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Alvark vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 66-68
20-11 18-14 17-18 11-25
Position#4
Record36-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Osaka 🏆
Japan
Position#13
Record26-24
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.1
JapanB League· Yoyogi National Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alvark v Osaka
13 Apr 2025
ALVA82
OSAK47
12 Apr 2025
ALVA66
OSAK68
28 Jan 2024
ALVA83
OSAK81
27 Jan 2024
ALVA77
OSAK68
05 Feb 2023
ALVA68
OSAK61
04 Feb 2023
ALVA74
OSAK66
23 Jan 2022
ALVA99
OSAK71
22 Jan 2022
ALVA90
OSAK77
03 Jan 2021
ALVA67
OSAK73
02 Jan 2021
ALVA83
OSAK79
27 Jan 2019
ALVA83
OSAK72
26 Jan 2019
ALVA85
OSAK70
10 Dec 2017
ALVA79
OSAK69
09 Dec 2017
ALVA99
OSAK55
11 Mar 2017
ALVA75
OSAK58
10 Mar 2017
ALVA71
OSAK70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alvark winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 71
A12/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
77avg 71
H19/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
73-70
73
70
+3
67avg 71
A22/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
90avg 71
A23/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 71
A26/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
64-70
64
70
-6
53avg 71
H29/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 71
H30/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 71
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 71
H06/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
67-89
67
89
-22
65avg 71
A09/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
16-23
15-17
12-20
20-13
17-21
27-15
16-22
14-17
23-21
21-24
15-8
14-19
19-16
20-21
24-21
21-24
18-20
24-12
23-17
17-22
12-18
18-15
17-15
14-17
11-25
22-15
29-15
26-19
32-25
8-19
20-18
19-22
22-17
13-23
21-10
10-23
20-24
17-22
20-20
152.9Avg total
76.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)76.671.7148.3+4.972%
Season at home (25)75.271.4146.6+3.872%
Season away (25)78.072.0150.0+6.172%
Last 10 (10)76.576.4152.9+0.170%
Last 5 (5)73.676.8150.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.377.3144.7-10.033%
vs Similar (15)73.273.1146.3+0.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.471.8148.2+4.775%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
L
70-83
70
83
-13
65avg 78
H12/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
93-80
93
80
+13
94avg 78
H19/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
92-99
92
99
-7
89avg 78
A22/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 78
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
96-99
96
99
-3
101avg 78
H26/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
73-78
73
78
-5
64avg 78
A29/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
73-95
73
95
-22
68avg 78
A30/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
97-95
97
95
+2
95avg 78
H05/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
95-94
95
94
+1
89avg 78
H06/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
89avg 78
A09/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
12-22
17-27
19-19
19-21
22-15
25-22
27-22
33-28
19-20
20-22
20-29
20-26
22-13
21-14
22-25
27-16
21-27
25-31
23-25
16-20
17-17
15-28
25-13
14-27
16-25
19-24
24-19
32-26
22-24
18-19
25-26
25-15
21-29
23-22
26-28
24-25
20-22
25-22
16-12
174.1Avg total
85.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)83.083.1166.1-0.152%
Season at home (26)81.380.7162.0+0.654%
Season away (24)84.885.7170.5-0.950%
Last 10 (10)85.988.2174.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)84.688.6173.2-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.487.5167.9-7.129%
vs Similar (11)85.484.2169.5+1.264%
vs Weaker (5)88.281.0169.2+7.280%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
AlvarkOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H29/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H30/03
B League
Chiba
#5
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A09/04
B League
77.6Avg total
37.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.773.2-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.837.674.4-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)36.035.871.8+0.236%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.677.6-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.479.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.737.771.3-4.033%-
vs Similar (15)37.038.775.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.434.170.5+2.350%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A22/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H26/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A29/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A30/03
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H05/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A09/04
B League
85.7Avg total
42.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.084.3-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.741.181.8-0.462%-
Last 30 away (14)42.045.187.1-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.385.7-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.087.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.044.883.8-5.836%-
vs Similar (11)42.141.183.2+1.055%-
vs Weaker (5)46.042.088.0+4.080%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.9
48.6%
51.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.5
34.4%
33.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
72.7%12.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.7
56.0%
51.2%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.0
33.5%
33.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.715.2
70.0%
72.7%15.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alvark
LWWWLWWWWL
Osaka
WWWLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#13
+0.4
Net rating
-2.1
105.6
Offensive rating
112.0
105.2
Defensive rating
114.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.4%
3-point %
33.5%
76.3%
Assist %
76.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 112.0Defence105.2 · 114.1Shooting49.8% · 54.2%3-point %34.4% · 33.5%Ball care13.8% · 17.5%Off. rebounds26.7% · 32.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Alvark   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Alvark wins
1
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
28/01/24Alvark v Osaka83-81
27/01/24Alvark v Osaka77-68
05/02/23Alvark v Osaka68-61
04/02/23Alvark v Osaka74-66
23/01/22Alvark v Osaka99-71
22/01/22Alvark v Osaka90-77
03/01/21Alvark v Osaka67-73
02/01/21Alvark v Osaka83-79
25/10/20Osaka v Alvark77-85
24/10/20Osaka v Alvark69-97
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25ANeoPhoenix67-89
06/04/25HChiba75-72
05/04/25HChiba86-81
30/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles76-72
29/03/25HNagoya Fighting Eagles64-70
26/03/25ADiamond Dolphins86-73
23/03/25AIbaraki Robots90-86 OT
22/03/25AIbaraki Robots73-70
19/03/25HYokohama80-71
12/03/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles68-80
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25ASaga85-81
06/04/25HKyoto95-94
05/04/25HKyoto97-95
30/03/25AShimane73-95
29/03/25AShimane73-78
26/03/25HYokohama96-99
23/03/25ABrave Thunders85-78
22/03/25ABrave Thunders92-99
19/03/25HHiroshima D.93-80
12/03/25HNagasaki70-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alvark
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeWLWWW72%
AwayLWWWL72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %72%72%72%
Points / game76.675.278.0
Allowed / game71.771.472.0
Point differential+4.9+3.8+6.1
Avg total148.3146.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%32%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won87% (15)89% (9)83% (6)
Overtime %10%8%12%
Osaka
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeLWLWW54%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502624
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game83.081.384.8
Allowed / game83.180.785.7
Point differential-0.1+0.6-0.9
Avg total166.1162.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)50% (6)58% (12)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4942786%92.679.4+13.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex5041982%85.275.6+9.7
3 Ryukyu51381375%85.076.4+8.7
4 Alvark50361472%76.671.7+4.9
5 SeaHorses Mikawa50331766%81.375.0+6.3
6 Gunma50331766%77.672.1+5.5
7 Chiba51331865%81.977.4+4.6
8 Shimane51321963%80.174.6+5.5
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya51282355%74.371.2+3.1
10 Diamond Dolphins50272354%81.681.0+0.5
11 Kyoto50262452%81.880.1+1.7
12 Osaka50262452%83.083.1-0.1
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles50242648%77.879.3-1.5
14 Akita51242747%73.274.5-1.4
15 Hiroshima D.51242747%79.382.3-3.1
16 Yokohama51232845%76.278.7-2.5
17 Nagasaki50222844%75.777.8-2.1
18 Hokkaido51193237%75.679.4-3.8
19 Saga51173433%75.679.3-3.6
20 Koshigaya Alphas50163432%76.180.5-4.3
21 Brave Thunders51153629%78.786.9-8.2
22 Ibaraki Robots50104020%72.780.7-8.1
23 Sendai5194218%72.583.7-11.1
24 Shiga5074314%77.090.3-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alvark2018171166
Osaka1114182568
← all games of the day
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