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Alvark vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 90-74
23-20 21-14 24-25 22-15
Position#5
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game85.0
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#21
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game83.3
JapanB League· Toyota Arena Tokyo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alvark v Akita
19 Oct 2026
ALVA90
AKIT74
05 Apr 2026
ALVA86
AKIT72
04 Apr 2026
ALVA85
AKIT68
15 Oct 2025
ALVA86
AKIT75
25 Oct 2023
ALVA67
AKIT51
15 Mar 2023
ALVA83
AKIT52
16 Mar 2022
ALVA79
AKIT69
25 Apr 2021
ALVA93
AKIT75
24 Apr 2021
ALVA90
AKIT77
09 Dec 2020
ALVA70
AKIT89
29 Mar 2020
ALVA v AKIT
upcoming
28 Mar 2020
ALVA v AKIT
upcoming
25 Dec 2019
ALVA79
AKIT71
31 Mar 2019
ALVA79
AKIT63
30 Mar 2019
ALVA84
AKIT69
07 Nov 2018
ALVA100
AKIT55
26 Mar 2017
ALVA64
AKIT71
25 Mar 2017
ALVA78
AKIT60
07 Nov 2016
ALVA64
AKIT78
06 Nov 2016
ALVA86
AKIT55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
L
56-96
56
96
-40
A08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H22/09
B League
Ryukyu
#11
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H23/09
B League
Chiba
#20
W
138-131 OT
138
131
+7
A02/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A04/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H08/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A10/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
103-78
103
78
+25
A12/10
B League
Xac Broncos
#12
W
113-78
113
78
+35
H14/10
EASL
Gunma
#9
W
100-86
100
86
+14
A17/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
12-22
17-25
12-26
23-30
27-21
22-12
12-10
25-23
16-28
17-16
16-18
26-26
21-29
24-18
26-24
22-18
25-21
27-14
22-18
29-15
15-19
22-22
24-18
17-19
26-24
30-21
21-18
26-17
25-21
27-19
25-21
35-13
12-13
26-31
40-21
33-32
19-23
25-16
23-15
180.2Avg total
94.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.485.0182.4+12.488%
Season at home (3)82.777.3160.0+5.367%
Season away (5)106.289.6195.8+16.6100%
Last 10 (10)94.885.4180.2+9.480%
Last 5 (5)100.079.6179.6+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.092.2158.2-26.20%
vs Similar (7)89.190.6179.7-1.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)88.976.8165.7+12.189%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A26/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H02/05
B League
Saga
#12
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H03/05
B League
Sendai
#6
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A26/09
B League
Sendai
#6
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A27/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#13
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A11/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H17/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
19-26
12-28
16-22
22-19
13-23
13-24
24-19
17-24
14-25
17-16
22-22
16-25
13-17
9-23
17-16
13-17
19-17
18-18
25-21
16-25
9-10
22-33
16-22
19-22
18-13
22-19
17-32
16-26
27-14
22-27
16-20
21-18
18-16
17-15
26-22
27-23
23-22
27-28
25-22
160.2Avg total
75.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.383.3159.6-7.043%
Season at home (2)91.591.0182.5+0.550%
Season away (5)70.280.2150.4-10.040%
Last 10 (10)75.384.9160.2-9.630%
Last 5 (5)80.885.8166.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)72.685.3157.9-12.618%
vs Similar (2)91.591.0182.5+0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
AlvarkAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A08/05
B League
Ryukyu
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H22/09
B League
Ryukyu
#11
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H23/09
B League
Chiba
#20
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A02/10
B League
Chiba
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A04/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H08/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A10/10
B League
Osaka
#26
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A12/10
B League
Xac Broncos
#12
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H14/10
EASL
Gunma
#9
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A17/10
B League
88.6Avg total
44.9Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.084.8+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.737.982.7+6.867%-
Last 30 away (15)42.844.186.9-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)44.943.788.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.286.6+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.544.582.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (7)45.645.791.3-0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.339.383.6+5.056%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A26/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H02/05
B League
Saga
#12
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H03/05
B League
Sendai
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A26/09
B League
Sendai
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A27/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A11/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H17/10
B League
77.0Avg total
37.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.480.2-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.243.785.9-1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)34.541.475.9-6.924%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.077.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.876.6+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.242.479.6-5.229%-
vs Similar (2)46.542.589.0+4.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.0
58.2%
53.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.0
33.3%
32.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.816.3
74.8%
73.7%16.3
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.0
51.7%
53.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.3
34.8%
32.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.811.6
73.4%
73.7%11.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWWWWWLWL
Akita
WWLLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#21
+3.3
Net rating
-2.5
101.6
Offensive rating
91.4
98.3
Defensive rating
94.0
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
12.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.3%
3-point %
34.8%
61.5%
Assist %
66.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 91.4Defence98.3 · 94.0Shooting54.7% · 52.0%3-point %33.3% · 34.8%Ball care12.6% · 16.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Alvark   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Alvark wins
0
Akita wins
DateGameScore
05/04/26Alvark v Akita86-72
04/04/26Alvark v Akita85-68
28/01/26Akita v Alvark74-98
15/10/25Alvark v Akita86-75
22/12/24Akita v Alvark63-72
21/12/24Akita v Alvark70-74
07/02/24Akita v Alvark68-77
12/11/23Akita v Alvark67-76
11/11/23Akita v Alvark48-78
25/10/23Alvark v Akita67-51
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26AGunma100-86
14/10/26HXac Broncos113-78
12/10/26AOsaka103-78
10/10/26ABrave Thunders94-82
08/10/26HSaga90-74
04/10/26AChiba96-71
02/10/26AChiba138-131 OT
23/09/26HRyukyu74-85
22/09/26HRyukyu84-73
08/05/26ANagasaki56-96
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26HShinshu102-95
11/10/26AUtsunomiya Brex82-71
08/10/26HBrave Thunders81-87
04/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers76-86
03/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-90
27/09/26ASendai75-73
26/09/26ASendai55-81
03/05/26HSaga70-87
02/05/26HSaga72-85
26/04/26AToyama77-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%67%100%
Points / game97.482.7106.2
Allowed / game85.077.389.6
Point differential+12.4+5.3+16.6
Avg total182.4160.0195.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%0%20%
Akita
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game76.391.570.2
Allowed / game83.391.080.2
Point differential-7.0+0.5-10.0
Avg total159.6182.5150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins550100%89.674.4+15.2
2 Hiroshima D.770100%94.079.3+14.7
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Alvark87188%97.485.0+12.4
5 Kyoto86275%87.178.1+9.0
6 Gunma86275%77.272.1+5.1
7 SeaHorses Mikawa75271%90.077.0+13.0
8 Tokyo Sunrockers85362%88.578.6+9.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido85362%99.492.6+6.8
10 Sendai85362%86.181.4+4.8
11 Yokohama95456%81.484.1-2.7
12 Toyama84450%82.186.8-4.6
13 Shiga73443%92.188.1+4.0
14 Utsunomiya Brex73443%81.078.9+2.1
15 Ryukyu73443%80.682.1-1.6
16 Shimane73443%81.383.9-2.6
17 Akita73443%76.383.3-7.0
18 Chiba83538%97.0100.5-3.5
19 Nagasaki83538%71.980.2-8.4
20 Kobe72529%76.984.4-7.6
21 Brave Thunders72529%79.487.6-8.1
22 Shinshu82625%84.287.9-3.6
23 Altiri Chiba82625%77.886.6-8.9
24 Ibaraki Robots92722%80.981.8-0.9
25 Osaka81712%69.986.8-16.9
26 Saga91811%75.293.6-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2321242290
Akita2014251574
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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