PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alvark vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 53-78
8-23 18-16 13-23 14-16
Position#4
Record44-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Chiba 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record42-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game76.1
JapanB LeagueB.League - Quarter-finals· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Chiba
05 Apr 2027
ALVA v CHIB
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
ALVA69
CHIB81
01 Nov 2025
ALVA78
CHIB69
11 May 2025
ALVA65
CHIB92
10 May 2025
ALVA53
CHIB78
06 Apr 2025
ALVA75
CHIB72
05 Apr 2025
ALVA86
CHIB81
17 Apr 2024
ALVA78
CHIB67
24 Mar 2024
ALVA69
CHIB70
23 Mar 2024
ALVA81
CHIB62
08 Oct 2022
ALVA77
CHIB82
07 Oct 2022
ALVA78
CHIB66
06 Feb 2022
ALVA v CHIB
upcoming
05 Feb 2022
ALVA v CHIB
upcoming
10 Feb 2021
ALVA82
CHIB77
15 Apr 2020
ALVA v CHIB
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
ALVA64
CHIB72
04 Jan 2020
ALVA65
CHIB73
13 Mar 2019
ALVA62
CHIB76
16 Dec 2018
ALVA71
CHIB76
15 Dec 2018
ALVA76
CHIB72
26 May 2018
ALVA85
CHIB60
01 Jan 2018
ALVA67
CHIB49
31 Dec 2017
ALVA57
CHIB56
16 Apr 2017
ALVA78
CHIB84
15 Apr 2017
ALVA81
CHIB87
09 Oct 2016
ALVA72
CHIB67
08 Oct 2016
ALVA76
CHIB80
11 Feb 2015
ALVA72
CHIB80
21 Dec 2014
ALVA81
CHIB82
20 Dec 2014
ALVA88
CHIB75
20 Oct 2013
ALVA73
CHIB41
19 Oct 2013
ALVA82
CHIB59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
L
66-68
66
68
-2
66avg 71
H12/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
82-47
82
47
+35
85avg 71
H13/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
73-67
73
67
+6
69avg 71
H16/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
86-56
86
56
+30
91avg 71
A19/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
68-64
68
64
+4
69avg 71
A20/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
54avg 71
A23/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 71
H26/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
84-80
84
80
+4
84avg 71
H27/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
66-60
66
60
+6
66avg 71
A03/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
75-57
75
57
+18
84avg 71
A04/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
18-14
17-18
11-25
24-10
16-15
29-11
13-11
15-14
18-22
11-10
29-21
22-9
20-16
24-14
20-17
18-16
18-20
17-12
15-16
15-7
11-11
15-29
14-14
23-12
20-22
22-20
15-13
18-25
24-24
20-14
22-17
14-17
20-7
19-25
13-11
13-11
21-13
26-20
15-13
136.2Avg total
73.5Scored
62.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)76.170.2146.3+5.973%
Season at home (30)75.570.5146.0+5.073%
Season away (30)76.769.9146.6+6.873%
Last 10 (10)73.562.7136.2+10.880%
Last 5 (5)72.065.0137.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.770.3132.0-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.970.2148.1+7.791%
vs Weaker (16)77.369.4146.7+7.975%
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
68-70
68
70
-2
59avg 76
H12/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
68-55
68
55
+13
63avg 76
H13/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
78avg 76
H16/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 76
A19/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
108-81
108
81
+27
108avg 76
A20/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
84-70
84
70
+14
80avg 76
A23/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
80-65
80
65
+15
75avg 76
H26/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
71avg 76
H27/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
80-67
80
67
+13
72avg 76
H03/05
B League
Sendai
#23
W
64-56
64
56
+8
57avg 76
H04/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
10-12
19-18
22-21
22-11
10-16
22-9
14-19
21-19
10-21
28-19
26-20
23-27
22-25
13-18
30-11
30-23
21-19
30-17
27-22
14-19
19-24
20-16
31-11
28-18
20-17
19-18
13-12
19-18
24-24
19-12
15-14
20-17
22-12
20-20
18-18
17-24
6-6
18-7
23-19
149.4Avg total
80.2Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)81.976.1158.0+5.870%
Season at home (30)78.971.4150.3+7.577%
Season away (30)84.880.8165.7+4.063%
Last 10 (10)80.269.2149.4+11.090%
Last 5 (5)77.065.2142.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.483.1163.6-2.743%
vs Weaker (23)84.574.0158.4+10.587%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +5.2+5.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +5.2+5.2
AlvarkChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H12/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H13/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H16/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A19/04
B League
Shiga
#24
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A20/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
26-18
26
18
+8
A23/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H26/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H27/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A03/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A04/05
B League
66.4Avg total
36.8Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.334.671.9+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.736.574.1+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)37.032.769.7+4.353%-
Last 10 (10)36.829.666.4+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.865.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.330.357.7-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.036.575.5+2.545%-
vs Weaker (16)38.134.172.1+4.056%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H12/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H13/04
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H16/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A19/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A20/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A23/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H26/04
B League
Akita
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H27/04
B League
Sendai
#23
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H03/05
B League
Sendai
#23
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H04/05
B League
74.6Avg total
37.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.583.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.735.274.9+4.564%-
Last 30 away (16)45.345.290.5+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.174.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.873.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.044.386.3-2.329%-
vs Weaker (23)42.939.482.3+3.561%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.2
53.7%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.9
35.1%
33.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.512.6
68.1%
72.7%12.6
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.7
47.5%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.2
37.4%
33.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
72.7%14.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWWWLWWWWL
Chiba
WWWWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#5
+15.9
Net rating
+17.1
106.8
Offensive rating
115.3
90.9
Defensive rating
98.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
41.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
21.5%
Turnover %
11.4%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.1%
3-point %
37.4%
76.2%
Assist %
65.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 115.3Defence90.9 · 98.2Shooting53.3% · 50.8%3-point %35.1% · 37.4%Ball care21.5% · 11.4%Off. rebounds35.2% · 29.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Alvark   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alvark wins
6
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Alvark v Chiba75-72
05/04/25Alvark v Chiba86-81
17/04/24Alvark v Chiba78-67
24/03/24Alvark v Chiba69-70
23/03/24Alvark v Chiba81-62
31/01/24Chiba v Alvark75-74
21/05/23Chiba v Alvark93-62
20/05/23Chiba v Alvark89-66
30/04/23Chiba v Alvark94-66
29/04/23Chiba v Alvark89-75
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25ASun Rockers Shibuya75-57
03/05/25ASun Rockers Shibuya66-60
27/04/25HBrave Thunders84-80
26/04/25HBrave Thunders80-67
23/04/25AUtsunomiya Brex55-61
20/04/25AShiga68-64
19/04/25AShiga86-56
16/04/25HSeaHorses Mikawa73-67
13/04/25HOsaka82-47
12/04/25HOsaka66-68
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HSendai64-56
03/05/25HSendai80-67
27/04/25HAkita77-68
26/04/25HAkita80-65
23/04/25AIbaraki Robots84-70
20/04/25AHokkaido108-81
19/04/25AHokkaido88-81
16/04/25HUtsunomiya Brex85-79
13/04/25HSun Rockers Shibuya68-55
12/04/25HSun Rockers Shibuya68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %73%73%73%
Points / game76.175.576.7
Allowed / game70.270.569.9
Point differential+5.9+5.0+6.8
Avg total146.3146.0146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (18)82% (11)86% (7)
Overtime %8%7%10%
Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWWWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %70%77%63%
Points / game81.978.984.8
Allowed / game76.171.480.8
Point differential+5.8+7.5+4.0
Avg total158.0150.3165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%37%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)25% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex60481280%84.675.1+9.4
2 NeoPhoenix59471280%90.879.5+11.3
3 Ryukyu61471477%85.476.3+9.1
4 Alvark60441673%76.170.2+5.9
5 Chiba60421870%81.976.1+5.8
6 Gunma60392165%77.571.6+5.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa60392165%81.776.0+5.7
8 Shimane61372461%79.675.4+4.2
9 Diamond Dolphins60352558%82.179.4+2.7
10 Kyoto60332755%82.080.0+2.0
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya60303050%72.670.9+1.7
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles60303050%78.279.3-1.1
13 Osaka60293148%82.083.7-1.8
14 Akita60283247%73.074.5-1.6
15 Hiroshima D.60283247%80.283.0-2.8
16 Nagasaki60263443%75.878.3-2.5
17 Yokohama60243640%75.279.5-4.3
18 Saga60223837%76.579.1-2.6
19 Hokkaido60213935%75.579.9-4.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas60194132%74.880.6-5.8
21 Brave Thunders60184230%78.886.6-7.8
22 Ibaraki Robots60154525%72.679.6-7.0
23 Sendai60114918%72.582.6-10.1
24 Shiga5985114%77.189.2-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark818131453
Chiba2316231678
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.