-102
15/03/26AGunma54-78
14/03/26AGunma66-92
11/03/26HAltiri Chiba87-81
08/03/26ANagasaki91-70
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26AAlvark68-85
01/04/26ADiamond Dolphins66-74
29/03/26HKyoto63-86
28/03/26HKyoto91-80
15/03/26ASendai76-87
14/03/26ASendai70-93
11/03/26AChiba59-97
08/03/26HAltiri Chiba74-85
07/03/26HAltiri Chiba98-101 OT
15/02/26HIbaraki Robots86-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW65%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game80.578.982.1
Allowed / game77.975.780.0
Point differential+2.6+3.2+2.0
Avg total158.4154.6162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)60% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Akita
B League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLLWL24%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482523
Win %17%24%9%
Points / game73.374.971.5
Allowed / game85.285.385.1
Point differential-12.0-10.4-13.6
Avg total158.5160.2156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%16%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%8%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4839981%91.278.6+12.6
2 Diamond Dolphins48371177%83.972.9+11.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex48361275%86.280.6+5.5
4 Ryukyu49341569%81.674.9+6.8
5 SeaHorses Mikawa49341569%83.677.4+6.1
6 Gunma49331667%82.473.2+9.2
7 Chiba49331667%82.876.5+6.3
8 Alvark48311765%80.577.9+2.6
9 Hokkaido49311863%88.185.9+2.2
10 NeoPhoenix48291960%85.182.2+2.8
11 Sendai49292059%81.179.3+1.8
12 Hiroshima D.49282157%87.083.7+3.4
13 Saga49252451%81.982.2-0.4
14 Shimane49232647%80.380.6-0.2
15 Yokohama48202842%79.182.2-3.2
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya49202941%77.180.9-3.8
17 Osaka48192940%80.282.7-2.6
18 Shiga49193039%80.784.6-3.9
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles48163233%80.283.3-3.1
20 Koshigaya Alphas48163233%74.181.9-7.8
21 Kyoto48163233%72.480.2-7.8
22 Altiri Chiba49163333%79.084.0-5.0
23 Ibaraki Robots48143429%75.980.8-4.9
24 Brave Thunders48133527%75.683.3-7.6
25 Toyama48113723%81.089.8-8.9
26 Akita4884017%73.385.2-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2521162486
Akita1119182472
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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