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Alvark vs Chiba Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 75-72
19-22 22-17 13-23 21-10
Position#4
Record35-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game71.3
Alvark 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#5
Record32-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.6
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Chiba
05 Apr 2027
ALVA v CHIB
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
ALVA69
CHIB81
01 Nov 2025
ALVA78
CHIB69
11 May 2025
ALVA65
CHIB92
10 May 2025
ALVA53
CHIB78
06 Apr 2025
ALVA75
CHIB72
05 Apr 2025
ALVA86
CHIB81
17 Apr 2024
ALVA78
CHIB67
24 Mar 2024
ALVA69
CHIB70
23 Mar 2024
ALVA81
CHIB62
08 Oct 2022
ALVA77
CHIB82
07 Oct 2022
ALVA78
CHIB66
06 Feb 2022
ALVA v CHIB
upcoming
05 Feb 2022
ALVA v CHIB
upcoming
10 Feb 2021
ALVA82
CHIB77
15 Apr 2020
ALVA v CHIB
upcoming
05 Jan 2020
ALVA64
CHIB72
04 Jan 2020
ALVA65
CHIB73
13 Mar 2019
ALVA62
CHIB76
16 Dec 2018
ALVA71
CHIB76
15 Dec 2018
ALVA76
CHIB72
26 May 2018
ALVA85
CHIB60
01 Jan 2018
ALVA67
CHIB49
31 Dec 2017
ALVA57
CHIB56
16 Apr 2017
ALVA78
CHIB84
15 Apr 2017
ALVA81
CHIB87
09 Oct 2016
ALVA72
CHIB67
08 Oct 2016
ALVA76
CHIB80
11 Feb 2015
ALVA72
CHIB80
21 Dec 2014
ALVA81
CHIB82
20 Dec 2014
ALVA88
CHIB75
20 Oct 2013
ALVA73
CHIB41
19 Oct 2013
ALVA82
CHIB59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chiba winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 71
H02/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
63-61
63
61
+2
54avg 71
H05/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 71
A12/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
77avg 71
H19/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
73-70
73
70
+3
67avg 71
A22/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
90avg 71
A23/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 71
A26/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
53avg 71
H29/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 71
H30/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 71
H05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
21-19
15-10
26-14
15-13
11-13
14-20
23-15
25-20
16-23
15-17
12-20
20-13
17-21
27-15
16-22
14-17
23-21
21-24
15-8
14-19
19-16
20-21
24-21
21-24
18-20
24-12
23-17
17-22
12-18
18-15
17-15
14-17
11-25
22-15
29-15
26-19
32-25
8-19
20-18
149.7Avg total
76.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)76.971.3148.2+5.573%
Season at home (24)75.271.4146.6+3.871%
Season away (24)78.571.2149.8+7.275%
Last 10 (10)76.773.0149.7+3.780%
Last 5 (5)80.476.4156.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.571.5139.0-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.273.0147.2+1.256%
vs Weaker (12)76.471.8148.2+4.775%
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
65avg 75
A02/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
75-68
75
68
+7
61avg 75
H05/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
74avg 75
H12/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
86-70
86
70
+16
85avg 75
A19/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
89-93
89
93
-4
88avg 75
A22/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
95-80
95
80
+15
101avg 75
A23/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 75
H26/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
90-84
90
84
+6
88avg 75
H29/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
104-68
104
68
+36
111avg 75
H30/03
B League
Alvark
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 75
A05/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
21-18
11-20
7-22
34-17
17-16
11-17
13-18
24-19
17-25
21-10
23-17
21-23
27-13
21-19
17-15
22-20
24-31
24-17
19-25
26-23
21-26
28-10
20-21
12-14
23-13
14-20
25-21
26-19
26-23
21-20
17-22
32-19
27-18
18-15
27-16
19-26
25-32
19-8
18-20
162.0Avg total
84.7Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)82.477.6160.0+4.867%
Season at home (23)80.373.1153.4+7.174%
Season away (25)84.481.8166.1+2.660%
Last 10 (10)84.777.3162.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)88.877.2166.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.882.8160.6-5.033%
vs Weaker (21)83.477.7161.0+5.771%
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
AlvarkChiba
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H02/03
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H05/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H30/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/04
B League
75.3Avg total
36.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.472.5-0.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.937.573.4-1.635%-
Last 30 away (13)36.534.971.4+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)36.538.875.3-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.077.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.533.068.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.038.574.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (12)36.434.170.5+2.350%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A02/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H05/03
B League
Saga
#18
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H12/03
B League
Gunma
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A19/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A22/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A23/03
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H26/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H29/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H30/03
B League
Alvark
#4
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A05/04
B League
89.3Avg total
47.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.183.5+1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.437.476.8+1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)44.944.489.3+0.638%-
Last 10 (10)47.342.089.3+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.442.690.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.841.882.6-1.033%-
vs Weaker (21)43.040.983.9+2.143%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.6
48.0%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.3
34.0%
33.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
72.7%12.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.8
54.7%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.5
34.7%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.6
78.6%
72.7%17.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
WWLWWWWLWW
Chiba
LWWWWLWWWL
#4
League position
#5
+5.5
Net rating
+10.0
106.4
Offensive rating
113.3
101.0
Defensive rating
103.3
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
14.4%
Turnover %
16.0%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.0%
3-point %
34.7%
70.3%
Assist %
69.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 113.3Defence101.0 · 103.3Shooting49.2% · 53.5%3-point %34.0% · 34.7%Ball care14.4% · 16.0%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Alvark   ■ Chiba
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alvark wins
7
Chiba wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Alvark v Chiba86-81
17/04/24Alvark v Chiba78-67
24/03/24Alvark v Chiba69-70
23/03/24Alvark v Chiba81-62
31/01/24Chiba v Alvark75-74
21/05/23Chiba v Alvark93-62
20/05/23Chiba v Alvark89-66
30/04/23Chiba v Alvark94-66
29/04/23Chiba v Alvark89-75
08/10/22Alvark v Chiba77-82
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HChiba86-81
30/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles76-72
29/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles64-70
26/03/25ADiamond Dolphins86-73
23/03/25AIbaraki Robots90-86 OT
22/03/25AIbaraki Robots73-70
19/03/25HYokohama80-71
12/03/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles68-80
05/03/25HUtsunomiya Brex63-61
02/03/25HKyoto81-66
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25AAlvark81-86
30/03/25HBrave Thunders104-68
29/03/25HBrave Thunders90-84
26/03/25HKoshigaya Alphas74-68
23/03/25AShiga95-80
22/03/25AShiga89-93
19/03/25AGunma86-70
12/03/25HSaga85-71
05/03/25HIbaraki Robots75-68
02/03/25ASeaHorses Mikawa68-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %73%71%75%
Points / game76.975.278.5
Allowed / game71.371.471.2
Point differential+5.5+3.8+7.2
Avg total148.2146.6149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (14)88% (8)83% (6)
Overtime %10%8%12%
Chiba
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayLWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482325
Win %67%74%60%
Points / game82.480.384.4
Allowed / game77.673.181.8
Point differential+4.8+7.1+2.6
Avg total160.0153.4166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%35%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)33% (3)62% (8)
Overtime %8%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4740785%93.079.8+13.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex4839981%85.576.1+9.4
3 Ryukyu49361373%84.476.8+7.7
4 Alvark48351373%76.971.3+5.5
5 SeaHorses Mikawa48321667%81.975.1+6.8
6 Gunma48321667%77.972.5+5.4
7 Chiba48321667%82.477.6+4.8
8 Shimane49311863%80.174.4+5.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya49272255%74.571.2+3.3
10 Diamond Dolphins49262353%81.781.3+0.5
11 Kyoto48252352%81.880.3+1.5
12 Osaka48242450%82.782.9-0.2
13 Akita48232548%74.174.7-0.6
14 Hiroshima D.49232647%79.682.7-3.0
15 Nagasaki48222646%76.077.9-2.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles48222646%77.979.9-2.0
17 Yokohama49222745%76.679.5-2.9
18 Hokkaido49183137%75.179.4-4.3
19 Saga49173235%75.578.8-3.3
20 Koshigaya Alphas48153331%76.481.0-4.6
21 Brave Thunders48143429%78.787.2-8.5
22 Ibaraki Robots4893919%72.880.9-8.1
23 Sendai4994018%72.783.4-10.7
24 Shiga4874115%77.190.1-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark1922132175
Chiba2217231072
← all games of the day
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